Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.7#14
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#12
Pace67.3#196
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#18
First Shot+9.4#11
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks+7.3#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#49
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement+4.1#19

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#23
First Shot+7.5#12
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#115
Layups/Dunks+1.6#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
Freethrows+4.1#7
Improvement-1.0#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 6.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 32.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round92.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight29.2% n/a n/a
Final Four13.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.8% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 254   Army W 91-77 98%     1 - 0 +6.0 +6.3 -1.9
  Nov 15, 2016 15   @ Baylor L 49-66 40%     1 - 1 +3.2 -4.5 +4.6
  Nov 17, 2016 100   Valparaiso W 76-54 92%     2 - 1 +23.9 +12.3 +13.6
  Nov 21, 2016 62   Georgetown L 61-65 80%     2 - 2 +4.8 -7.7 +12.5
  Nov 22, 2016 61   Tennessee W 69-65 OT 79%     3 - 2 +13.1 -5.1 +17.8
  Nov 23, 2016 84   Connecticut W 79-69 86%     4 - 2 +15.8 +14.5 +1.7
  Nov 28, 2016 96   Boise St. W 68-63 92%     5 - 2 +7.2 +0.3 +7.2
  Dec 03, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 128-59 99%     6 - 2 +55.8 +18.8 +21.5
  Dec 11, 2016 52   Alabama W 65-56 83%     7 - 2 +16.8 +3.1 +14.1
  Dec 13, 2016 198   Montana W 81-67 97%     8 - 2 +9.3 +3.5 +5.8
  Dec 17, 2016 231   UNLV W 83-63 97%     9 - 2 +15.5 +9.9 +5.5
  Dec 20, 2016 98   Fresno St. W 75-63 92%     10 - 2 +14.0 +7.8 +6.8
  Dec 28, 2016 12   UCLA W 89-87 59%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +17.2 +17.6 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2016 58   USC W 84-61 85%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +29.8 +11.1 +18.0
  Jan 04, 2017 156   @ Washington W 83-61 91%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +25.0 +12.9 +12.9
  Jan 07, 2017 171   @ Washington St. W 85-66 92%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +21.4 +19.1 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 85-43 98%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +34.8 +13.2 +23.1
  Jan 19, 2017 57   California W 86-63 84%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +29.9 +28.6 +3.4
  Jan 21, 2017 95   Stanford W 69-52 92%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +19.2 +1.5 +18.6
  Jan 26, 2017 48   @ Utah W 73-67 66%     18 - 2 8 - 0 +19.4 +11.2 +8.7
  Jan 28, 2017 72   @ Colorado L 65-74 76%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +1.3 -0.3 +0.9
  Feb 02, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 71-70 94%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +1.5 +0.7 +0.9
  Feb 04, 2017 19   Arizona W 85-58 64%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +41.1 +27.8 +16.2
  Feb 09, 2017 12   @ UCLA L 79-82 40%     20 - 4 10 - 2 +17.3 +17.3 -0.2
  Feb 11, 2017 58   @ USC W 81-70 71%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +22.8 +11.6 +11.0
  Feb 16, 2017 48   Utah W 79-61 81%     22 - 4 12 - 2 +26.3 +9.2 +17.3
  Feb 18, 2017 72   Colorado W 101-73 88%     23 - 4 13 - 2 +33.2 +23.6 +8.1
  Feb 22, 2017 57   @ California W 68-65 71%     24 - 4 14 - 2 +15.0 +16.1 -0.6
  Feb 25, 2017 95   @ Stanford W 75-73 84%     25 - 4 15 - 2 +9.3 +17.8 -8.2
  Mar 04, 2017 236   @ Oregon St. W 80-59 96%     26 - 4 16 - 2 +18.9 +11.4 +8.4
  Mar 09, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 80-57 91%     27 - 4 +26.1 +11.7 +16.2
  Mar 10, 2017 57   California W 73-65 78%     28 - 4 +17.5 +14.9 +3.2
  Mar 11, 2017 19   Arizona L 80-83 54%     28 - 5 +13.7 +17.7 -4.2
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.8 6.3 26.7 45.8 19.4 1.9 0.0 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8 6.3 26.7 45.8 19.4 1.9 0.0 100.0%