Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#75
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#55
Pace61.4#313
Improvement+3.1#54

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#79
First Shot+2.9#92
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#118
Layup/Dunks+4.9#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#214
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement+2.9#44

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#74
First Shot+3.8#65
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#12
Freethrows+2.9#31
Improvement+0.2#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 303   @ Quinnipiac W 94-70 90%     1 - 0 +17.5 +10.8 +5.1
  Nov 14, 2016 50   @ Providence L 58-80 30%     1 - 1 -9.1 -5.1 -4.6
  Nov 16, 2016 308   @ Marist W 76-72 91%     2 - 1 -3.1 +0.1 -3.1
  Nov 21, 2016 135   Wofford W 60-59 71%     3 - 1 +2.5 -10.8 +13.4
  Nov 22, 2016 187   Hofstra W 87-73 79%     4 - 1 +13.0 +15.9 -1.8
  Nov 23, 2016 53   Houston L 71-72 40%     4 - 2 +9.0 +12.0 -3.1
  Nov 26, 2016 157   Yale W 67-65 81%     5 - 2 +0.0 -3.9 +3.9
  Dec 01, 2016 33   @ South Carolina L 50-68 23%     5 - 3 -3.0 -7.9 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2016 302   Dartmouth W 73-58 95%     6 - 3 +3.5 +7.3 -1.0
  Dec 10, 2016 168   Northeastern L 57-59 83%     6 - 4 -4.6 -11.8 +7.0
  Dec 17, 2016 163   Eastern Michigan W 82-74 82%     7 - 4 +5.6 +18.3 -11.6
  Dec 21, 2016 26   @ Butler L 69-81 16%     7 - 5 +5.8 +6.7 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2016 178   @ Siena W 76-60 70%     8 - 5 +17.9 +7.3 +11.6
  Jan 02, 2017 112   Harvard W 82-71 74%     9 - 5 +11.5 +19.9 -7.0
  Jan 05, 2017 337   @ Maine W 90-77 95%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +1.0 +13.9 -12.9
  Jan 08, 2017 333   Hartford W 85-54 97%     11 - 5 2 - 0 +15.4 +7.9 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2017 312   @ Binghamton W 67-50 91%     12 - 5 3 - 0 +9.6 +1.8 +10.4
  Jan 13, 2017 197   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 81-72 87%     13 - 5 4 - 0 +4.4 +5.3 -0.6
  Jan 16, 2017 188   @ New Hampshire W 71-59 72%     14 - 5 5 - 0 +13.3 +10.8 +4.2
  Jan 19, 2017 291   Umass Lowell W 81-67 94%     15 - 5 6 - 0 +3.3 +7.3 -2.7
  Jan 25, 2017 134   @ Albany W 60-49 62%     16 - 5 7 - 0 +15.1 -6.9 +22.8
  Jan 28, 2017 208   @ Stony Brook W 71-64 77%     17 - 5 8 - 0 +6.6 +11.1 -3.2
  Feb 01, 2017 337   Maine W 74-53 98%     18 - 5 9 - 0 +4.0 -3.3 +7.7
  Feb 04, 2017 333   @ Hartford W 79-66 94%     19 - 5 10 - 0 +2.4 +15.3 -11.0
  Feb 06, 2017 312   Binghamton W 71-51 96%     20 - 5 11 - 0 +7.5 +7.9 +3.8
  Feb 09, 2017 188   New Hampshire W 82-74 85%     21 - 5 12 - 0 +4.2 +16.1 -11.2
  Feb 12, 2017 197   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-74 75%     22 - 5 13 - 0 +3.4 +0.7 +2.7
  Feb 15, 2017 291   Umass Lowell W 87-66 92%     23 - 5 14 - 0 +12.8 +11.7 +2.3
  Feb 22, 2017 134   Albany W 62-50 79%     24 - 5 15 - 0 +11.0 +10.5 +4.9
  Feb 25, 2017 208   Stony Brook W 66-51 88%     25 - 5 16 - 0 +9.5 +1.1 +10.8
  Mar 01, 2017 337   Maine W 86-41 98%     26 - 5 +28.0 +15.6 +16.7
  Mar 06, 2017 188   New Hampshire W 74-41 85%     27 - 5 +29.2 +18.8 +18.4
  Mar 11, 2017 134   Albany W 56-53 79%     28 - 5 +2.0 -5.4 +8.0
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.3 40.0 55.5 4.2
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.3 40.0 55.5 4.2