Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#53
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#65
Pace62.8#290
Improvement-1.8#265

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#44
First Shot+4.5#54
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#74
Layup/Dunks-2.1#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#83
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement-2.2#286

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#68
First Shot+3.9#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks+6.9#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#263
Freethrows-0.3#189
Improvement+0.4#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.7% n/a n/a
First Round3.5% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 326   Morgan St. W 93-52 98%     1 - 0 +27.2 +23.3 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2016 109   George Mason W 93-56 74%     2 - 0 +40.4 +19.7 +20.2
  Nov 22, 2016 145   South Dakota W 85-58 80%     3 - 0 +28.1 +17.9 +11.6
  Nov 23, 2016 75   Vermont W 72-71 60%     4 - 0 +8.4 +12.9 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2016 268   Cornell W 83-53 95%     5 - 0 +20.9 +7.9 +13.6
  Nov 29, 2016 173   @ LSU L 65-84 77%     5 - 1 -16.7 -5.9 -12.0
  Dec 03, 2016 321   Prairie View W 105-61 97%     6 - 1 +30.7 +23.0 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 72-84 33%     6 - 2 +2.6 +6.2 -4.0
  Dec 10, 2016 49   Rhode Island W 82-77 57%     7 - 2 +13.3 +19.1 -5.4
  Dec 17, 2016 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-58 97%     8 - 2 +12.6 +6.8 +7.2
  Dec 21, 2016 214   Liberty W 77-54 92%     9 - 2 +17.1 +17.1 +4.0
  Dec 23, 2016 112   Harvard L 56-57 81%     9 - 3 -0.5 -10.6 +10.1
  Dec 28, 2016 84   @ Connecticut W 62-46 57%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +24.3 +12.1 +16.6
  Dec 31, 2016 279   @ South Florida W 70-56 91%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +9.1 +3.7 +6.8
  Jan 04, 2017 126   Tulsa W 64-61 84%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +2.4 +4.5 -1.5
  Jan 07, 2017 24   Cincinnati L 58-67 39%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +4.0 -1.9 +5.0
  Jan 11, 2017 159   @ East Carolina W 74-58 75%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +19.0 +21.5 +0.5
  Jan 14, 2017 68   @ Central Florida L 70-77 48%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +3.5 +12.4 -9.5
  Jan 19, 2017 92   Memphis L 67-70 OT 77%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -0.7 -7.1 +6.6
  Jan 21, 2017 13   @ SMU L 64-85 17%     13 - 7 4 - 4 -0.7 +5.8 -8.8
  Jan 24, 2017 223   Tulane W 65-51 93%     14 - 7 5 - 4 +7.6 -6.1 +14.8
  Jan 28, 2017 107   Temple W 79-66 80%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +14.0 +11.5 +3.3
  Feb 01, 2017 68   Central Florida W 82-64 67%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +23.4 +21.2 +3.4
  Feb 08, 2017 223   @ Tulane W 91-62 85%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +27.7 +18.6 +9.6
  Feb 11, 2017 126   @ Tulsa W 73-64 70%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +13.5 +9.5 +4.8
  Feb 18, 2017 13   SMU L 66-76 31%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +5.2 +8.9 -5.3
  Feb 22, 2017 84   Connecticut W 75-70 74%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +8.3 +10.6 -2.1
  Feb 26, 2017 92   @ Memphis W 72-71 60%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +8.4 +5.3 +3.1
  Mar 02, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 47-65 22%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +0.0 -7.5 +4.5
  Mar 05, 2017 159   East Carolina W 73-51 87%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +19.9 +7.1 +13.8
  Mar 10, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 65-74 57%     21 - 10 -0.7 +4.5 -6.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 7.8% 7.8% 11.8 0.0 1.4 6.3 0.1 92.2 7.8%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 11.8 0.0 1.4 6.3 0.1 92.2 7.8%