Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+21.6#1
Expected Predictive Rating+20.3#2
Pace69.6#165
Improvement-1.4#242

Offense
Total Offense+10.8#1
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.0#233

Defense
Total Defense+10.8#1
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.4#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 29.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 83.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen83.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight64.3% n/a n/a
Final Four44.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game30.0% n/a n/a
National Champion19.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 227   Columbia W 75-60 99%     1 - 0 +8.1 -3.4 -3.4
  Nov 14, 2017 189   Nicholls St. W 113-77 98%     2 - 0 +31.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 17, 2017 272   Lafayette W 104-57 99%     3 - 0 +40.5 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 22, 2017 71   Western Kentucky W 66-58 90%     4 - 0 +15.7 +3.8 +3.8
  Nov 23, 2017 14   Tennessee W 85-76 74%     5 - 0 +23.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Nov 24, 2017 123   Northern Iowa W 64-50 95%     6 - 0 +16.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Nov 29, 2017 120   Penn W 90-62 97%     7 - 0 +28.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2017 110   @ Saint Joseph's W 94-53 90%     8 - 0 +48.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 05, 2017 9   Gonzaga W 88-72 69%     9 - 0 +32.3 +8.1 +8.1
  Dec 10, 2017 151   La Salle W 77-68 98%     10 - 0 +7.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 13, 2017 87   @ Temple W 87-67 88%     11 - 0 +29.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2017 149   Hofstra W 95-71 96%     12 - 0 +25.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Dec 27, 2017 101   @ DePaul W 103-85 89%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +25.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 30, 2017 24   @ Butler L 93-101 71%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +7.8 +7.9 +7.9
  Jan 06, 2018 49   Marquette W 100-90 91%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +16.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 10, 2018 13   Xavier W 89-65 81%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +36.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Jan 13, 2018 69   @ St. John's W 78-71 84%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +17.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 17, 2018 97   @ Georgetown W 88-56 89%     17 - 1 5 - 1 +40.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 20, 2018 153   @ Connecticut W 81-61 94%     18 - 1 +23.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 23, 2018 57   Providence W 89-69 92%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +26.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 28, 2018 49   @ Marquette W 85-82 80%     20 - 1 7 - 1 +15.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 01, 2018 26   Creighton W 98-78 87%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +29.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2018 25   Seton Hall W 92-76 87%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +25.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 07, 2018 69   St. John's L 75-79 93%     22 - 2 9 - 2 +0.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 10, 2018 24   Butler W 86-75 86%     23 - 2 10 - 2 +20.7 +4.9 +4.9
  Feb 14, 2018 57   @ Providence L 71-76 82%     23 - 3 10 - 3 +7.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 17, 2018 13   @ Xavier W 95-79 63%     24 - 3 11 - 3 +34.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Feb 21, 2018 101   DePaul W 93-62 96%     25 - 3 12 - 3 +32.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 24, 2018 26   @ Creighton L 83-89 OT 73%     25 - 4 12 - 4 +9.3 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 28, 2018 25   @ Seton Hall W 69-68 OT 72%     26 - 4 13 - 4 +16.4 +7.7 +7.7
  Mar 03, 2018 97   Georgetown W 97-73 95%     27 - 4 14 - 4 +26.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Mar 08, 2018 49   Marquette W 94-70 86%     28 - 4 +33.8 +4.9 +4.9
  Mar 09, 2018 24   Butler W 87-68 80%     29 - 4 +31.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 10, 2018 57   Providence W 76-66 OT 88%     30 - 4 +19.0 +4.5 +4.5
Projected Record 30.0 - 4.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.0 16.9 0.2
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.2 83.0 16.9 0.2