Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#37
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#32
Pace64.1#307
Improvement-1.7#252

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#37
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.8#53

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#37
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-4.5#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 80.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% n/a n/a
First Round79.5% n/a n/a
Second Round40.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 344   Northwestern St. W 105-59 99%     1 - 0 +27.5 -9.2 -9.2
  Nov 14, 2017 277   New Hampshire W 78-60 96%     2 - 0 +8.1 -4.9 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2017 169   Lipscomb W 80-57 90%     3 - 0 +20.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 23, 2017 24   Butler W 61-48 44%     4 - 0 +25.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 24, 2017 2   Duke L 78-85 OT 19%     4 - 1 +13.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Nov 26, 2017 9   Gonzaga L 71-76 OT 31%     4 - 2 +11.3 +8.1 +8.1
  Nov 29, 2017 342   Florida A&M W 82-58 99%     5 - 2 +6.1 -9.0 -9.0
  Dec 05, 2017 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 71-67 72%     6 - 2 +9.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 12, 2017 10   Michigan L 52-59 43%     6 - 3 +6.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 16, 2017 160   Louisiana Tech W 75-60 90%     7 - 3 +12.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 18, 2017 209   Tennessee St. W 47-46 94%     8 - 3 -4.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 22, 2017 46   @ Alabama W 66-50 42%     9 - 3 +29.4 +6.7 +6.7
  Dec 29, 2017 8   Kansas L 86-92 40%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +7.8 +6.9 +6.9
  Jan 01, 2018 92   @ Iowa St. W 74-70 OT 60%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +12.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 06, 2018 29   @ Baylor L 60-69 35%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +6.1 +7.6 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2018 23   TCU W 99-98 2OT 52%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +11.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 13, 2018 47   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-65 42%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +12.3 +6.7 +6.7
  Jan 17, 2018 12   Texas Tech W 67-58 46%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +21.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2018 11   @ West Virginia L 51-86 23%     12 - 7 3 - 4 -16.0 +9.5 +9.5
  Jan 22, 2018 92   Iowa St. W 73-57 80%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +18.5 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 27, 2018 100   Mississippi W 85-72 81%     14 - 7 +15.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 31, 2018 12   @ Texas Tech L 71-73 OT 25%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +16.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Feb 03, 2018 42   Oklahoma W 79-74 64%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +12.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Feb 07, 2018 41   Kansas St. L 64-67 64%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +4.7 +3.9 +3.9
  Feb 10, 2018 23   @ TCU L 71-87 30%     15 - 10 5 - 7 +0.8 +8.4 +8.4
  Feb 12, 2018 29   Baylor L 73-74 2OT 58%     15 - 11 5 - 8 +8.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Feb 17, 2018 42   @ Oklahoma W 77-66 41%     16 - 11 6 - 8 +24.7 +6.8 +6.8
  Feb 21, 2018 41   @ Kansas St. L 48-58 40%     16 - 12 6 - 9 +3.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Feb 24, 2018 47   Oklahoma St. W 65-64 65%     17 - 12 7 - 9 +8.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2018 8   @ Kansas L 70-80 21%     17 - 13 7 - 10 +9.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Mar 03, 2018 11   West Virginia W 87-79 OT 44%     18 - 13 8 - 10 +20.9 +6.5 +6.5
  Mar 07, 2018 92   Iowa St. W 68-64 71%     19 - 13 +9.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 08, 2018 12   Texas Tech L 69-73 35%     19 - 14 +11.2 +7.6 +7.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 80.9% 80.9% 8.9 0.5 6.9 22.1 28.3 19.7 3.3 0.0 19.2 80.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 80.9% 0.0% 80.9% 8.9 0.5 6.9 22.1 28.3 19.7 3.3 0.0 19.2 80.9%