Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#24
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#39
Pace69.2#176
Improvement+1.6#104

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#24
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.4#101

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#24
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.6% n/a n/a
First Round91.9% n/a n/a
Second Round52.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 307   Kennesaw St. W 82-64 98%     1 - 0 +6.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Nov 12, 2017 184   Princeton W 85-75 93%     2 - 0 +5.7 -2.1 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2017 45   @ Maryland L 65-79 47%     2 - 1 -0.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Nov 18, 2017 95   Furman W 82-65 84%     3 - 1 +19.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2017 37   Texas L 48-61 56%     3 - 2 -1.7 +5.6 +5.6
  Nov 24, 2017 171   Portland St. W 71-69 89%     4 - 2 +1.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2017 17   Ohio St. W 67-66 OT 44%     5 - 2 +15.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Dec 02, 2017 134   Saint Louis W 75-45 90%     6 - 2 +28.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 05, 2017 62   Utah W 81-69 76%     7 - 2 +17.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 09, 2017 326   Youngstown St. W 95-67 98%     8 - 2 +14.3 -6.8 -6.8
  Dec 16, 2017 4   Purdue L 67-82 30%     8 - 3 +3.1 +9.0 +9.0
  Dec 19, 2017 281   Morehead St. W 85-69 97%     9 - 3 +5.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Dec 21, 2017 302   Western Illinois W 107-46 98%     10 - 3 +49.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Dec 27, 2017 97   @ Georgetown W 91-89 2OT 67%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +10.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 30, 2017 1   Villanova W 101-93 29%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +26.5 +9.3 +9.3
  Jan 02, 2018 13   @ Xavier L 79-86 30%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +11.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Jan 06, 2018 25   Seton Hall L 87-90 63%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +6.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 09, 2018 26   @ Creighton L 74-85 40%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +4.3 +7.6 +7.6
  Jan 12, 2018 49   Marquette W 94-83 72%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +17.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 15, 2018 57   @ Providence L 60-70 53%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +2.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 20, 2018 101   @ DePaul W 79-67 68%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +19.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2018 69   St. John's W 70-45 78%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +29.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 31, 2018 49   @ Marquette W 92-72 50%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +32.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 03, 2018 101   DePaul W 80-57 84%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +24.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 06, 2018 13   Xavier L 93-98 OT 52%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +7.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Feb 10, 2018 1   @ Villanova L 75-86 14%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +13.6 +12.3 +12.3
  Feb 13, 2018 97   Georgetown L 83-87 84%     17 - 10 7 - 7 -2.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 17, 2018 57   Providence W 69-54 74%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +21.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Feb 20, 2018 26   Creighton W 93-70 63%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +32.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 28, 2018 69   @ St. John's L 68-75 2OT 57%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +3.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Mar 03, 2018 25   @ Seton Hall L 70-77 40%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +8.4 +7.7 +7.7
  Mar 08, 2018 25   Seton Hall W 75-74 52%     20 - 12 +13.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Mar 09, 2018 1   Villanova L 68-87 20%     20 - 13 +2.6 +10.8 +10.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 93.0% 93.0% 8.7 0.0 1.5 12.0 28.2 29.4 19.2 2.8 7.0 93.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.0% 0.0% 93.0% 8.7 0.0 1.5 12.0 28.2 29.4 19.2 2.8 7.0 93.0%