Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.2#10
Expected Predictive Rating+17.7#6
Pace62.4#328
Improvement+6.8#4

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#10
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.0#49

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#10
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.8#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 15.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 97.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight29.0% n/a n/a
Final Four14.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.5% n/a n/a
National Champion2.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 294   North Florida W 86-66 99%     1 - 0 +9.1 -5.4 -5.4
  Nov 13, 2017 178   Central Michigan W 72-65 96%     2 - 0 +3.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2017 229   Southern Miss W 61-47 97%     3 - 0 +7.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Nov 20, 2017 59   LSU L 75-77 76%     3 - 1 +6.9 +4.4 +4.4
  Nov 22, 2017 129   Virginia Commonwealth W 68-60 90%     4 - 1 +10.1 +1.0 +1.0
  Nov 26, 2017 275   UC Riverside W 87-42 98%     5 - 1 +35.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Nov 29, 2017 7   @ North Carolina L 71-86 33%     5 - 2 +5.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Dec 02, 2017 66   Indiana W 69-55 85%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +18.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 04, 2017 17   @ Ohio St. L 62-71 46%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +8.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 09, 2017 44   UCLA W 78-69 OT 80%     7 - 3 +16.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 12, 2017 37   @ Texas W 59-52 57%     8 - 3 +21.3 +7.1 +7.1
  Dec 16, 2017 322   Detroit Mercy W 90-58 98%     9 - 3 +21.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Dec 21, 2017 351   Alabama A&M W 97-47 99.8%    10 - 3 +27.1 -11.4 -11.4
  Dec 30, 2017 320   Jacksonville W 76-51 99%     11 - 3 +12.2 -6.4 -6.4
  Jan 02, 2018 86   @ Iowa W 75-68 74%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +16.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 06, 2018 94   Illinois W 79-69 90%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +12.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 09, 2018 4   Purdue L 69-70 54%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +14.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 13, 2018 6   @ Michigan St. W 82-72 32%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +30.9 +10.5 +10.5
  Jan 15, 2018 45   Maryland W 68-67 80%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +8.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2018 51   @ Nebraska L 52-72 63%     15 - 5 5 - 3 -7.3 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 21, 2018 121   Rutgers W 62-47 93%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +15.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 25, 2018 4   @ Purdue L 88-92 32%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +17.1 +10.6 +10.6
  Jan 29, 2018 79   Northwestern W 58-47 87%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +14.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2018 109   Minnesota W 76-73 OT 91%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +4.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2018 79   @ Northwestern L 52-61 73%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +0.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 11, 2018 64   @ Wisconsin W 83-72 68%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +22.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Feb 14, 2018 86   Iowa W 74-59 88%     20 - 7 10 - 5 +18.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2018 17   Ohio St. W 74-62 69%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +23.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 21, 2018 28   @ Penn St. W 72-63 54%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +24.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 24, 2018 45   @ Maryland W 85-61 60%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +37.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Mar 01, 2018 86   Iowa W 77-71 OT 82%     24 - 7 +12.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 02, 2018 51   Nebraska W 77-58 73%     25 - 7 +28.7 +4.9 +4.9
  Mar 03, 2018 6   Michigan St. W 75-64 43%     26 - 7 +28.9 +9.0 +9.0
  Mar 04, 2018 4   Purdue W 75-66 43%     27 - 7 +27.1 +9.0 +9.0
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 2.3 13.0 58.2 23.5 2.9 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.1 2.3 13.0 58.2 23.5 2.9 0.1