Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
278 Norfolk St. 23.9%   16   1 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 14 11 - 5 -6.5      -4.4 293 -2.1 233 70.7 159 -12.5 312 0.0 1
284 Howard 21.2%   3 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 13 11 - 5 -6.9      -0.8 193 -6.1 328 78.2 34 +0.4 167 0.0 1
309 Bethune-Cookman 13.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 13 - 15 10 - 6 -8.6      -5.8 318 -2.8 259 77.7 39 -11.8 306 0.0 1
313 Morgan St. 12.5%   4 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 6 -9.0      -6.0 322 -3.1 266 76.0 61 -3.4 210 0.0 1
314 NC Central 12.4%   2 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 14 10 - 6 -9.1      -4.8 304 -4.4 294 62.9 329 -10.2 292 0.0 1
325 N.C. A&T 7.8%   2 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 7 -10.8      -4.2 289 -6.6 335 67.9 237 -9.5 283 0.0 1
337 Florida A&M 3.9%   1 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 9 -12.7      -9.1 344 -3.6 282 66.9 255 -14.3 322 0.0 1
342 South Carolina St. 2.9%   0 - 9 0 - 0 8 - 22 7 - 9 -13.5      -6.5 324 -7.1 343 69.9 182 -17.4 338 0.0 1
347 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 23 6 - 10 -16.2      -9.9 347 -6.3 331 64.0 316 -20.2 346 0.0 1
350 Coppin St. 0.5%   0 - 11 0 - 0 6 - 25 6 - 10 -17.2      -11.5 351 -5.7 320 72.5 120 -21.5 348 0.0 1
351 Savannah St. 0.7%   2 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 10 -17.2      -8.9 342 -8.2 348 105.8 1 -11.0 297 0.0 1
353 Delaware St. 0.1%   0 - 8 0 - 0 4 - 23 4 - 12 -20.7      -11.7 352 -9.0 353 75.7 64 -19.3 345 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Norfolk St. 2.9 34.4 20.5 14.7 10.5 7.6 5.1 3.3 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
Howard 3.4 27.8 18.2 14.6 11.6 9.1 6.8 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
Bethune-Cookman 4.4 14.5 14.4 13.9 13.4 12.1 10.3 8.2 5.7 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.4
Morgan St. 3.9 18.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 10.9 8.6 6.0 4.1 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.3
NC Central 4.0 17.2 17.3 15.5 13.4 11.2 9.0 6.5 4.3 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.3
N.C. A&T 4.9 9.6 12.2 13.0 13.4 12.8 11.5 9.4 7.0 5.1 3.3 1.9 0.8
Florida A&M 6.7 3.2 4.9 6.8 8.5 10.3 12.1 13.2 12.8 10.9 8.7 5.8 2.7
South Carolina St. 6.9 2.9 4.6 6.2 7.9 9.8 11.3 12.5 12.5 11.5 9.5 7.3 4.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 8.5 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.7 5.3 7.5 10.2 12.7 15.1 16.0 14.3 10.6
Coppin St. 8.7 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.2 5.0 7.2 10.1 12.8 15.0 16.0 15.5 11.8
Savannah St. 8.7 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.5 5.1 7.1 9.5 12.0 13.8 15.3 16.7 12.8
Delaware St. 10.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 3.0 4.6 7.3 11.1 15.5 22.0 33.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.5 6.2 9.9 13.5 16.5 16.5 14.8 10.0 5.0 1.4
Howard 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.2 8.4 11.7 14.4 15.8 14.9 12.0 7.7 3.6 0.9
Bethune-Cookman 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.6 9.1 12.6 14.9 15.9 14.4 11.0 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.2
Morgan St. 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 4.1 7.0 10.5 13.9 15.6 15.7 13.3 9.5 5.0 1.9 0.4
NC Central 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.2 7.3 10.9 14.3 16.1 15.6 13.0 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.3
N.C. A&T 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.2 7.2 10.9 14.0 15.8 14.9 12.7 8.8 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
Florida A&M 7 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.8 10.6 13.8 15.8 15.3 12.8 9.3 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 7 - 9 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.5 7.8 11.3 14.2 15.2 14.1 12.0 8.4 5.3 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 6 - 10 0.4 2.1 5.5 10.1 14.2 16.5 15.9 13.4 9.9 6.2 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 6 - 10 0.4 2.2 5.7 10.7 15.0 16.8 16.3 13.2 9.2 5.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Savannah St. 6 - 10 0.7 2.9 6.7 11.3 14.5 15.9 15.1 12.4 9.1 5.7 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 4 - 12 2.8 8.8 14.8 18.4 17.8 14.8 10.3 6.3 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 34.4% 22.4 8.9 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Howard 27.8% 17.6 7.4 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 14.5% 7.9 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 18.8% 10.5 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
NC Central 17.2% 9.4 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
N.C. A&T 9.6% 4.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 3.2% 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 2.9% 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.5% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Savannah St. 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 23.9% 23.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.6 23.2 76.1 0.0%
Howard 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 18.8 78.8 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 13.0 86.9 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 12.2 87.5 0.0%
NC Central 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 12.3 87.6 0.0%
N.C. A&T 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 7.8 92.2 0.0%
Florida A&M 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 3.9 96.1 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 2.9 97.1 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%
Savannah St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Norfolk St. 23.9% 21.3% 12.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 21.2% 15.2% 12.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 13.1% 12.7% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.5% 11.3% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 12.4% 11.9% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 7.8% 7.6% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 3.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Savannah St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 49.0% 0.5 51.0 49.0
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0