Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
265 Norfolk St. 32.2%   16   11 - 11 9 - 1 16 - 12 14 - 2 -6.0      -3.2 265 -2.8 246 70.7 134 -4.4 224 +3.1 1
306 Bethune-Cookman 14.4%   9 - 14 6 - 5 12 - 16 9 - 7 -8.5      -6.9 329 -1.7 219 77.5 26 -10.4 310 -10.3 4
313 Howard 12.1%   9 - 13 6 - 4 12 - 16 9 - 7 -9.3      -3.5 273 -5.9 328 76.2 39 -9.1 295 -10.7 5
314 NC Central 13.1%   9 - 13 7 - 4 12 - 15 10 - 6 -9.3      -6.4 319 -3.0 252 64.9 292 -12.1 323 -11.1 7
324 N.C. A&T 11.6%   11 - 11 8 - 2 14 - 14 11 - 5 -10.5      -5.8 312 -4.7 301 66.1 258 -6.1 254 -4.0 2
325 Florida A&M 9.2%   8 - 16 7 - 4 10 - 19 9 - 7 -10.7      -9.2 342 -1.5 212 63.8 313 -11.0 316 -8.7 3
334 Morgan St. 3.1%   7 - 15 3 - 8 10 - 17 6 - 10 -12.3      -8.2 338 -4.1 281 77.2 28 -15.1 335 -19.9 10
342 South Carolina St. 1.7%   4 - 20 4 - 6 6 - 24 6 - 10 -14.0      -5.2 296 -8.9 349 67.8 211 -18.4 343 -16.6 9
345 Coppin St. 1.3%   5 - 21 5 - 6 7 - 24 7 - 9 -15.1      -10.8 348 -4.3 290 73.5 73 -16.6 338 -14.2 8
348 Savannah St. 1.3%   8 - 15 6 - 4 10 - 19 8 - 8 -16.0      -7.0 330 -9.0 350 92.9 3 -11.7 322 -10.9 6
352 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.1%   2 - 23 2 - 10 4 - 25 4 - 12 -20.6      -11.9 351 -8.7 347 60.1 348 -22.7 350 -21.4 11
353 Delaware St. 0.0%   2 - 20 1 - 10 4 - 23 3 - 13 -21.4      -12.0 352 -9.4 353 72.3 94 -23.1 351 -27.2 12






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Norfolk St. 1.1 93.3 6.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 4.4 0.1 8.9 25.4 21.4 17.8 15.1 7.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
Howard 4.3 1.2 14.9 22.8 19.3 17.8 12.5 6.6 3.6 1.0 0.2
NC Central 3.7 1.6 19.3 28.8 22.3 16.1 8.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
N.C. A&T 2.2 15.3 62.3 12.5 5.9 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0
Florida A&M 4.2 0.6 14.8 23.4 19.5 17.3 14.7 7.1 2.1 0.4 0.0
Morgan St. 8.8 0.1 0.9 3.8 11.4 21.2 31.4 26.0 5.0 0.3
South Carolina St. 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.6 5.6 10.2 16.7 30.9 29.7 2.2 0.0
Coppin St. 7.3 0.1 1.0 3.4 7.4 14.2 25.9 30.2 13.4 4.3 0.1
Savannah St. 6.0 0.1 3.4 8.3 10.6 14.2 18.1 24.9 14.0 5.3 1.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 10.9 0.1 1.1 5.0 14.6 57.4 21.8
Delaware St. 11.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.2 33.3 60.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 14 - 2 0.0 0.5 3.2 12.4 27.5 35.5 20.8
Bethune-Cookman 9 - 7 0.8 6.0 19.6 32.5 29.6 11.5
Howard 9 - 7 1.2 6.7 18.2 29.7 26.6 14.5 3.2
NC Central 10 - 6 1.5 11.3 30.2 35.2 18.2 3.5
N.C. A&T 11 - 5 0.9 5.9 18.5 30.9 28.4 13.1 2.3
Florida A&M 9 - 7 4.9 19.7 31.1 28.1 13.3 2.8
Morgan St. 6 - 10 1.2 8.2 22.5 34.3 25.9 7.9
South Carolina St. 6 - 10 9.0 25.1 31.4 22.7 9.4 2.4 0.2
Coppin St. 7 - 9 3.5 21.0 37.3 28.2 9.1 1.0
Savannah St. 8 - 8 8.9 25.4 31.4 22.4 9.4 2.3 0.2
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 12 12.8 32.6 33.7 17.3 3.5
Delaware St. 3 - 13 13.0 33.4 33.4 16.2 3.7 0.3




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 93.3% 82.7 9.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Howard 1.2% 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
NC Central 1.6% 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
N.C. A&T 15.3% 6.0 8.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Florida A&M 0.6% 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Morgan St.
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Coppin St.
Savannah St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore
Delaware St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 32.2% 32.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 2.2 30.0 67.8 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 14.4 85.6 0.0%
Howard 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 0.0 12.1 87.9 0.0%
NC Central 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 13.1 86.9 0.0%
N.C. A&T 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0 11.5 88.4 0.0%
Florida A&M 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 9.2 90.8 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 3.1 96.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Coppin St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Savannah St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Norfolk St. 32.2% 23.6% 19.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 14.4% 14.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 12.1% 11.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 13.1% 13.1% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 11.6% 11.3% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 9.2% 9.2% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Savannah St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 45.7% 0.5 54.3 45.7
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0