Howard
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#321
Achievement Rating-11.4#318
Pace76.8#32
Improvement-2.0#272

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#253
First Shot-2.6#261
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#176
Layup/Dunks-3.8#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#306
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+2.3#67

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#341
First Shot-5.3#322
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#335
Layups/Dunks-0.8#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#277
Freethrows-2.7#328
Improvement-4.3#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.4% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 4.6% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 83.3% 37.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.0% 8.4% 5.1%
First Round2.6% 3.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 190   @ Massachusetts W 68-63 15%     1 - 0 +5.9 -7.8 +13.5
  Nov 19, 2018 145   @ Southern Illinois L 69-83 9%     1 - 1 -9.6 -4.3 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2018 206   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 76-97 17%     1 - 2 -20.9 -7.4 -10.4
  Nov 24, 2018 217   California Baptist W 86-84 25%     2 - 2 -1.3 +1.2 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2018 191   @ Appalachian St. L 86-100 15%     2 - 3 -13.1 -0.6 -10.6
  Dec 08, 2018 208   American W 85-83 33%     3 - 3 -3.6 +11.0 -14.5
  Dec 14, 2018 256   @ George Washington L 64-70 24%     3 - 4 -8.8 -12.4 +4.1
  Dec 16, 2018 226   @ Fordham L 67-74 20%     3 - 5 -8.2 -8.9 +1.1
  Dec 20, 2018 120   @ Ball St. L 71-98 7%     3 - 6 -20.6 +4.8 -26.4
  Dec 22, 2018 241   Hampton L 82-89 30%     3 - 7 -11.6 -5.1 -5.8
  Dec 29, 2018 68   @ Georgetown L 67-102 4%     3 - 8 -25.1 -15.8 -2.6
  Jan 05, 2019 325   Florida A&M L 72-82 63%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -23.5 -4.9 -18.4
  Jan 07, 2019 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-39 77%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +22.1 +6.4 +19.4
  Jan 12, 2019 303   Bethune-Cookman L 63-71 53%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -19.0 -15.5 -3.1
  Jan 15, 2019 334   Morgan St. L 86-89 68%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -18.1 -11.9 -5.5
  Jan 19, 2019 343   @ South Carolina St. W 71-67 57%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -8.0 -15.2 +6.9
  Jan 21, 2019 117   Harvard L 71-84 15%     5 - 12 -11.9 +1.8 -13.8
  Jan 26, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 80-74 90%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -18.1 -5.4 -12.9
  Jan 28, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-57 89%     7 - 12 4 - 3 -8.5 +2.2 -8.0
  Feb 02, 2019 261   Norfolk St. L 78-80 44%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -10.5 +1.9 -12.4
  Feb 09, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M W 70-66 41%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -4.0 +2.8 -6.4
  Feb 11, 2019 303   @ Bethune-Cookman W 79-73 32%     9 - 13 6 - 4 +0.6 -0.3 +0.4
  Feb 16, 2019 323   N.C. A&T L 81-85 62%     9 - 14 6 - 5 -17.3 -0.2 -17.0
  Feb 18, 2019 309   NC Central L 90-98 55%     9 - 15 6 - 6 -19.5 +7.5 -26.5
  Feb 23, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 25, 2019 334   @ Morgan St. L 79-80 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. W 92-90 58%    
  Mar 07, 2019 261   @ Norfolk St. L 74-81 24%    
Projected Record 10.9 - 17.1 7.9 - 8.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 1.4 3.1 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 8.8 1.2 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 9.8 11.2 0.1 21.1 5th
6th 1.0 18.0 0.5 19.5 6th
7th 0.1 12.0 8.7 20.8 7th
8th 3.0 13.5 0.6 17.1 8th
9th 4.1 1.5 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 1.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 8.4 28.1 37.1 21.9 4.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 4.6% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 3.8
9-7 21.9% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 2.2 19.7
8-8 37.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 2.5 34.6
7-9 28.1% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.2 26.8
6-10 8.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 8.1
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 3.6%