Howard
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#289
Achievement Rating+0.2#169
Pace78.0#34
Improvement-0.9#244

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#194
First Shot+1.9#121
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#323
Layup/Dunks-2.0#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#234
Freethrows-0.6#208
Improvement+1.8#48

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#330
First Shot-4.3#299
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#299
Layups/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#325
Freethrows-1.2#246
Improvement-2.6#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.7% 24.6% 18.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 69.9% 83.6% 61.6%
.500 or above in Conference 88.9% 92.7% 86.7%
Conference Champion 26.7% 32.5% 23.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four15.4% 16.1% 14.9%
First Round12.1% 15.7% 10.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 136   @ Massachusetts W 68-63 13%     1 - 0 +10.3 -6.1 +16.2
  Nov 19, 2018 123   @ Southern Illinois L 69-83 11%     1 - 1 -7.6 -2.6 -4.5
  Nov 23, 2018 239   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 76-97 31%     1 - 2 -22.8 -8.0 -11.7
  Nov 24, 2018 235   California Baptist W 86-84 41%     2 - 2 -2.6 +1.9 -4.7
  Dec 04, 2018 180   @ Appalachian St. L 86-100 21%     2 - 3 -12.4 -0.2 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2018 194   American W 85-83 42%     3 - 3 -3.0 +10.6 -13.6
  Dec 14, 2018 280   @ George Washington L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 16, 2018 252   @ Fordham L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 22, 2018 241   Hampton L 81-83 42%    
  Dec 20, 2018 103   @ Ball St. L 75-90 8%    
  Dec 29, 2018 89   @ Georgetown L 78-94 7%    
  Jan 05, 2019 335   Florida A&M W 79-70 79%    
  Jan 07, 2019 348   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 12, 2019 309   Bethune-Cookman W 84-79 67%    
  Jan 14, 2019 312   Morgan St. W 83-78 67%    
  Jan 19, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. W 81-77 63%    
  Jan 21, 2019 93   Harvard L 72-82 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 89-72 93%    
  Jan 28, 2019 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 02, 2019 277   Norfolk St. W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 09, 2019 335   @ Florida A&M W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 11, 2019 309   @ Bethune-Cookman L 81-82 45%    
  Feb 16, 2019 322   N.C. A&T W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 18, 2019 314   NC Central W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 23, 2019 350   @ Coppin St. W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 25, 2019 312   @ Morgan St. L 80-81 46%    
  Mar 02, 2019 352   @ Savannah St. W 101-93 77%    
  Mar 07, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 76-80 37%    
Projected Record 15.1 - 12.9 10.6 - 5.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 5.2 8.6 7.2 3.4 1.0 26.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.0 7.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.0 6.4 2.0 0.2 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.6 5.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.0 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.3 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.1 5.4 8.4 11.9 14.5 15.7 14.7 11.9 7.6 3.4 1.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
15-1 99.8% 3.4    3.3 0.1
14-2 95.2% 7.2    6.0 1.2 0.0
13-3 72.0% 8.6    4.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-4 35.3% 5.2    1.5 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 8.3% 1.3    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 26.7% 26.7 16.7 7.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 53.3% 53.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5
15-1 3.4% 45.8% 45.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.8
14-2 7.6% 40.4% 40.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.5
13-3 11.9% 32.6% 32.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.5 8.0
12-4 14.7% 27.2% 27.2% 16.0 0.1 3.9 10.7
11-5 15.7% 20.8% 20.8% 16.0 0.0 3.2 12.5
10-6 14.5% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2 12.2
9-7 11.9% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 1.2 10.6
8-8 8.4% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 7.8
7-9 5.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.2 5.2
6-10 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 3.0
5-11 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-12 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-13 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-14 0.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.9 18.6 79.3 0.0%