Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#204
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#240
Pace66.4#240
Improvement-0.8#221

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#226
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#304
Layup/Dunks+5.3#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#306
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.2#195

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#192
First Shot-1.0#198
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#175
Layups/Dunks-5.2#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#1
Freethrows-2.5#322
Improvement-0.6#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 36.0 - 4.06.0 - 6.0
Quad 49.0 - 9.015.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 155   @ George Mason W 78-75 OT 28%     1 - 0 +6.4 +0.7 +5.5
  Nov 12, 2018 71   @ Northwestern L 51-63 13%     1 - 1 -2.2 -9.4 +6.5
  Nov 16, 2018 341   New Hampshire W 68-44 91%     2 - 1 +6.5 -4.2 +12.0
  Nov 24, 2018 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-69 45%     3 - 1 +2.8 +5.9 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2018 295   @ VMI W 74-64 60%     4 - 1 +4.9 -5.1 +9.7
  Nov 30, 2018 314   Wagner L 58-64 82%     4 - 2 -18.1 -9.0 -10.1
  Dec 04, 2018 259   St. Francis (PA) W 95-82 72%     5 - 2 +4.5 +11.3 -7.1
  Dec 08, 2018 318   @ Howard L 83-85 66%     5 - 3 -8.8 +5.6 -14.4
  Dec 18, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's L 55-56 86%     5 - 4 -15.1 -11.5 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-58 96%     6 - 4 +0.8 -0.6 +1.1
  Dec 29, 2018 270   @ George Washington L 67-71 OT 54%     6 - 5 -7.6 -14.6 +7.6
  Jan 02, 2019 240   Boston University W 86-74 68%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +4.7 +7.9 -3.1
  Jan 06, 2019 136   @ Colgate L 69-73 23%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +1.1 -1.5 +2.4
  Jan 09, 2019 281   Navy W 71-63 75%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -1.7 -0.2 -0.8
  Jan 12, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 54-55 26%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +3.3 -15.5 +18.7
  Jan 16, 2019 175   @ Lehigh L 76-83 33%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -5.1 -3.2 -1.6
  Jan 19, 2019 299   Lafayette L 79-84 OT 78%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -15.9 -7.9 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2019 240   @ Boston University W 70-66 47%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +2.2 -0.7 +3.2
  Jan 26, 2019 146   Bucknell W 76-68 45%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +6.7 +1.6 +5.1
  Jan 30, 2019 273   @ Loyola Maryland W 74-68 54%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +2.4 -1.4 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2019 243   Holy Cross W 66-49 69%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +9.2 -3.3 +14.5
  Feb 06, 2019 281   @ Navy L 67-77 56%     12 - 10 6 - 5 -14.1 -5.1 -9.2
  Feb 09, 2019 242   Army W 71-68 69%     13 - 10 7 - 5 -4.7 +0.1 -4.7
  Feb 13, 2019 273   Loyola Maryland L 84-86 74%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -11.2 +5.6 -16.7
  Feb 16, 2019 136   Colgate L 81-83 OT 42%     13 - 12 7 - 7 -2.5 +4.0 -6.5
  Feb 20, 2019 299   @ Lafayette L 68-70 61%     13 - 13 7 - 8 -7.3 -8.1 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2019 242   @ Army W 77-66 48%     14 - 13 8 - 8 +8.8 +6.8 +2.1
  Feb 27, 2019 175   Lehigh L 66-80 54%     14 - 14 8 - 9 -17.6 -11.8 -6.0
  Mar 02, 2019 243   @ Holy Cross W 86-66 49%     15 - 14 9 - 9 +17.8 +14.7 +3.7
  Mar 07, 2019 281   Navy L 56-60 75%     15 - 15 -13.7 -14.9 +0.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%