Pre-tourney Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#242
Pace67.2#220
Improvement+5.0#17

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#294
First Shot-4.9#309
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#154
Layup/Dunks-4.5#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#228
Freethrows-0.8#239
Improvement+2.5#73

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
First Shot-2.1#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks+1.3#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement+2.5#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 35.0 - 9.05.0 - 15.0
Quad 47.0 - 4.012.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 122   @ Old Dominion L 44-67 11%     0 - 1 -16.8 -18.9 +0.3
  Nov 09, 2018 23   Maryland L 57-78 6%     0 - 2 -9.8 -10.5 +1.0
  Nov 14, 2018 343   Coppin St. W 77-58 85%     1 - 2 +1.2 +0.0 +1.4
  Nov 18, 2018 322   Bryant W 83-79 74%     2 - 2 -9.6 +0.6 -10.2
  Nov 20, 2018 338   @ Morgan St. L 51-75 66%     2 - 3 -35.2 -24.6 -11.1
  Nov 28, 2018 90   Liberty L 58-76 18%     2 - 4 -15.3 -6.7 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2018 149   Brown L 50-67 31%     2 - 5 -18.6 -19.4 +0.7
  Dec 05, 2018 254   @ Delaware W 80-65 34%     3 - 5 +12.3 +13.9 +0.5
  Dec 09, 2018 57   @ Lipscomb L 81-107 6%     3 - 6 -14.9 +11.4 -25.3
  Dec 21, 2018 155   @ George Mason L 63-84 17%     3 - 7 -17.6 -9.3 -7.9
  Dec 30, 2018 215   @ Cornell L 50-61 26%     3 - 8 -11.1 -18.8 +7.3
  Jan 03, 2019 136   Colgate W 72-66 27%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +5.5 -0.8 +6.5
  Jan 06, 2019 243   Holy Cross W 50-48 53%     5 - 8 2 - 0 -5.8 -21.6 +16.1
  Jan 09, 2019 204   @ American L 63-71 25%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -7.8 -4.8 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2019 240   Boston University L 69-75 52%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -13.3 -7.5 -6.1
  Jan 16, 2019 299   @ Lafayette W 85-77 44%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +2.7 +7.3 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2019 242   @ Army L 61-72 32%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -13.2 -7.5 -6.2
  Jan 23, 2019 175   Lehigh L 74-85 38%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -14.6 -11.7 -1.8
  Jan 26, 2019 243   @ Holy Cross L 64-69 33%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -7.2 -0.1 -7.9
  Jan 30, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 57-69 15%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -7.7 -14.7 +7.1
  Feb 02, 2019 273   Loyola Maryland W 71-68 59%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -6.2 -11.2 +4.9
  Feb 06, 2019 204   American W 77-67 44%     8 - 14 5 - 6 +4.6 +3.5 +1.3
  Feb 09, 2019 175   @ Lehigh L 57-83 20%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -24.1 -19.3 -4.4
  Feb 13, 2019 299   Lafayette L 74-80 65%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -16.9 -7.1 -9.7
  Feb 16, 2019 242   Army W 79-68 53%     9 - 16 6 - 8 +3.3 +4.0 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2019 273   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-79 38%     9 - 17 6 - 9 -12.6 -5.9 -6.6
  Feb 23, 2019 136   @ Colgate L 71-93 13%     9 - 18 6 - 10 -16.9 -3.4 -13.1
  Feb 27, 2019 146   Bucknell W 64-53 29%     10 - 18 7 - 10 +9.7 -5.3 +15.8
  Mar 02, 2019 240   @ Boston University W 79-74 31%     11 - 18 8 - 10 +3.2 +14.2 -10.2
  Mar 07, 2019 204   @ American W 60-56 25%     12 - 18 +4.2 -6.5 +11.1
  Mar 10, 2019 136   @ Colgate L 70-80 13%     12 - 19 -4.9 -0.9 -4.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%