Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#136
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#129
Pace66.5#237
Improvement+4.3#27

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#75
First Shot+4.8#47
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#241
Layup/Dunks+2.5#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#27
Freethrows-0.9#251
Improvement+3.1#53

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
First Shot-1.3#210
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#216
Layups/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
Freethrows+1.0#108
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round4.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 310.0 - 3.010.0 - 7.0
Quad 413.0 - 3.023.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 188   @ NJIT L 78-81 OT 54%     0 - 1 -1.9 +13.1 -15.2
  Nov 09, 2018 279   Monmouth W 87-74 86%     1 - 1 +3.5 +6.7 -4.2
  Nov 11, 2018 215   @ Cornell W 73-57 59%     2 - 1 +15.9 -1.6 +16.7
  Nov 19, 2018 321   Binghamton W 76-68 92%     3 - 1 -5.5 -2.0 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2018 33   @ Syracuse L 56-77 13%     3 - 2 -6.5 -4.5 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2018 250   @ Siena W 84-79 68%     4 - 2 +2.4 +16.0 -13.2
  Nov 30, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 63-73 35%     4 - 3 -3.6 -2.8 -1.0
  Dec 02, 2018 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-56 61%     5 - 3 +17.5 +2.5 +15.3
  Dec 05, 2018 211   @ Columbia W 64-62 59%     6 - 3 +2.0 -3.9 +6.1
  Dec 08, 2018 42   @ Penn St. L 65-76 15%     6 - 4 +2.5 +0.1 +2.5
  Dec 15, 2018 277   Marist W 82-66 86%     7 - 4 +6.6 +2.4 +3.8
  Dec 29, 2018 93   @ Pittsburgh L 54-68 29%     7 - 5 -5.9 -10.8 +4.2
  Jan 03, 2019 281   @ Navy L 66-72 73%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -10.1 -4.8 -5.5
  Jan 06, 2019 204   American W 73-69 77%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -1.4 +0.6 -1.8
  Jan 09, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 81-84 42%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +1.3 +5.1 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2019 175   Lehigh W 91-78 72%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +9.4 +11.9 -2.7
  Jan 16, 2019 242   @ Army L 81-91 67%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -12.2 +8.4 -20.4
  Jan 19, 2019 240   @ Boston University W 77-56 65%     10 - 8 3 - 3 +19.2 +11.5 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2019 299   Lafayette W 57-47 89%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -0.9 -19.6 +19.3
  Jan 26, 2019 273   @ Loyola Maryland L 72-79 OT 72%     11 - 9 4 - 4 -10.6 -3.6 -7.0
  Jan 30, 2019 242   Army W 76-56 83%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +12.3 +11.6 +3.0
  Feb 02, 2019 240   Boston University L 68-76 82%     12 - 10 5 - 5 -15.3 -1.4 -15.0
  Feb 04, 2019 175   @ Lehigh W 84-62 51%     13 - 10 6 - 5 +23.9 +7.9 +15.8
  Feb 09, 2019 273   Loyola Maryland W 75-72 86%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -6.2 +5.0 -10.8
  Feb 13, 2019 243   @ Holy Cross W 74-70 67%     15 - 10 8 - 5 +1.8 +6.5 -4.4
  Feb 16, 2019 204   @ American W 83-81 OT 58%     16 - 10 9 - 5 +2.2 +9.5 -7.3
  Feb 19, 2019 146   Bucknell W 75-64 64%     17 - 10 10 - 5 +9.7 +3.2 +6.8
  Feb 23, 2019 281   Navy W 93-71 87%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +12.3 +14.8 -2.9
  Feb 27, 2019 243   Holy Cross W 79-59 83%     19 - 10 12 - 5 +12.2 +6.2 +7.1
  Mar 02, 2019 299   @ Lafayette W 76-70 77%     20 - 10 13 - 5 +0.7 -0.2 +1.0
  Mar 07, 2019 240   Boston University W 81-69 82%     21 - 10 +4.7 +2.7 +2.0
  Mar 10, 2019 281   Navy W 80-70 87%     22 - 10 +0.3 +6.0 -5.4
  Mar 13, 2019 146   Bucknell W 94-80 64%     23 - 10 +12.7 +17.8 -5.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.1 10.5 88.6 0.9
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 10.5 88.6 0.9