Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#231
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#211
Pace66.9#229
Improvement+0.2#168

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#200
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#325
Layup/Dunks+1.7#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#214
Freethrows+1.3#85
Improvement-5.3#340

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#259
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#104
Layups/Dunks-0.7#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#309
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+5.5#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 22.0 - 12.02.0 - 16.0
Quad 31.0 - 6.03.0 - 22.0
Quad 45.0 - 1.08.0 - 23.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 87   Yale L 59-76 18%     0 - 1 -11.2 -16.3 +5.9
  Nov 13, 2018 206   Hampton W 80-66 56%     1 - 1 +8.6 +1.4 +7.2
  Nov 19, 2018 73   St. John's L 79-82 15%     1 - 2 +4.0 +12.0 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2018 70   Temple L 59-76 15%     1 - 3 -9.9 -6.9 -4.0
  Nov 26, 2018 180   Santa Clara W 78-66 50%     2 - 3 +8.1 +3.0 +4.9
  Dec 01, 2018 35   @ St. Mary's L 71-84 6%     2 - 4 +1.2 +11.7 -11.9
  Dec 05, 2018 81   San Francisco L 60-79 24%     2 - 5 -15.8 -7.6 -10.0
  Dec 08, 2018 104   San Diego St. W 89-83 29%     3 - 5 +7.9 +30.5 -21.9
  Dec 15, 2018 332   Cal Poly W 67-66 84%     4 - 5 -13.7 -8.0 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2018 72   @ Fresno St. L 73-95 10%     4 - 6 -12.2 +0.3 -11.0
  Dec 21, 2018 342   San Jose St. W 88-80 89%     5 - 6 -9.6 +10.0 -19.4
  Dec 29, 2018 181   Seattle L 73-82 50%     5 - 7 -13.0 +1.0 -14.1
  Jan 03, 2019 84   @ USC L 73-82 12%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -0.3 +7.7 -8.5
  Jan 05, 2019 108   @ UCLA L 83-98 15%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -7.7 -4.3 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2019 59   Arizona St. L 66-80 18%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -8.5 -3.9 -4.6
  Jan 12, 2019 98   Arizona L 65-87 27%     5 - 11 0 - 4 -19.7 -2.1 -18.7
  Jan 17, 2019 205   @ Washington St. L 59-82 34%     5 - 12 0 - 5 -22.8 -16.4 -6.5
  Jan 19, 2019 51   @ Washington L 52-71 7%     5 - 13 0 - 6 -6.6 -12.4 +5.8
  Jan 24, 2019 65   Colorado L 59-68 20%     5 - 14 0 - 7 -4.1 -3.7 -1.2
  Jan 26, 2019 99   Utah L 64-82 28%     5 - 15 0 - 8 -15.9 -9.8 -6.9
  Feb 03, 2019 103   Stanford L 81-84 29%     5 - 16 0 - 9 -1.1 +6.5 -7.4
  Feb 06, 2019 43   @ Oregon L 62-73 6%     5 - 17 0 - 10 +2.4 +3.8 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2019 85   @ Oregon St. L 71-79 12%     5 - 18 0 - 11 +0.7 +3.5 -3.2
  Feb 13, 2019 108   UCLA L 67-75 OT 29%     5 - 19 0 - 12 -6.3 -11.0 +5.3
  Feb 16, 2019 84   USC L 66-89 25%     5 - 20 0 - 13 -19.9 -7.0 -12.6
  Feb 21, 2019 98   @ Arizona L 51-76 14%     5 - 21 0 - 14 -17.1 -14.1 -4.2
  Feb 24, 2019 59   @ Arizona St. L 59-69 9%     5 - 22 0 - 15 +1.1 -3.3 +3.5
  Feb 28, 2019 51   Washington W 76-73 16%     6 - 22 1 - 15 +9.8 +16.8 -6.7
  Mar 02, 2019 205   Washington St. W 76-69 55%     7 - 22 2 - 15 +1.6 -7.9 +9.0
  Mar 07, 2019 103   @ Stanford W 64-59 14%     8 - 22 3 - 15 +12.5 -2.8 +15.2
  Mar 13, 2019 65   Colorado L 51-56 14%     8 - 23 +2.7 -11.2 +13.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 23.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%