Pre-tourney Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#87
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#78
Pace75.2#46
Improvement-0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#42
First Shot+5.7#31
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#192
Layup/Dunks+3.9#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement+4.3#23

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#157
First Shot+1.3#126
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#273
Layups/Dunks+0.6#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#63
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement-4.4#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 39.0 - 1.010.0 - 6.0
Quad 411.0 - 1.021.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 231   California W 76-59 82%     1 - 0 +13.0 -3.6 +15.8
  Nov 17, 2018 58   @ Memphis L 102-109 2OT 31%     1 - 1 +4.1 +5.9 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2018 94   @ Vermont L 70-79 41%     1 - 2 -0.9 +4.3 -5.5
  Nov 28, 2018 322   @ Bryant W 103-61 90%     2 - 2 +34.0 +16.4 +14.3
  Dec 01, 2018 66   Miami (FL) W 77-73 43%     3 - 2 +11.7 +2.9 +8.6
  Dec 05, 2018 175   Lehigh W 97-87 81%     4 - 2 +6.4 +10.3 -4.8
  Dec 08, 2018 3   @ Duke L 58-91 5%     4 - 3 -7.7 -11.3 +8.8
  Dec 11, 2018 271   Albany W 71-63 91%     5 - 3 -1.1 -5.4 +4.3
  Dec 20, 2018 279   @ Monmouth W 66-58 82%     6 - 3 +4.1 -2.9 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2018 191   Iona W 99-84 84%     7 - 3 +10.3 +9.1 -0.7
  Jan 02, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 92-65 97%     8 - 3 +9.9 +7.7 +1.0
  Jan 05, 2019 252   @ Cal St. Northridge W 94-90 OT 79%     9 - 3 +1.4 +2.7 -1.9
  Jan 19, 2019 149   @ Brown W 70-67 57%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +6.9 -2.2 +8.9
  Jan 25, 2019 149   Brown W 79-71 76%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +6.4 +3.8 +1.9
  Feb 01, 2019 127   @ Harvard L 49-65 50%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -10.2 -19.4 +9.0
  Feb 02, 2019 221   @ Dartmouth W 89-68 73%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +20.3 +18.7 +2.5
  Feb 08, 2019 173   Princeton W 74-60 81%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +10.5 -1.0 +10.8
  Feb 09, 2019 128   Penn W 78-65 71%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +13.2 +7.3 +5.9
  Feb 15, 2019 211   @ Columbia W 70-64 71%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +6.0 -5.1 +10.9
  Feb 16, 2019 215   @ Cornell W 98-92 72%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +5.9 +24.1 -18.3
  Feb 22, 2019 221   Dartmouth W 77-59 87%     17 - 4 8 - 1 +11.8 +2.4 +9.9
  Feb 23, 2019 127   Harvard L 86-88 71%     17 - 5 8 - 2 -1.8 +11.0 -12.7
  Mar 01, 2019 215   Cornell W 88-65 86%     18 - 5 9 - 2 +17.4 +9.5 +6.6
  Mar 02, 2019 211   Columbia L 75-83 86%     18 - 6 9 - 3 -13.5 -1.9 -11.4
  Mar 08, 2019 128   @ Penn L 66-77 50%     18 - 7 9 - 4 -5.3 +3.3 -9.6
  Mar 09, 2019 173   @ Princeton W 81-59 64%     19 - 7 10 - 4 +24.1 +12.7 +11.4
  Mar 16, 2019 173   Princeton W 83-77 81%     20 - 7 +2.5 +9.8 -7.4
  Mar 17, 2019 127   Harvard W 97-85 71%     21 - 7 +12.2 +26.2 -13.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 7.0 10.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 6.3 41.9 51.4 0.5
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.5 6.3 41.9 51.4 0.5