Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#265
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#264
Pace66.7#233
Improvement+2.0#106

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#246
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#243
Layup/Dunks-3.7#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#46
Freethrows-3.6#341
Improvement+1.8#95

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#274
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks-2.3#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#95
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 31.0 - 3.01.0 - 15.0
Quad 48.0 - 5.09.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 287   @ Charlotte W 80-69 43%     1 - 0 +6.7 +11.4 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2018 260   Eastern Kentucky L 78-81 60%     1 - 1 -11.6 -9.9 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2018 214   @ South Alabama L 54-73 28%     1 - 2 -19.1 -20.7 +2.0
  Nov 17, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. L 42-63 63%     1 - 3 -30.5 -35.0 +4.3
  Nov 18, 2018 264   Jacksonville L 66-74 50%     1 - 4 -14.0 -12.6 -0.9
  Nov 23, 2018 6   @ Michigan L 55-83 1%     1 - 5 -5.3 -1.7 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2018 326   Tennessee Tech W 71-60 77%     2 - 5 -3.0 -0.5 -2.0
  Dec 09, 2018 295   VMI W 83-65 67%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +7.3 +0.9 +6.0
  Dec 12, 2018 116   @ Georgia St. L 88-95 12%     3 - 6 -0.3 +11.3 -11.1
  Dec 16, 2018 41   @ Mississippi L 70-90 4%     3 - 7 -6.4 -1.1 -4.2
  Dec 18, 2018 297   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-75 47%     3 - 8 -8.3 -5.5 -2.9
  Dec 29, 2018 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 72-85 10%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -5.1 +1.2 -5.7
  Jan 03, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 73-62 42%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +6.9 +4.3 +3.7
  Jan 05, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-96 9%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -17.6 -1.3 -15.3
  Jan 12, 2019 159   Samford W 80-75 37%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +2.4 +4.5 -2.1
  Jan 17, 2019 203   Mercer W 73-70 47%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -2.4 +5.3 -7.3
  Jan 19, 2019 278   The Citadel W 73-71 63%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -7.5 -9.6 +2.1
  Jan 24, 2019 61   @ Furman L 58-73 7%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -4.2 +0.6 -7.1
  Jan 26, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 69-80 3%     7 - 12 5 - 4 +5.2 +3.2 +1.7
  Jan 31, 2019 283   Western Carolina L 96-105 64%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -18.7 +12.0 -30.3
  Feb 02, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 64-77 20%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -10.1 -2.7 -8.3
  Feb 07, 2019 295   @ VMI W 71-70 46%     8 - 14 6 - 6 -4.1 -2.7 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 63-78 21%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -12.6 -2.3 -11.5
  Feb 16, 2019 159   @ Samford L 76-80 OT 19%     8 - 16 6 - 8 -1.0 -6.4 +5.9
  Feb 21, 2019 278   @ The Citadel W 68-65 42%     9 - 16 7 - 8 -0.9 -4.5 +3.8
  Feb 23, 2019 203   @ Mercer L 69-74 27%     9 - 17 7 - 9 -4.8 +5.3 -10.8
  Feb 28, 2019 25   Wofford L 54-80 7%     9 - 18 7 - 10 -15.3 -11.1 -6.7
  Mar 02, 2019 61   Furman L 50-71 14%     9 - 19 7 - 11 -15.7 -15.3 -2.1
  Mar 09, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 64-68 14%     9 - 20 +1.7 -3.5 +5.0
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%