Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#188
Pace71.7#100
Improvement-4.8#334

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#148
First Shot+2.3#111
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks+2.0#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#213
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement-1.3#248

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#190
First Shot+1.3#124
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#336
Layups/Dunks+4.7#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#281
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement-3.5#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 3.01.0 - 6.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.01.0 - 11.0
Quad 32.0 - 1.03.0 - 12.0
Quad 413.0 - 4.016.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 301   North Alabama W 91-74 85%     1 - 0 +6.0 +6.4 -2.2
  Nov 09, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. W 92-72 50%     2 - 0 +20.1 +9.3 +8.4
  Nov 12, 2018 340   Kennesaw St. W 74-60 94%     3 - 0 -3.1 +2.9 -4.3
  Nov 18, 2018 289   @ Cleveland St. W 73-60 67%     4 - 0 +8.5 -4.9 +13.2
  Nov 20, 2018 46   @ Ohio St. L 50-68 11%     4 - 1 -4.6 -13.6 +8.5
  Nov 23, 2018 182   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-66 45%     5 - 1 +9.5 +1.4 +8.3
  Nov 25, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 77-60 94%     6 - 1 -0.1 -4.4 +4.9
  Nov 29, 2018 54   Belmont L 93-99 OT 28%     6 - 2 +0.2 +3.0 -1.7
  Dec 09, 2018 348   @ Alabama A&M W 77-59 89%     7 - 2 +4.8 -1.5 +5.5
  Dec 13, 2018 262   Morehead St. W 77-72 OT 80%     8 - 2 -3.7 -8.1 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 85-61 82%     9 - 2 +14.3 +3.6 +10.3
  Dec 19, 2018 8   @ Tennessee L 70-83 3%     9 - 3 +9.2 +5.6 +3.3
  Dec 22, 2018 97   UNC Greensboro L 75-83 42%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -5.6 +4.6 -10.3
  Dec 29, 2018 295   VMI W 96-68 85%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +17.3 +5.3 +8.9
  Jan 03, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-81 OT 22%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -0.6 -5.1 +5.6
  Jan 05, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina L 69-76 66%     10 - 6 1 - 3 -11.1 -2.4 -9.3
  Jan 12, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga L 75-80 63%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -8.3 -0.7 -7.6
  Jan 17, 2019 278   The Citadel W 80-77 82%     11 - 7 2 - 4 -6.5 +0.5 -6.9
  Jan 19, 2019 203   Mercer L 87-93 70%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -11.4 +3.7 -14.5
  Jan 24, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 106-107 OT 8%     11 - 9 2 - 6 +15.2 +26.3 -10.9
  Jan 26, 2019 61   @ Furman W 75-73 16%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +12.8 +6.3 +6.5
  Jan 31, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 66-74 40%     12 - 10 3 - 7 -5.1 -6.3 +1.3
  Feb 02, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 92-81 82%     13 - 10 4 - 7 +1.3 +9.1 -8.2
  Feb 07, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-75 23%     13 - 11 4 - 8 -0.1 -4.2 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2019 295   @ VMI W 84-77 OT 70%     14 - 11 5 - 8 +1.9 -8.1 +8.8
  Feb 16, 2019 265   Chattanooga W 80-76 OT 81%     15 - 11 6 - 8 -4.9 -8.7 +3.3
  Feb 21, 2019 203   @ Mercer L 62-65 50%     15 - 12 6 - 9 -2.8 -12.1 +9.3
  Feb 23, 2019 278   @ The Citadel L 83-87 OT 66%     15 - 13 6 - 10 -7.9 -3.2 -4.3
  Feb 28, 2019 61   Furman L 81-90 31%     15 - 14 6 - 11 -3.7 +10.7 -14.3
  Mar 02, 2019 25   Wofford L 64-85 16%     15 - 15 6 - 12 -10.3 -5.3 -5.3
  Mar 08, 2019 278   The Citadel W 100-71 75%     16 - 15 +22.3 +12.9 +7.5
  Mar 09, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 70-77 32%     16 - 16 -1.8 +4.4 -6.5
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%