Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#107
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#128
Pace71.3#111
Improvement-5.4#337

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot+2.0#123
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#89
Layup/Dunks+4.1#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
Freethrows-1.0#254
Improvement-2.6#295

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
First Shot+1.3#129
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#165
Layups/Dunks-1.3#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#40
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement-2.8#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 5.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 6.01.0 - 11.0
Quad 20.8 - 5.01.8 - 16.0
Quad 33.2 - 1.05.0 - 17.0
Quad 411.0 - 0.016.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 262   Morehead St. W 80-70 89%     1 - 0 +1.3 -1.1 +2.1
  Nov 11, 2018 233   UMKC W 94-66 86%     2 - 0 +21.1 +14.8 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2018 33   Syracuse W 83-76 25%     3 - 0 +18.7 +10.4 +7.8
  Nov 16, 2018 36   Iowa L 72-91 26%     3 - 1 -7.7 -4.3 -1.9
  Nov 20, 2018 215   Cornell W 91-74 83%     4 - 1 +11.4 +9.9 +0.1
  Nov 25, 2018 341   New Hampshire W 91-66 97%     5 - 1 +7.5 +11.2 -4.7
  Nov 27, 2018 257   Umass Lowell W 97-75 88%     6 - 1 +13.7 +8.2 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2018 98   Arizona L 72-76 59%     6 - 2 -1.7 -3.3 +1.9
  Dec 05, 2018 299   Lafayette W 90-63 92%     7 - 2 +16.1 +5.6 +9.3
  Dec 08, 2018 13   Florida St. L 71-79 14%     7 - 3 +8.3 +1.0 +8.1
  Dec 15, 2018 316   Manhattan W 61-46 93%     8 - 3 +2.7 -13.0 +15.8
  Dec 18, 2018 247   Drexel W 97-65 88%     9 - 3 +24.0 +17.3 +6.8
  Dec 22, 2018 24   Villanova L 58-81 20%     9 - 4 -9.4 -11.8 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2019 120   @ South Florida L 68-76 43%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.6 -2.2 +0.9
  Jan 05, 2019 48   Central Florida L 53-65 38%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -4.4 -11.1 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2019 110   SMU W 76-64 62%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +13.5 +12.1 +3.2
  Jan 12, 2019 32   @ Cincinnati L 72-74 OT 17%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +12.7 +5.4 +7.3
  Jan 16, 2019 121   @ Tulsa L 83-89 43%     10 - 8 1 - 4 +0.4 +7.5 -6.6
  Jan 19, 2019 282   Tulane W 87-71 90%     11 - 8 2 - 4 +6.3 +5.1 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2019 88   Wichita St. W 80-60 56%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +23.0 +13.0 +10.8
  Jan 31, 2019 48   @ Central Florida L 67-73 21%     12 - 9 3 - 5 +7.2 +6.1 +0.7
  Feb 03, 2019 261   East Carolina W 76-52 89%     13 - 9 4 - 5 +15.4 +7.2 +10.5
  Feb 06, 2019 70   @ Temple L 63-81 30%     13 - 10 4 - 6 -8.1 +0.9 -10.6
  Feb 10, 2019 58   @ Memphis L 71-78 27%     13 - 11 4 - 7 +4.1 +1.8 +2.6
  Feb 14, 2019 15   Houston L 63-71 21%     13 - 12 4 - 8 +5.0 +3.4 +0.9
  Feb 21, 2019 110   @ SMU L 59-77 41%     13 - 13 4 - 9 -11.0 -11.8 +0.1
  Feb 24, 2019 32   Cincinnati L 60-64 33%     13 - 14 4 - 10 +5.1 -1.2 +5.9
  Feb 28, 2019 88   @ Wichita St. L 63-65 35%     13 - 15 4 - 11 +6.5 +0.8 +5.6
  Mar 03, 2019 120   South Florida W 60-58 64%     14 - 15 5 - 11 +2.8 -3.1 +6.1
  Mar 07, 2019 70   Temple L 71-78 51%     14 - 16 5 - 12 -2.6 +3.6 -6.5
  Mar 10, 2019 261   @ East Carolina W 82-73 77%     15 - 16 6 - 12 +6.0 +12.6 -6.2
  Mar 14, 2019 120   South Florida W 80-73 54%     16 - 16 +10.6 +14.6 -3.8
  Mar 15, 2019 15   Houston L 45-84 15%     16 - 17 -23.2 -17.1 -7.8
Projected Record 16.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%