Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#24
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#28
Pace61.9#330
Improvement+0.9#146

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#15
First Shot+6.0#28
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#11
Layup/Dunks-1.2#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#6
Freethrows+2.3#36
Improvement-0.8#225

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#68
First Shot+4.1#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#168
Layups/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
Freethrows+2.2#43
Improvement+1.7#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 62.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen24.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.4% n/a n/a
Final Four2.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 3.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b4.0 - 3.05.0 - 6.0
Quad 213.0 - 3.018.0 - 9.0
Quad 33.0 - 0.021.0 - 9.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.025.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 338   Morgan St. W 100-77 99%     1 - 0 +6.3 +9.8 -6.0
  Nov 10, 2018 228   Quinnipiac W 86-53 96%     2 - 0 +26.5 +11.9 +16.3
  Nov 14, 2018 6   Michigan L 46-73 37%     2 - 1 -9.9 -12.0 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2018 61   Furman L 68-76 OT 79%     2 - 2 -2.7 -5.7 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2018 268   Canisius W 83-56 96%     3 - 2 +20.7 +6.2 +14.8
  Nov 23, 2018 79   Oklahoma St. W 77-58 76%     4 - 2 +25.2 +17.7 +10.2
  Nov 25, 2018 13   Florida St. W 66-60 40%     5 - 2 +22.3 +13.2 +10.0
  Dec 01, 2018 216   @ La Salle W 85-78 90%     6 - 2 +6.8 +21.9 -14.5
  Dec 05, 2018 70   Temple W 69-59 81%     7 - 2 +14.4 +9.4 +6.5
  Dec 08, 2018 174   Saint Joseph's W 70-58 94%     8 - 2 +8.5 -7.5 +15.6
  Dec 11, 2018 128   @ Penn L 75-78 77%     8 - 3 +2.7 +12.9 -10.4
  Dec 15, 2018 17   @ Kansas L 71-74 34%     8 - 4 +14.8 +12.5 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2018 107   Connecticut W 81-58 80%     9 - 4 +27.6 +7.9 +19.2
  Jan 02, 2019 91   DePaul W 73-68 85%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +7.6 +4.6 +3.4
  Jan 05, 2019 64   @ Providence W 65-59 62%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +16.5 +4.6 +12.3
  Jan 08, 2019 73   St. John's W 76-71 81%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +9.2 +7.8 +1.6
  Jan 13, 2019 49   @ Creighton W 90-78 53%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +24.9 +22.2 +2.7
  Jan 18, 2019 60   Xavier W 85-75 79%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +15.3 +20.2 -4.1
  Jan 22, 2019 69   @ Butler W 80-72 64%     15 - 4 6 - 0 +18.0 +22.1 -3.0
  Jan 27, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 80-52 74%     16 - 4 7 - 0 +35.0 +14.7 +21.3
  Jan 30, 2019 91   @ DePaul W 86-74 70%     17 - 4 8 - 0 +20.2 +24.4 -2.9
  Feb 03, 2019 76   Georgetown W 77-65 83%     18 - 4 9 - 0 +15.7 +4.6 +11.0
  Feb 06, 2019 49   Creighton W 66-59 OT 73%     19 - 4 10 - 0 +14.3 +6.1 +9.3
  Feb 09, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 65-66 40%     19 - 5 10 - 1 +15.2 +8.6 +6.5
  Feb 13, 2019 64   Providence W 85-67 79%     20 - 5 11 - 1 +23.0 +23.7 +0.5
  Feb 17, 2019 73   @ St. John's L 65-71 65%     20 - 6 11 - 2 +3.7 -3.8 +7.5
  Feb 20, 2019 76   @ Georgetown L 73-85 67%     20 - 7 11 - 3 -2.8 +2.8 -5.4
  Feb 24, 2019 60   @ Xavier L 54-66 61%     20 - 8 11 - 4 -1.1 -5.8 +2.7
  Feb 27, 2019 27   Marquette W 67-61 61%     21 - 8 12 - 4 +16.7 +5.6 +11.7
  Mar 02, 2019 69   Butler W 75-54 81%     22 - 8 13 - 4 +25.5 +11.3 +16.4
  Mar 09, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 75-79 54%     22 - 9 13 - 5 +8.5 +19.5 -11.5
  Mar 14, 2019 64   Providence W 73-62 71%     23 - 9 +18.7 +4.3 +14.0
  Mar 15, 2019 60   Xavier W 71-67 OT 70%     24 - 9 +12.1 +3.6 +8.6
  Mar 16, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 74-72 65%     25 - 9 +11.8 +6.7 +5.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.2 0.1 2.4 17.2 42.9 37.1 0.4
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.2 0.1 2.4 17.2 42.9 37.1 0.4