Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.8#15
Expected Predictive Rating+18.4#10
Pace65.9#258
Improvement+1.7#112

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#24
First Shot+3.5#76
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#9
Layup/Dunks-0.5#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#90
Freethrows-0.3#214
Improvement+2.7#63

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#15
First Shot+7.4#14
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#48
Layups/Dunks+6.9#4
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement-1.0#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 5.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 30.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen54.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight23.0% n/a n/a
Final Four8.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 1.03.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 2.06.0 - 3.0
Quad 210.0 - 0.016.0 - 3.0
Quad 35.0 - 0.021.0 - 3.0
Quad 410.0 - 0.031.0 - 3.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 348   Alabama A&M W 101-54 99.5%    1 - 0 +28.2 +23.6 +5.0
  Nov 14, 2018 251   Rice W 79-68 98%     2 - 0 +2.9 +8.3 -4.4
  Nov 19, 2018 337   Northwestern St. W 82-55 99%     3 - 0 +10.4 +14.7 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2018 95   @ BYU W 76-62 77%     4 - 0 +22.1 +15.5 +8.5
  Nov 28, 2018 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 58-53 95%     5 - 0 +1.6 -7.4 +9.6
  Dec 01, 2018 43   Oregon W 65-61 78%     6 - 0 +11.9 +0.9 +11.1
  Dec 04, 2018 224   Lamar W 79-56 97%     7 - 0 +16.7 +5.7 +12.0
  Dec 08, 2018 79   @ Oklahoma St. W 63-53 74%     8 - 0 +19.0 -2.5 +22.1
  Dec 12, 2018 18   LSU W 82-76 63%     9 - 0 +18.3 +3.9 +13.8
  Dec 16, 2018 102   Saint Louis W 68-64 90%     10 - 0 +5.9 +2.7 +3.4
  Dec 20, 2018 37   Utah St. W 60-50 76%     11 - 0 +18.3 -6.5 +25.3
  Dec 23, 2018 343   Coppin St. W 75-44 99%     12 - 0 +13.2 -8.8 +19.6
  Dec 29, 2018 188   NJIT W 80-59 96%     13 - 0 +16.6 +2.4 +13.0
  Jan 02, 2019 121   Tulsa W 74-56 91%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +18.8 +1.4 +17.0
  Jan 06, 2019 58   Memphis W 90-77 83%     15 - 0 2 - 0 +18.5 +16.2 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2019 70   @ Temple L 69-73 72%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +5.9 +1.4 +4.5
  Jan 12, 2019 88   Wichita St. W 79-70 88%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +12.0 +11.9 +0.4
  Jan 16, 2019 110   @ SMU W 69-58 80%     17 - 1 4 - 1 +18.0 +10.9 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2019 120   @ South Florida W 69-60 81%     18 - 1 5 - 1 +15.4 +4.1 +11.5
  Jan 23, 2019 261   East Carolina W 94-50 98%     19 - 1 6 - 1 +35.4 +19.5 +16.7
  Jan 27, 2019 121   @ Tulsa W 77-65 81%     20 - 1 7 - 1 +18.4 +7.8 +10.4
  Jan 31, 2019 70   Temple W 73-66 86%     21 - 1 8 - 1 +11.4 +0.9 +10.3
  Feb 07, 2019 48   @ Central Florida W 77-68 60%     22 - 1 9 - 1 +22.2 +12.1 +10.1
  Feb 10, 2019 32   Cincinnati W 65-58 74%     23 - 1 10 - 1 +16.1 +12.3 +5.4
  Feb 14, 2019 107   @ Connecticut W 71-63 79%     24 - 1 11 - 1 +15.3 +7.6 +8.5
  Feb 17, 2019 282   @ Tulane W 85-50 96%     25 - 1 12 - 1 +30.9 +10.3 +20.1
  Feb 23, 2019 120   South Florida W 71-59 91%     26 - 1 13 - 1 +12.8 +7.3 +6.5
  Feb 27, 2019 261   @ East Carolina W 99-65 95%     27 - 1 14 - 1 +31.0 +23.3 +6.9
  Mar 02, 2019 48   Central Florida L 64-69 78%     27 - 2 14 - 2 +2.6 +3.1 -1.0
  Mar 07, 2019 110   SMU W 90-79 90%     28 - 2 15 - 2 +12.5 +16.4 -3.7
  Mar 10, 2019 32   @ Cincinnati W 85-69 54%     29 - 2 16 - 2 +30.7 +22.0 +9.1
  Mar 15, 2019 107   Connecticut W 84-45 85%     30 - 2 +43.6 +16.3 +29.0
  Mar 16, 2019 58   @ Memphis W 61-58 68%     31 - 2 +14.1 -4.1 +18.2
  Mar 17, 2019 32   Cincinnati L 57-69 65%     31 - 3 -0.1 -0.4 -1.5
Projected Record 31.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 5.8 24.6 46.6 22.0 1.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.9 5.8 24.6 46.6 22.0 1.1 0.0 100.0%