Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#75
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#91
Pace74.6#58
Improvement-0.3#198

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#77
First Shot+2.9#95
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#106
Layup/Dunks+2.4#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+1.9#88

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#97
First Shot+3.2#81
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#12
Freethrows-1.8#292
Improvement-2.2#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 5.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 7.03.0 - 12.0
Quad 24.0 - 7.07.0 - 19.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.010.0 - 21.0
Quad 42.0 - 0.012.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 223   Evansville W 99-60 88%     1 - 0 +32.7 +11.4 +16.3
  Nov 13, 2018 76   Georgetown L 80-88 62%     1 - 1 -4.3 -2.1 -1.3
  Nov 19, 2018 1   Gonzaga L 78-84 7%     1 - 2 +17.7 +6.0 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2018 16   Iowa St. L 68-84 21%     1 - 3 -0.8 +2.7 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2018 60   Xavier L 74-83 45%     1 - 4 -0.9 +1.3 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 86-67 99%     2 - 4 -2.0 +7.8 -9.0
  Nov 27, 2018 77   @ Notre Dame L 74-76 41%     2 - 5 +7.0 +4.3 +2.8
  Dec 02, 2018 38   @ Nebraska L 60-75 25%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -1.1 -3.4 +1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 46   Ohio St. L 67-77 46%     2 - 7 0 - 2 -2.2 -5.0 +3.5
  Dec 08, 2018 156   UNLV W 77-74 80%     3 - 7 +0.7 -5.9 +6.3
  Dec 15, 2018 89   East Tennessee St. W 73-55 65%     4 - 7 +20.9 +1.1 +19.7
  Dec 22, 2018 67   Missouri L 63-79 46%     4 - 8 -8.4 -5.5 -2.6
  Dec 29, 2018 165   Florida Atlantic L 71-73 OT 83%     4 - 9 -5.3 -11.4 +6.4
  Jan 03, 2019 39   @ Indiana L 65-73 25%     4 - 10 0 - 3 +5.9 +0.6 +5.2
  Jan 06, 2019 71   @ Northwestern L 66-68 38%     4 - 11 0 - 4 +7.8 +1.7 +6.1
  Jan 10, 2019 6   Michigan L 69-79 17%     4 - 12 0 - 5 +7.1 +2.2 +5.5
  Jan 16, 2019 45   Minnesota W 95-68 46%     5 - 12 1 - 5 +34.9 +19.6 +13.3
  Jan 20, 2019 36   @ Iowa L 71-95 24%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -9.9 +2.7 -13.0
  Jan 23, 2019 14   Wisconsin L 60-72 27%     5 - 14 1 - 7 +1.2 -0.1 +0.8
  Jan 26, 2019 23   Maryland W 78-67 24%     6 - 14 2 - 7 +25.0 +10.9 +13.9
  Jan 30, 2019 45   @ Minnesota L 75-86 26%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +2.4 +10.6 -8.4
  Feb 02, 2019 38   Nebraska W 71-64 44%     7 - 15 3 - 8 +15.3 +2.9 +12.5
  Feb 05, 2019 5   Michigan St. W 79-74 13%     8 - 15 4 - 8 +23.7 +13.3 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2019 74   Rutgers W 99-94 OT 60%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +9.0 +12.5 -4.3
  Feb 14, 2019 46   @ Ohio St. W 63-56 26%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +20.4 +1.1 +19.6
  Feb 18, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 58-64 13%     10 - 16 6 - 9 +12.7 +1.6 +10.8
  Feb 23, 2019 42   Penn St. L 76-83 45%     10 - 17 6 - 10 +1.0 +2.9 -1.4
  Feb 27, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 56-73 10%     10 - 18 6 - 11 +3.5 -1.9 +3.1
  Mar 03, 2019 71   Northwestern W 81-76 59%     11 - 18 7 - 11 +9.3 +9.9 -0.9
  Mar 07, 2019 39   Indiana L 74-92 44%     11 - 19 7 - 12 -9.7 +10.4 -21.1
  Mar 10, 2019 42   @ Penn St. L 56-72 26%     11 - 20 7 - 13 -2.5 -7.7 +5.0
  Mar 13, 2019 71   Northwestern W 74-69 OT 49%     12 - 20 +12.0 +4.3 +7.4
  Mar 14, 2019 36   Iowa L 62-83 33%     12 - 21 -9.7 +0.3 -13.1
Projected Record 12.0 - 21.0 7.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%