Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#60
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#61
Pace64.2#298
Improvement+2.0#105

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#46
First Shot+2.9#97
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#31
Layup/Dunks+3.0#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#198
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-2.1#274

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#98
First Shot+2.3#98
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#116
Layups/Dunks+0.5#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#243
Freethrows+3.1#18
Improvement+4.0#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.8% n/a n/a
First Round9.7% n/a n/a
Second Round2.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b4.0 - 5.04.0 - 9.0
Quad 25.0 - 4.09.0 - 13.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.012.0 - 15.0
Quad 46.0 - 0.018.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 207   IUPUI W 82-69 89%     1 - 0 +7.6 +0.7 +6.1
  Nov 10, 2018 223   Evansville W 91-85 90%     2 - 0 -0.3 +14.3 -14.7
  Nov 13, 2018 14   Wisconsin L 68-77 31%     2 - 1 +4.2 +10.2 -6.6
  Nov 19, 2018 11   Auburn L 79-88 OT 21%     2 - 2 +7.7 +3.5 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2018 104   San Diego St. L 74-79 63%     2 - 3 -0.4 +13.1 -14.0
  Nov 21, 2018 75   Illinois W 83-74 55%     3 - 3 +15.7 +10.0 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2018 152   Miami (OH) W 82-55 82%     4 - 3 +25.2 +15.4 +11.9
  Dec 01, 2018 187   Oakland W 73-63 87%     5 - 3 +5.7 +4.2 +2.6
  Dec 05, 2018 179   Ohio W 82-61 86%     6 - 3 +17.2 +12.1 +5.6
  Dec 08, 2018 32   @ Cincinnati L 47-62 26%     6 - 4 -0.3 -9.2 +6.2
  Dec 15, 2018 260   Eastern Kentucky W 95-77 93%     7 - 4 +9.4 +1.8 +4.4
  Dec 18, 2018 67   @ Missouri L 56-71 41%     7 - 5 -4.6 -8.3 +3.1
  Dec 21, 2018 255   Detroit Mercy W 69-55 93%     8 - 5 +5.7 -8.1 +14.5
  Dec 29, 2018 91   @ DePaul W 74-65 50%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +17.2 +6.7 +10.9
  Jan 02, 2019 50   Seton Hall L 70-80 54%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -3.0 +3.1 -6.3
  Jan 06, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 52-70 22%     9 - 7 1 - 2 -1.8 -15.6 +14.6
  Jan 09, 2019 76   Georgetown W 81-75 67%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +9.7 +14.5 -4.4
  Jan 13, 2019 69   Butler W 70-69 64%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +5.5 +7.5 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2019 24   @ Villanova L 75-85 21%     11 - 8 3 - 3 +6.4 +13.5 -7.9
  Jan 23, 2019 64   Providence L 62-64 62%     11 - 9 3 - 4 +3.0 +2.5 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2019 27   Marquette L 82-87 40%     11 - 10 3 - 5 +5.7 +13.2 -7.5
  Jan 31, 2019 76   @ Georgetown L 73-80 46%     11 - 11 3 - 6 +2.2 +7.9 -6.1
  Feb 03, 2019 49   @ Creighton L 54-76 32%     11 - 12 3 - 7 -9.1 -5.4 -7.1
  Feb 09, 2019 91   DePaul L 62-74 70%     11 - 13 3 - 8 -9.4 -11.1 +1.6
  Feb 13, 2019 49   Creighton W 64-61 OT 53%     12 - 13 4 - 8 +10.3 -7.5 +17.8
  Feb 16, 2019 64   @ Providence W 75-61 41%     13 - 13 5 - 8 +24.5 +13.1 +11.9
  Feb 20, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall W 70-69 33%     14 - 13 6 - 8 +13.5 +5.8 +7.7
  Feb 24, 2019 24   Villanova W 66-54 39%     15 - 13 7 - 8 +22.9 +6.7 +18.1
  Feb 28, 2019 73   @ St. John's W 84-73 44%     16 - 13 8 - 8 +20.7 +21.0 +0.5
  Mar 05, 2019 69   @ Butler L 66-71 43%     16 - 14 8 - 9 +5.0 -2.5 +7.5
  Mar 09, 2019 73   St. John's W 81-68 65%     17 - 14 9 - 9 +17.2 +18.7 +0.0
  Mar 14, 2019 49   Creighton W 63-61 42%     18 - 14 +12.1 -2.9 +15.1
  Mar 15, 2019 24   Villanova L 67-71 OT 30%     18 - 15 +9.6 +0.8 +8.7
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 17.6% 17.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 9.0 7.2 0.0 82.4 17.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.6% 0.0% 17.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 9.0 7.2 0.0 82.4 17.6%