Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.5#7
Expected Predictive Rating+20.3#7
Pace65.9#254
Improvement+5.2#14

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#11
First Shot+8.4#9
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks+2.8#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#305
Freethrows+4.7#1
Improvement+1.0#130

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#12
First Shot+7.3#15
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#20
Layups/Dunks+5.5#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#245
Freethrows+2.9#23
Improvement+4.2#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 35.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 88.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen74.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight48.3% n/a n/a
Final Four24.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.4% n/a n/a
National Champion4.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a7.0 - 4.07.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 1.010.0 - 5.0
Quad 26.0 - 1.016.0 - 6.0
Quad 36.0 - 0.022.0 - 6.0
Quad 45.0 - 0.027.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 3   Duke L 84-118 38%     0 - 1 -11.4 +9.7 -16.0
  Nov 09, 2018 143   Southern Illinois W 71-59 96%     1 - 1 +10.9 +0.5 +10.8
  Nov 14, 2018 258   North Dakota W 96-58 99%     2 - 1 +29.5 +19.0 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2018 295   VMI W 92-82 99%     3 - 1 -0.7 +11.8 -12.5
  Nov 21, 2018 190   Winthrop W 87-74 98%     4 - 1 +8.4 +0.1 +6.8
  Nov 23, 2018 311   Tennessee St. W 77-62 99%     5 - 1 +3.0 -3.3 +5.9
  Nov 28, 2018 279   Monmouth W 90-44 99%     6 - 1 +36.5 +18.0 +19.4
  Dec 01, 2018 97   UNC Greensboro W 78-61 94%     7 - 1 +19.4 +6.6 +12.5
  Dec 08, 2018 50   Seton Hall L 83-84 OT 82%     7 - 2 +8.8 +7.7 +1.2
  Dec 15, 2018 99   Utah W 88-61 94%     8 - 2 +29.1 +21.5 +10.7
  Dec 22, 2018 4   North Carolina W 80-72 42%     9 - 2 +29.6 +4.8 +23.6
  Dec 29, 2018 19   @ Louisville W 71-58 57%     10 - 2 +30.7 +17.0 +15.3
  Jan 05, 2019 55   @ Alabama L 75-77 77%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +9.7 +2.2 +7.6
  Jan 08, 2019 78   Texas A&M W 85-74 92%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +14.5 +11.5 +2.5
  Jan 12, 2019 142   Vanderbilt W 56-47 96%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +7.9 -1.3 +11.5
  Jan 15, 2019 115   @ Georgia W 69-49 88%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +26.7 +4.7 +23.4
  Jan 19, 2019 11   @ Auburn W 82-80 50%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +21.5 +17.6 +3.9
  Jan 22, 2019 20   Mississippi St. W 76-55 76%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +33.1 +7.3 +25.8
  Jan 26, 2019 17   Kansas W 71-63 75%     16 - 3 +20.3 +7.6 +12.9
  Jan 29, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt W 87-52 91%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +39.4 +23.7 +18.0
  Feb 02, 2019 28   @ Florida W 65-54 64%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +26.9 +9.1 +19.0
  Feb 05, 2019 62   South Carolina W 76-48 90%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +33.1 +8.3 +25.5
  Feb 09, 2019 20   @ Mississippi St. W 71-67 57%     20 - 3 9 - 1 +21.6 +13.2 +8.9
  Feb 12, 2019 18   LSU L 71-73 75%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +10.3 +6.5 +3.6
  Feb 16, 2019 8   Tennessee W 86-69 61%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +33.6 +20.9 +13.4
  Feb 19, 2019 67   @ Missouri W 66-58 80%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +18.4 +11.5 +8.3
  Feb 23, 2019 11   Auburn W 80-53 70%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +40.9 +19.4 +24.3
  Feb 26, 2019 52   Arkansas W 70-66 88%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +10.4 +7.1 +3.7
  Mar 02, 2019 8   @ Tennessee L 52-71 40%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +3.2 -10.0 +11.9
  Mar 05, 2019 41   @ Mississippi W 80-76 72%     25 - 5 14 - 3 +17.6 +14.7 +2.9
  Mar 09, 2019 28   Florida W 66-57 81%     26 - 5 15 - 3 +19.3 +10.4 +10.3
  Mar 15, 2019 55   Alabama W 73-55 84%     27 - 5 +26.9 +11.7 +16.6
  Mar 16, 2019 8   Tennessee L 78-82 50%     27 - 6 +15.4 +17.9 -2.9
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.8 35.4 53.2 11.0 0.4 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.8 35.4 53.2 11.0 0.4 100.0%