Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#19
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#27
Pace68.1#197
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#30
First Shot+6.5#24
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks+1.4#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#55
Freethrows+2.9#14
Improvement-3.6#315

Defense
Total Defense+8.4#17
First Shot+6.3#27
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#13
Layups/Dunks+0.3#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#85
Freethrows+2.1#44
Improvement+3.4#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 22.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round67.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen22.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.2% n/a n/a
Final Four3.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 8.03.0 - 8.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 3.04.0 - 11.0
Quad 25.0 - 1.09.0 - 12.0
Quad 37.0 - 1.016.0 - 13.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.020.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 306   Nicholls St. W 85-72 98%     1 - 0 +1.2 +0.1 +0.3
  Nov 13, 2018 336   Southern W 104-54 99%     2 - 0 +33.6 +20.6 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2018 94   Vermont W 86-78 87%     3 - 0 +10.5 +19.1 -8.2
  Nov 21, 2018 8   Tennessee L 81-92 33%     3 - 1 +8.4 +8.7 +0.5
  Nov 23, 2018 27   Marquette L 74-77 OT 56%     3 - 2 +10.4 +3.7 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2018 5   Michigan St. W 82-78 OT 36%     4 - 2 +22.7 +9.4 +12.9
  Dec 01, 2018 50   @ Seton Hall W 70-65 59%     5 - 2 +17.5 +5.0 +12.6
  Dec 05, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 86-41 98%     6 - 2 +33.7 +3.8 +28.4
  Dec 08, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 67-68 54%     6 - 3 +12.9 +5.3 +7.5
  Dec 12, 2018 57   Lipscomb W 72-68 81%     7 - 3 +9.6 -0.5 +9.9
  Dec 15, 2018 141   Kent St. W 83-70 92%     8 - 3 +12.0 +14.4 -1.2
  Dec 21, 2018 274   Robert Morris W 73-59 98%     9 - 3 +4.8 +3.9 +1.9
  Dec 29, 2018 7   Kentucky L 58-71 43%     9 - 4 +3.7 +0.4 +1.7
  Jan 06, 2019 66   Miami (FL) W 90-73 83%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +21.9 +21.8 +0.6
  Jan 09, 2019 93   @ Pittsburgh L 86-89 OT 74%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +5.1 +5.8 -0.3
  Jan 12, 2019 4   @ North Carolina W 83-62 19%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +45.3 +20.0 +25.0
  Jan 16, 2019 106   Boston College W 80-70 89%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +11.8 +6.7 +5.0
  Jan 19, 2019 100   @ Georgia Tech W 79-51 76%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +35.6 +10.4 +24.2
  Jan 24, 2019 31   North Carolina St. W 84-77 69%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +16.6 +9.5 +6.6
  Jan 26, 2019 93   Pittsburgh W 66-51 87%     15 - 5 6 - 1 +17.6 -2.0 +20.1
  Jan 30, 2019 153   @ Wake Forest W 82-54 85%     16 - 5 7 - 1 +31.7 +15.5 +17.7
  Feb 02, 2019 4   North Carolina L 69-79 35%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +8.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 04, 2019 12   @ Virginia Tech W 72-64 34%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +27.1 +14.9 +13.0
  Feb 09, 2019 13   @ Florida St. L 75-80 OT 34%     17 - 7 8 - 3 +14.1 +10.6 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2019 3   Duke L 69-71 32%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +17.8 +2.4 +15.5
  Feb 16, 2019 29   Clemson W 56-55 68%     18 - 8 9 - 4 +11.0 -8.3 +19.3
  Feb 20, 2019 33   @ Syracuse L 49-69 51%     18 - 9 9 - 5 -5.5 -12.8 +6.3
  Feb 23, 2019 2   Virginia L 52-64 30%     18 - 10 9 - 6 +8.2 -0.3 +5.9
  Feb 27, 2019 106   @ Boston College L 59-66 76%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +0.4 -10.1 +10.4
  Mar 03, 2019 77   Notre Dame W 75-61 86%     19 - 11 10 - 7 +17.5 +6.8 +11.2
  Mar 09, 2019 2   @ Virginia L 68-73 15%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +20.8 +18.2 +1.7
  Mar 13, 2019 77   Notre Dame W 75-53 79%     20 - 12 +28.2 +11.9 +18.3
  Mar 14, 2019 4   North Carolina L 70-83 26%     20 - 13 +8.6 +2.4 +7.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 6.8 0.0 0.6 5.4 16.8 64.4 11.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.7%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6.8 0.0 0.6 5.4 16.8 64.4 11.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.7%