Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#330
Expected Predictive Rating-14.2#336
Pace72.4#89
Improvement+3.1#61

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#304
First Shot-5.5#315
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#137
Layup/Dunks-4.1#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#236
Freethrows-2.5#318
Improvement+0.1#185

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#331
First Shot-6.3#335
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#227
Layups/Dunks-2.6#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#321
Freethrows-0.5#213
Improvement+3.1#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 30.0 - 4.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 45.0 - 12.05.0 - 24.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 172   @ Missouri St. L 70-83 10%     0 - 1 -10.9 -8.4 -1.1
  Nov 14, 2018 84   @ USC L 59-95 4%     0 - 2 -27.3 -15.7 -8.4
  Nov 17, 2018 237   @ SE Louisiana L 57-69 17%     0 - 3 -13.6 -14.4 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2018 274   Robert Morris L 72-81 40%     0 - 4 -18.2 -1.2 -17.2
  Nov 23, 2018 295   VMI L 79-87 OT 46%     0 - 5 -18.7 -12.3 -5.3
  Nov 26, 2018 310   @ Bethune-Cookman L 74-84 30%     0 - 6 -16.4 -7.5 -7.7
  Nov 28, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 71-75 6%     0 - 7 +2.4 +6.1 -3.8
  Dec 01, 2018 3   @ Duke L 49-113 0.3%    0 - 8 -38.7 -18.6 -10.4
  Dec 05, 2018 293   Western Illinois W 68-64 45%     1 - 8 -6.6 -5.9 -0.4
  Dec 08, 2018 277   Marist L 75-79 41%     1 - 9 -13.4 -2.5 -11.0
  Dec 16, 2018 48   @ Central Florida L 65-90 2%     1 - 10 -11.8 -2.7 -8.2
  Dec 18, 2018 347   UNC Asheville W 80-74 74%     2 - 10 -12.4 +0.6 -12.7
  Dec 21, 2018 292   @ Longwood L 63-77 26%     2 - 11 -19.0 -1.0 -20.2
  Jan 09, 2019 90   Liberty L 53-71 10%     2 - 12 0 - 1 -15.3 -12.5 -5.1
  Jan 12, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb L 71-95 3%     2 - 13 0 - 2 -12.9 -3.7 -6.5
  Jan 16, 2019 189   North Florida L 77-87 25%     2 - 14 0 - 3 -14.6 +3.5 -18.3
  Jan 19, 2019 301   @ North Alabama L 62-63 27%     2 - 15 0 - 4 -6.5 -10.1 +3.6
  Jan 21, 2019 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-87 15%     2 - 16 0 - 5 -22.5 -11.8 -9.4
  Jan 24, 2019 188   NJIT L 59-82 24%     2 - 17 0 - 6 -27.4 -14.7 -12.5
  Jan 27, 2019 57   Lipscomb L 65-88 6%     2 - 18 0 - 7 -17.4 -9.4 -6.3
  Jan 30, 2019 264   @ Jacksonville L 57-72 21%     2 - 19 0 - 8 -18.2 -17.6 -0.4
  Feb 02, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 92-75 70%     3 - 19 1 - 8 -0.1 +11.9 -12.0
  Feb 05, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 54-57 4%     3 - 20 1 - 9 +5.2 -12.9 +18.0
  Feb 13, 2019 264   Jacksonville L 70-93 39%     3 - 21 1 - 10 -31.8 -11.6 -18.3
  Feb 16, 2019 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-55 29%     4 - 21 2 - 10 +5.9 +2.8 +5.2
  Feb 20, 2019 188   @ NJIT L 77-82 12%     4 - 22 2 - 11 -3.9 +7.8 -11.8
  Feb 23, 2019 301   North Alabama W 63-60 47%     5 - 22 3 - 11 -8.0 -13.8 +5.7
  Feb 26, 2019 189   @ North Florida L 67-77 12%     5 - 23 3 - 12 -9.0 -6.4 -2.5
  Mar 01, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. L 82-83 49%     5 - 24 3 - 13 -12.5 +0.3 -12.8
Projected Record 5.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%