Pre-tourney Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#57
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#68
Pace80.4#14
Improvement-3.0#302

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#79
First Shot+4.9#46
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#259
Layup/Dunks+0.9#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#112
Freethrows+2.3#42
Improvement+0.7#145

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#62
First Shot+3.5#72
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#69
Layups/Dunks+2.3#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#69
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-3.6#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.4% n/a n/a
First Round4.0% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.02.0 - 3.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.04.0 - 6.0
Quad 32.0 - 1.06.0 - 7.0
Quad 417.0 - 0.023.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 311   Tennessee St. W 86-79 96%     1 - 0 -5.0 -6.3 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2018 54   Belmont L 83-87 58%     1 - 1 +2.2 -3.8 +6.7
  Nov 17, 2018 110   @ SMU W 79-73 55%     2 - 1 +13.0 +0.3 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2018 47   @ TCU W 73-64 32%     3 - 1 +22.2 +4.7 +17.2
  Nov 25, 2018 262   @ Morehead St. W 87-55 86%     4 - 1 +28.9 +7.2 +20.2
  Dec 01, 2018 239   @ Middle Tennessee W 84-74 83%     5 - 1 +8.3 +11.5 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2018 54   @ Belmont L 74-76 37%     5 - 2 +9.8 -3.6 +13.6
  Dec 09, 2018 281   Navy W 107-81 94%     6 - 2 +16.3 +26.9 -11.5
  Dec 12, 2018 19   @ Louisville L 68-72 19%     6 - 3 +13.7 +2.2 +11.6
  Dec 21, 2018 94   Vermont W 91-66 71%     7 - 3 +27.5 +19.3 +8.0
  Dec 30, 2018 29   @ Clemson L 67-84 25%     7 - 4 -1.5 -6.0 +7.4
  Jan 05, 2019 264   @ Jacksonville W 77-74 86%     8 - 4 1 - 0 -0.2 -5.8 +5.2
  Jan 09, 2019 189   North Florida W 81-66 88%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +10.4 +0.9 +8.6
  Jan 12, 2019 330   Stetson W 95-71 97%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +9.5 +3.5 +3.3
  Jan 16, 2019 188   @ NJIT W 70-52 76%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +19.1 -5.2 +23.1
  Jan 21, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 86-57 98%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +11.9 -1.4 +10.8
  Jan 24, 2019 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-81 90%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +1.9 +0.8 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2019 330   @ Stetson W 88-65 94%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +14.0 +3.3 +9.0
  Jan 29, 2019 90   @ Liberty W 79-59 50%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +28.2 +15.0 +14.6
  Feb 02, 2019 301   North Alabama W 102-80 95%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +11.0 +17.8 -8.7
  Feb 06, 2019 189   @ North Florida W 92-55 76%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +38.0 +16.8 +20.1
  Feb 09, 2019 264   Jacksonville W 86-77 94%     18 - 4 11 - 0 +0.2 +0.9 -1.7
  Feb 13, 2019 90   Liberty L 66-74 71%     18 - 5 11 - 1 -5.3 -5.3 -0.2
  Feb 16, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 83-67 96%     19 - 5 12 - 1 +4.5 +2.0 +1.7
  Feb 20, 2019 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-67 80%     19 - 6 12 - 2 -6.5 -12.4 +5.9
  Feb 25, 2019 188   NJIT W 81-77 88%     20 - 6 13 - 2 -0.4 +11.0 -11.2
  Mar 01, 2019 301   @ North Alabama W 87-75 90%     21 - 6 14 - 2 +6.5 +7.9 -2.3
  Mar 04, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 86-71 98%     22 - 6 -2.1 +3.2 -5.8
  Mar 07, 2019 188   NJIT W 78-55 88%     23 - 6 +18.6 +8.5 +11.2
  Mar 10, 2019 90   Liberty L 68-74 71%     23 - 7 -3.3 +1.5 -5.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 8.6% 8.6% 11.8 0.0 1.5 6.8 0.2 0.0 91.4 8.6%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.6% 0.0% 8.6% 11.8 0.0 1.5 6.8 0.2 0.0 91.4 8.6%