Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#141
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#164
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 15.8% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 13.7
.500 or above 56.6% 68.7% 41.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.0% 75.8% 60.7%
Conference Champion 11.7% 14.8% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.1% 5.0%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round11.7% 15.1% 7.6%
Second Round2.1% 3.1% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 55.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 0.80.1 - 0.8
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.30.3 - 2.1
Quad 21.2 - 3.21.4 - 5.3
Quad 35.7 - 5.97.1 - 11.2
Quad 48.1 - 2.615.2 - 13.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 129   George Mason L 73-75 55%    
  Nov 16, 2018 266   Florida Atlantic W 76-69 74%    
  Nov 17, 2018 234   Pepperdine W 77-72 68%    
  Nov 18, 2018 73   Montana L 70-76 29%    
  Nov 27, 2018 153   East Tennessee St. W 70-69 62%    
  Nov 29, 2018 66   @ Arizona L 71-78 19%    
  Dec 08, 2018 272   @ Mercer W 73-66 64%    
  Dec 11, 2018 55   @ Central Florida L 63-71 18%    
  Dec 18, 2018 117   Bradley L 68-70 53%    
  Dec 21, 2018 149   @ Radford W 68-67 40%    
  Dec 29, 2018 107   @ Dayton L 71-74 31%    
  Jan 03, 2019 203   @ Texas St. W 68-65 51%    
  Jan 05, 2019 256   @ Texas Arlington W 79-72 62%    
  Jan 10, 2019 210   Louisiana Monroe W 72-68 72%    
  Jan 12, 2019 100   Louisiana L 75-78 49%    
  Jan 17, 2019 192   @ Troy W 75-72 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 150   @ South Alabama W 75-74 40%    
  Jan 24, 2019 256   Texas Arlington W 79-72 79%    
  Jan 26, 2019 203   Texas St. W 68-65 71%    
  Feb 02, 2019 85   @ Georgia St. L 70-75 25%    
  Feb 06, 2019 100   @ Louisiana L 75-78 30%    
  Feb 08, 2019 210   @ Louisiana Monroe W 72-68 53%    
  Feb 13, 2019 150   South Alabama W 75-74 60%    
  Feb 15, 2019 192   Troy W 75-72 68%    
  Feb 21, 2019 221   @ Coastal Carolina W 74-69 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 175   @ Appalachian St. W 77-75 46%    
  Feb 28, 2019 264   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-64 79%    
  Mar 02, 2019 286   Arkansas St. W 80-72 81%    
  Mar 09, 2019 85   Georgia St. L 70-75 43%    
Projected Record 15.2 - 13.8 10.1 - 7.9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.3 2.5 1.2 0.3 11.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.2 3.2 1.2 0.2 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.0 5.4 7.4 9.6 10.9 11.7 11.7 10.8 8.7 6.7 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 91.2% 2.5    2.1 0.4 0.0
15-3 73.5% 3.3    2.2 1.0 0.1
14-4 44.3% 3.0    1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 13.9% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.7% 11.7 7.3 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 93.2% 80.5% 12.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.3%
17-1 1.2% 72.9% 49.5% 23.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 46.4%
16-2 2.8% 52.4% 37.8% 14.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 23.5%
15-3 4.5% 40.7% 34.4% 6.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 9.6%
14-4 6.7% 28.7% 26.3% 2.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 3.4%
13-5 8.7% 19.1% 18.8% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.0 0.5%
12-6 10.8% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 9.2 0.0%
11-7 11.7% 8.7% 8.6% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 10.7 0.1%
10-8 11.7% 6.9% 6.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 10.9
9-9 10.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.3
8-10 9.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
7-11 7.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
6-12 5.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-13 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.3% 11.1% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 2.6 2.4 1.7 0.9 87.7 1.4%