Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#149
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.1#351
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#154
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.3% 39.3% 26.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 67.6% 76.3% 49.1%
.500 or above in Conference 91.1% 93.3% 86.3%
Conference Champion 39.7% 43.9% 30.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four3.6% 3.1% 4.6%
First Round33.5% 37.6% 24.5%
Second Round3.9% 4.8% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.90.1 - 1.9
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.40.3 - 3.3
Quad 20.6 - 1.90.9 - 5.2
Quad 33.4 - 3.74.2 - 8.9
Quad 411.0 - 2.915.2 - 11.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 181   Illinois-Chicago W 69-67 68%    
  Nov 14, 2018 49   @ Notre Dame L 60-69 14%    
  Nov 17, 2018 182   Duquesne W 66-64 57%    
  Nov 20, 2018 164   @ William & Mary W 72-71 43%    
  Nov 30, 2018 26   @ Texas L 58-69 10%    
  Dec 04, 2018 176   @ James Madison W 67-65 45%    
  Dec 08, 2018 142   @ Ohio L 68-69 38%    
  Dec 15, 2018 18   @ Clemson L 58-70 9%    
  Dec 18, 2018 86   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-65 25%    
  Dec 21, 2018 148   Georgia Southern L 67-68 60%    
  Dec 29, 2018 32   @ Maryland L 61-71 13%    
  Jan 05, 2019 333   Longwood W 73-60 91%    
  Jan 10, 2019 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-64 80%    
  Jan 12, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 69-58 87%    
  Jan 17, 2019 218   Gardner-Webb W 67-63 73%    
  Jan 19, 2019 294   @ UNC Asheville W 70-62 68%    
  Jan 21, 2019 333   @ Longwood W 73-60 79%    
  Jan 24, 2019 232   Charleston Southern W 67-62 76%    
  Jan 30, 2019 254   Campbell W 70-64 78%    
  Feb 02, 2019 194   @ Winthrop W 71-68 50%    
  Feb 07, 2019 240   @ Hampton W 72-67 58%    
  Feb 09, 2019 255   High Point W 67-61 79%    
  Feb 16, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern W 67-62 57%    
  Feb 21, 2019 194   Winthrop W 71-68 68%    
  Feb 23, 2019 240   Hampton W 72-67 75%    
  Feb 27, 2019 255   @ High Point W 67-61 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 254   @ Campbell W 70-64 61%    
Projected Record 15.2 - 11.8 11.4 - 4.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.9 9.9 11.0 8.2 3.2 39.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 6.1 7.7 4.0 0.8 0.1 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.2 5.3 1.6 0.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.7 1.1 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.0 3.1 0.8 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.1 5.7 8.6 10.4 13.9 15.2 14.0 11.9 8.2 3.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.2    3.2
15-1 99.0% 8.2    7.9 0.2
14-2 92.9% 11.0    9.1 1.9 0.0
13-3 70.5% 9.9    5.9 3.4 0.5 0.0
12-4 38.7% 5.9    2.1 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 10.3% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 39.7% 39.7 28.5 8.8 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.2% 84.5% 80.5% 4.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 20.6%
15-1 8.2% 71.3% 70.9% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 2.4 1.4%
14-2 11.9% 60.1% 59.7% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.3 4.8 0.9%
13-3 14.0% 47.6% 47.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.3 1.0 7.4 0.0%
12-4 15.2% 38.1% 38.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 1.6 9.4
11-5 13.9% 25.2% 25.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.6 10.4
10-6 10.4% 18.7% 18.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 8.5
9-7 8.6% 12.1% 12.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.5
8-8 5.7% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.2
7-9 4.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.0
6-10 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-11 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.4
4-12 0.5% 0.5
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 35.3% 35.1% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.2 6.2 8.1 8.9 7.4 64.7 0.3%