IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#215
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#230
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#166

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.6%	33.7%	15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	58.4%	85.8%	56.3%
.500 or above in Conference	78.1%	92.0%	77.0%
Conference Champion	19.6%	35.3%	18.4%
Last Place in Conference	2.8%	0.6%	2.9%

First Four	5.5%	5.0%	5.5%
First Round	13.9%	31.0%	12.6%
Second Round	0.8%	2.9%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.8%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 0.6
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.8	0.1 - 1.4
Quad 2	0.2 - 1.3	0.2 - 2.7
Quad 3	1.9 - 4.1	2.1 - 6.8
Quad 4	12.2 - 5.9	14.3 - 12.7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	52	@ Seton Hall	L	65-78	7%
Nov 10, 2018	306	@ Umass Lowell	W	77-72	58%
Nov 17, 2018	220	@ Fairfield	W	71-70	40%
Nov 20, 2018	228	NJIT	W	68-67	63%
Nov 24, 2018	110	Rider	L	72-79	36%
Nov 30, 2018	242	@ American	W	68-67	45%
Dec 16, 2018	31	@ St. John's	L	64-79	6%
Dec 22, 2018	193	Hartford	L	68-69	55%
Dec 29, 2018	106	@ Saint Joseph's	L	67-74	19%
Jan 03, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	69-63	60%
Jan 05, 2019	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	73-67	78%
Jan 10, 2019	324	Sacred Heart	W	72-65	79%
Jan 12, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	74-72	65%
Jan 19, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-61	83%
Jan 21, 2019	324	@ Sacred Heart	W	72-65	62%
Jan 24, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	70-74	29%
Jan 26, 2019	233	@ Robert Morris	W	68-67	43%
Jan 31, 2019	315	Bryant	W	76-70	77%
Feb 02, 2019	225	LIU Brooklyn	W	74-73	62%
Feb 07, 2019	318	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	73-67	60%
Feb 09, 2019	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	74-73	42%
Feb 14, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	W	69-63	76%
Feb 16, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	69-61	66%
Feb 21, 2019	315	@ Bryant	W	76-70	58%
Feb 23, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	74-72	47%
Feb 28, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	70-74	49%
Mar 02, 2019	233	Robert Morris	W	68-67	62%
Projected Record						14.3 - 12.7	11.0 - 7.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.7	2.4	4.5	5.5	3.8	2.1	0.5		19.6	1st
2nd											0.1	1.5	4.4	6.0	4.9	1.4	0.2				18.6	2nd
3rd										0.2	2.2	4.9	6.0	2.2	0.3	0.0					15.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.7	4.2	1.2	0.1							12.6	4th
5th								0.2	1.8	4.6	3.4	0.7	0.1	0.0							10.7	5th
6th							0.1	1.7	3.7	2.2	0.4	0.0									8.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.1	2.4	1.9	0.2	0.0										5.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	1.2	0.2	0.0											4.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.1													2.8	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0													1.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.3	3.7	5.6	7.7	9.5	10.9	11.3	12.4	10.7	9.7	7.0	4.0	2.1	0.5			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	2.1		2.0	0.1
16-2	94.8%	3.8		3.3	0.5
15-3	79.3%	5.5		3.7	1.7	0.1
14-4	46.5%	4.5		2.2	1.9	0.5	0.0
13-5	22.3%	2.4		0.7	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.5%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.6%	19.6		12.6	5.4	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		80.1%	80.1%		13.2							0.0			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	2.1%		65.4%	65.4%	0.0%	14.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.7		0.1%
16-2	4.0%		52.4%	52.4%	0.0%	14.5												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.3	1.9		0.0%
15-3	7.0%		41.1%	41.1%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	0.8	4.1
14-4	9.7%		33.1%	33.1%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.4	1.0	1.8	6.5
13-5	10.7%		22.3%	22.3%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	8.3
12-6	12.4%		15.8%	15.8%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.8	10.4
11-7	11.3%		9.1%	9.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.0	10.2
10-8	10.9%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.3
9-9	9.5%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.3	9.2
8-10	7.7%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.6
7-11	5.6%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	5.6
6-12	3.7%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
5-13	2.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
4-14	1.5%																							1.5
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.6%	16.6%	0.0%	15.2							0.0			0.0		0.0	0.3	0.9	2.4	4.2	8.8	83.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%