Butler
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#27
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#17
Pace60.4#342
Improvement-4.5#328

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#23
First Shot+7.1#14
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#156
Layup/Dunks+5.0#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#88
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement+0.2#168

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#52
First Shot+4.5#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#109
Layups/Dunks+2.6#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-4.7#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 35.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round73.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.6% n/a n/a
Final Four5.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b7 - 010 - 6
Quad 25 - 315 - 9
Quad 32 - 017 - 9
Quad 45 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 329   IUPUI W 80-47 99%     1 - 0 +18.6 +7.7 +15.5
  Nov 09, 2019 327   New Orleans W 79-53 98%     2 - 0 +11.9 +4.5 +10.2
  Nov 12, 2019 28   Minnesota W 64-56 62%     3 - 0 +17.5 -2.0 +19.8
  Nov 16, 2019 148   Wofford W 80-61 90%     4 - 0 +17.3 +9.2 +9.0
  Nov 22, 2019 316   Morehead St. W 68-50 98%     5 - 0 +5.8 -3.5 +11.1
  Nov 25, 2019 87   Missouri W 63-52 74%     6 - 0 +17.1 +8.5 +11.1
  Nov 26, 2019 50   Stanford W 68-67 62%     7 - 0 +10.4 +12.8 -2.2
  Dec 03, 2019 93   @ Mississippi W 67-58 66%     8 - 0 +17.5 +6.1 +12.2
  Dec 07, 2019 32   Florida W 76-62 63%     9 - 0 +23.2 +12.2 +12.0
  Dec 10, 2019 5   @ Baylor L 52-53 23%     9 - 1 +19.3 -2.6 +21.8
  Dec 14, 2019 261   Southern W 66-41 97%     10 - 1 +16.1 -5.5 +23.4
  Dec 21, 2019 24   Purdue W 70-61 48%     11 - 1 +22.1 +11.3 +11.6
  Dec 28, 2019 247   Louisiana Monroe W 67-36 96%     12 - 1 +22.9 -6.7 +30.4
  Dec 31, 2019 63   @ St. John's W 60-58 55%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +13.3 -3.9 +17.3
  Jan 04, 2020 8   Creighton W 71-57 51%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +26.3 +1.2 +25.2
  Jan 10, 2020 35   @ Providence W 70-58 43%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +26.4 +12.3 +15.3
  Jan 15, 2020 16   Seton Hall L 70-78 56%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +3.0 +4.0 -1.1
  Jan 18, 2020 91   @ DePaul L 66-79 65%     15 - 3 3 - 2 -4.4 +2.8 -7.8
  Jan 21, 2020 13   @ Villanova L 61-76 32%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +2.4 +0.6 +0.8
  Jan 24, 2020 29   Marquette W 89-85 OT 62%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +13.5 +7.4 +5.6
  Jan 28, 2020 66   @ Georgetown W 69-64 57%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +16.0 +4.0 +12.3
  Feb 01, 2020 35   Providence L 61-65 66%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +4.4 -0.4 +4.4
  Feb 05, 2020 13   Villanova W 79-76 55%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +14.4 +22.8 -8.0
  Feb 09, 2020 29   @ Marquette L 57-76 39%     18 - 6 6 - 5 -3.5 -6.0 +1.0
  Feb 12, 2020 41   Xavier W 66-61 70%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +12.3 +10.9 +2.3
  Feb 15, 2020 66   Georgetown L 66-73 77%     19 - 7 7 - 6 -2.1 +7.0 -10.5
  Feb 19, 2020 16   @ Seton Hall L 72-74 33%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +15.1 +11.5 +3.5
  Feb 23, 2020 8   @ Creighton L 59-81 29%     19 - 9 7 - 8 -3.6 -4.7 -0.2
  Feb 29, 2020 91   DePaul W 60-42 83%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +20.6 -3.8 +26.1
  Mar 04, 2020 63   St. John's W 77-55 76%     21 - 9 9 - 8 +27.2 +14.8 +14.3
  Mar 07, 2020 41   @ Xavier W 72-71 47%     22 - 9 10 - 8 +14.4 +14.9 -0.5
Projected Record 22 - 9 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 4.2 31.0 57.3 7.4 0.0 100.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 4.2 31.0 57.3 7.4 0.0 100.0%