Xavier
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#41
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#41
Pace68.5#195
Improvement-1.0#222

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#89
First Shot+0.1#180
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#12
Layup/Dunks+5.1#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#241
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement+1.8#101

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#19
First Shot+5.9#27
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#65
Layups/Dunks+1.3#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#62
Freethrows+2.0#50
Improvement-2.8#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four37.9% n/a n/a
First Round32.0% n/a n/a
Second Round12.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 27 - 210 - 13
Quad 36 - 016 - 13
Quad 43 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 246   Jacksonville W 76-57 94%     1 - 0 +11.2 -2.0 +12.4
  Nov 08, 2019 160   Siena W 81-63 88%     2 - 0 +15.5 +0.1 +14.4
  Nov 12, 2019 87   Missouri W 63-58 OT 76%     3 - 0 +8.1 -14.9 +22.4
  Nov 15, 2019 119   Missouri St. W 59-56 82%     4 - 0 +3.4 -9.2 +12.8
  Nov 21, 2019 165   Towson W 73-51 82%     5 - 0 +22.4 +3.3 +20.6
  Nov 22, 2019 55   Connecticut W 75-74 2OT 56%     6 - 0 +9.9 -5.2 +14.9
  Nov 24, 2019 32   Florida L 65-70 43%     6 - 1 +7.2 -0.6 +7.6
  Nov 30, 2019 236   Lipscomb W 87-62 94%     7 - 1 +17.7 +5.9 +10.9
  Dec 04, 2019 218   Green Bay W 84-71 93%     8 - 1 +7.0 +0.2 +6.1
  Dec 07, 2019 44   Cincinnati W 73-66 63%     9 - 1 +14.1 +2.1 +11.8
  Dec 14, 2019 94   @ Wake Forest L 78-80 58%     9 - 2 +6.3 +1.6 +4.8
  Dec 18, 2019 155   Western Carolina W 74-61 87%     10 - 2 +10.9 -4.4 +15.0
  Dec 22, 2019 76   @ TCU W 67-59 52%     11 - 2 +17.9 +3.4 +14.8
  Dec 30, 2019 13   @ Villanova L 62-68 25%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +11.4 -1.6 +12.9
  Jan 05, 2020 63   St. John's W 75-67 69%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +13.2 +0.8 +11.9
  Jan 08, 2020 16   Seton Hall L 71-83 47%     12 - 4 1 - 2 -1.0 +3.1 -4.0
  Jan 11, 2020 8   Creighton L 65-77 42%     12 - 5 1 - 3 +0.3 -1.2 +0.8
  Jan 15, 2020 29   @ Marquette L 65-85 31%     12 - 6 1 - 4 -4.5 -1.7 -3.0
  Jan 22, 2020 66   Georgetown W 66-57 70%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +13.9 -4.6 +18.8
  Jan 26, 2020 8   @ Creighton L 66-77 22%     13 - 7 2 - 5 +7.4 +3.1 +3.6
  Jan 29, 2020 29   Marquette L 82-84 2OT 53%     13 - 8 2 - 6 +7.5 +2.8 +4.9
  Feb 01, 2020 16   @ Seton Hall W 74-62 26%     14 - 8 3 - 6 +29.1 +10.5 +18.8
  Feb 04, 2020 91   @ DePaul W 67-59 57%     15 - 8 4 - 6 +16.6 -0.1 +16.7
  Feb 08, 2020 35   Providence W 64-58 58%     16 - 8 5 - 6 +14.4 +0.9 +13.9
  Feb 12, 2020 27   @ Butler L 61-66 30%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +10.7 +6.1 +3.6
  Feb 17, 2020 63   @ St. John's W 77-74 46%     17 - 9 6 - 7 +14.3 +4.4 +9.6
  Feb 22, 2020 13   Villanova L 55-64 46%     17 - 10 6 - 8 +2.4 -11.6 +13.8
  Feb 25, 2020 91   DePaul W 78-67 77%     18 - 10 7 - 8 +13.6 +7.3 +6.1
  Mar 01, 2020 66   @ Georgetown W 66-63 48%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +14.0 -5.8 +19.6
  Mar 04, 2020 35   @ Providence L 74-80 35%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +8.4 +12.4 -4.2
  Mar 07, 2020 27   Butler L 71-72 53%     19 - 12 8 - 10 +8.6 +8.9 -0.4
  Mar 11, 2020 91   DePaul L 67-71 68%     19 - 13 +1.6 +0.3 +1.3
Projected Record 19 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 11.0 0.1 1.0 6.5 33.5 8.9 50.0 50.0%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 11.0 0.1 1.0 6.5 33.5 8.9 50.0 50.0%