Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 Texas St. 0.0%   19 - 11 13 - 7 19 - 11 13 - 7 +4.8      +2.0 120 +2.8 90 63.3 311 +3.0 126 +3.1 2
131 Georgia St. 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 8 17 - 13 12 - 8 +2.4      +2.0 124 +0.5 154 78.2 26 +2.0 140 +1.7 5
132 Georgia Southern 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 8 18 - 13 12 - 8 +2.4      -0.1 184 +2.4 101 76.4 37 +1.7 143 +1.7 4
134 Arkansas Little Rock 100.0%   15   20 - 10 15 - 5 20 - 10 15 - 5 +2.3      +2.9 97 -0.5 196 71.0 115 +4.2 112 +5.6 1
137 Texas Arlington 0.0%   12 - 18 10 - 10 12 - 18 10 - 10 +2.1      -0.5 196 +2.6 95 67.9 207 -1.4 194 -0.5 7
157 South Alabama 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 7 17 - 11 13 - 7 +0.6      +1.5 140 -0.9 205 63.8 304 +2.1 136 +2.8 3
182 Appalachian St. 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 9 16 - 15 11 - 9 -0.8      -1.7 225 +1.0 143 67.0 237 +0.7 157 +1.2 6
189 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 12 14 - 17 8 - 12 -1.3      +1.3 148 -2.6 259 78.1 27 -1.5 195 -2.4 8
212 Arkansas St. 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 12 14 - 16 8 - 12 -2.6      +0.9 161 -3.5 279 67.1 236 -1.3 192 -3.0 10
219 Louisiana 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 12 13 - 19 8 - 12 -3.4      -0.6 199 -2.8 263 76.3 38 -2.9 216 -2.6 9
247 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   7 - 20 5 - 15 7 - 20 5 - 15 -5.0      -3.9 273 -1.1 212 62.6 327 -7.1 280 -6.6 11
292 Troy 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 15 7 - 22 5 - 15 -7.5      -4.6 294 -2.9 268 70.6 131 -7.8 292 -6.7 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
Georgia St. 4.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 4.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 1.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 7.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 6.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 8.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 8.0 100.0
Louisiana 8.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 11.0 100.0
Troy 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Texas St. 13 - 7 100.0
Georgia St. 12 - 8 100.0
Georgia Southern 12 - 8 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 15 - 5 100.0
Texas Arlington 10 - 10 100.0
South Alabama 13 - 7 100.0
Appalachian St. 11 - 9 100.0
Coastal Carolina 8 - 12 100.0
Arkansas St. 8 - 12 100.0
Louisiana 8 - 12 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 5 - 15 100.0
Troy 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas St.
Georgia St.
Georgia Southern
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0
Texas Arlington
South Alabama
Appalachian St.
Coastal Carolina
Arkansas St.
Louisiana
Louisiana Monroe
Troy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.0 23.9 67.4 6.6
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 0.1% 100.0% 8.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0