Louisiana
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#128
Pace77.9#31
Improvement+0.5#120

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#169
First Shot-4.2#285
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#19
Layup/Dunks-3.5#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#225
Freethrows+3.9#20
Improvement-0.4#226

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#284
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#210
Layups/Dunks+2.4#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#314
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+0.8#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.3% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 31.3% 43.0% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.6% 40.5% 27.2%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.7% 11.5% 19.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 3.3% 1.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 84 - 14
Quad 49 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 302   McNeese St. W 85-80 77%     1 - 0 -6.3 -3.1 -3.7
  Nov 12, 2019 55   @ TCU L 65-98 8%     1 - 1 -20.7 -5.3 -13.4
  Nov 15, 2019 249   Youngstown St. W 73-61 66%     2 - 1 +4.3 -8.6 +12.6
  Nov 21, 2019 275   @ Wyoming L 68-69 48%    
  Nov 25, 2019 284   Detroit Mercy W 83-80 61%    
  Nov 26, 2019 98   UC Irvine L 70-78 22%    
  Dec 03, 2019 310   SE Louisiana W 81-72 79%    
  Dec 07, 2019 53   @ Arizona St. L 76-92 7%    
  Dec 14, 2019 89   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-81 14%    
  Dec 18, 2019 234   @ Arkansas St. L 78-80 42%    
  Dec 21, 2019 156   Arkansas Little Rock L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 29, 2019 170   UC Santa Barbara L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 02, 2020 163   South Alabama L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 04, 2020 295   Troy W 81-74 74%    
  Jan 06, 2020 185   @ Appalachian St. L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 09, 2020 147   @ Georgia St. L 77-84 26%    
  Jan 11, 2020 111   @ Georgia Southern L 80-90 19%    
  Jan 16, 2020 110   Texas Arlington L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 18, 2020 119   Texas St. L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 235   Louisiana Monroe W 77-73 62%    
  Jan 30, 2020 110   @ Texas Arlington L 68-78 20%    
  Feb 01, 2020 119   @ Texas St. L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 06, 2020 147   Georgia St. L 80-81 45%    
  Feb 08, 2020 111   Georgia Southern L 83-87 38%    
  Feb 13, 2020 163   @ South Alabama L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 15, 2020 295   @ Troy W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 22, 2020 235   @ Louisiana Monroe L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 26, 2020 234   Arkansas St. W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 29, 2020 156   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 72-79 29%    
  Mar 03, 2020 166   Coastal Carolina L 80-81 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.1 1.3 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.1 1.8 0.3 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.8 0.8 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 2.6 4.9 3.5 1.0 0.0 12.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.2 2.9 0.9 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.7 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.2 8.6 10.4 11.4 11.7 11.2 9.9 7.8 6.1 4.1 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 97.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 75.0% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 45.2% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 20.9% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 71.4% 64.3% 7.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0%
18-2 0.1% 31.5% 31.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 34.5% 34.5% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.9% 26.1% 26.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.6% 22.5% 22.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2
14-6 2.9% 18.9% 18.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3
13-7 4.1% 10.1% 10.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7
12-8 6.1% 4.7% 4.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.8
11-9 7.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.5
10-10 9.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
9-11 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-12 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-13 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 11.3
6-14 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
5-15 8.6% 8.6
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 3.8% 3.8
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 97.5 0.0%