IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.2	#165
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.7	#209
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#183

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#167

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	20.7%	23.9%	14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	14.2	14.9

.500 or above	77.7%	85.1%	62.8%
.500 or above in Conference	79.7%	84.3%	70.6%
Conference Champion	27.0%	31.5%	18.1%
Last Place in Conference	3.3%	2.2%	5.6%

First Four	2.3%	2.0%	2.8%
First Round	19.7%	23.0%	13.2%
Second Round	1.8%	2.3%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Neutral) - 66.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 4	4 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 4	18 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	247	Pacific	W	69-65	67%
Nov 10, 2019	183	@ Hawaii	L	68-69	45%
Nov 11, 2019	341	Florida A&M	W	71-58	88%
Nov 15, 2019	265	Texas Southern	W	85-76	79%
Nov 18, 2019	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	80-67	88%
Nov 22, 2019	57	@ Arkansas	L	69-81	14%
Nov 27, 2019	228	@ California Baptist	W	74-73	52%
Nov 30, 2019	278	@ Northern Arizona	W	75-72	63%
Dec 02, 2019	44	@ Washington	L	61-75	12%
Dec 09, 2019	332	Alabama St.	W	77-63	89%
Dec 20, 2019	214	Northern Colorado	W	70-67	61%
Dec 22, 2019	234	UMKC	W	73-66	72%
Dec 29, 2019	283	@ Western Illinois	W	72-68	62%
Jan 01, 2020	241	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	W	78-77	54%
Jan 05, 2020	305	Denver	W	77-66	83%
Jan 11, 2020	195	Nebraska Omaha	W	76-71	67%
Jan 15, 2020	153	@ North Dakota St.	L	68-72	37%
Jan 19, 2020	224	South Dakota St.	W	79-73	70%
Jan 23, 2020	241	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	81-74	73%
Jan 25, 2020	205	Oral Roberts	W	76-71	68%
Jan 30, 2020	305	@ Denver	W	74-69	66%
Feb 02, 2020	195	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	73-74	47%
Feb 08, 2020	262	@ North Dakota	W	74-72	58%
Feb 12, 2020	283	Western Illinois	W	75-65	79%
Feb 15, 2020	205	@ Oral Roberts	L	73-74	48%
Feb 19, 2020	153	North Dakota St.	W	71-69	57%
Feb 23, 2020	224	@ South Dakota St.	W	76-75	51%
Feb 29, 2020	262	North Dakota	W	77-69	76%
Projected Record						17 - 11	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	2.7	5.8	7.4	6.3	3.4	1.1		27.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.8	4.1	7.1	5.3	2.1	0.3				19.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	4.4	6.2	3.1	0.6	0.0					15.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.7	5.0	2.0	0.2	0.0						11.6	4th
5th						0.0	0.4	2.9	4.2	1.4	0.1								9.0	5th
6th					0.0	0.4	2.2	3.1	1.2	0.0									6.9	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	1.7	2.4	0.8	0.0										5.5	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.4	0.5	0.0											3.4	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0												1.8	9th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.0	3.7	5.5	7.4	9.8	11.7	12.8	13.1	11.8	9.5	6.6	3.4	1.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.1		1.1
15-1	100.0%	3.4		3.3	0.1
14-2	94.9%	6.3		5.4	0.8	0.0
13-3	78.1%	7.4		5.0	2.3	0.1
12-4	49.3%	5.8		2.7	2.4	0.7	0.0
11-5	20.3%	2.7		0.7	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	27.0%	27.0		18.2	6.9	1.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.1%		67.0%	61.1%	6.0%	11.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4		15.3%
15-1	3.4%		53.1%	52.5%	0.6%	12.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	1.6		1.2%
14-2	6.6%		47.0%	47.0%	0.0%	13.4										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.4	0.0	3.5		0.0%
13-3	9.5%		38.2%	38.2%		14.1												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.4	1.0	0.2	5.9
12-4	11.8%		29.3%	29.3%		14.5													0.0	0.5	1.1	1.5	0.4	8.3
11-5	13.1%		22.5%	22.5%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	0.8	10.1
10-6	12.8%		15.9%	15.9%		15.2														0.0	0.3	0.8	0.9	10.8
9-7	11.7%		12.2%	12.2%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.3
8-8	9.8%		8.5%	8.5%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	9.0
7-9	7.4%		5.5%	5.5%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	7.0
6-10	5.5%		4.8%	4.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	5.3
5-11	3.7%		2.7%	2.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.6
4-12	2.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
3-13	1.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
2-14	0.4%																							0.4
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		20.7%	20.6%	0.1%	14.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.4	3.4	5.1	5.8	4.6	79.3		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.7				2.9	50.0	38.2	5.9					2.9