Denver
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#328
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#333
Pace72.8#91
Improvement-1.0#214

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#322
First Shot-3.3#283
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#325
Layup/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#338
Freethrows+0.0#167
Improvement-0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#306
First Shot-6.3#340
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#46
Layups/Dunks-4.2#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#218
Freethrows-2.1#292
Improvement-0.9#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 81.2% 68.7% 87.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 101 - 15
Quad 45 - 96 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 118   @ Colorado St. L 63-74 7%     0 - 1 -4.4 -6.7 +2.2
  Nov 09, 2019 277   Utah Valley W 74-62 46%     1 - 1 +2.6 -0.1 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2019 56   @ Utah St. L 56-97 3%     1 - 2 -29.3 -13.3 -14.4
  Nov 23, 2019 253   @ UC Riverside L 49-73 22%     1 - 3 -26.4 -21.8 -5.2
  Nov 27, 2019 146   @ Santa Clara L 64-81 9%     1 - 4 -12.8 -11.9 +0.5
  Nov 29, 2019 281   Cal St. Fullerton W 65-62 36%     2 - 4 -3.7 -4.7 +1.2
  Nov 30, 2019 331   Southeast Missouri St. L 51-66 51%     2 - 5 -25.7 -25.8 -0.6
  Dec 03, 2019 327   Jackson St. W 67-58 61%     3 - 5 -4.3 -15.3 +10.3
  Dec 08, 2019 126   @ UCLA L 62-81 8%     3 - 6 -13.8 -8.1 -6.5
  Dec 10, 2019 93   New Mexico St. L 67-72 12%     3 - 7 -2.7 -7.0 +4.4
  Dec 14, 2019 150   Air Force L 75-79 20%     3 - 8 -5.8 -2.1 -3.8
  Dec 17, 2019 122   @ Northern Colorado L 64-86 7%     3 - 9 -16.2 -10.6 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2019 275   Wyoming L 66-72 OT 46%     3 - 10 -15.4 -13.2 -1.7
  Dec 29, 2019 156   North Dakota St. L 55-66 21%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -13.2 -20.1 +6.9
  Jan 02, 2020 234   North Dakota L 71-82 37%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -18.1 -11.5 -5.8
  Jan 05, 2020 203   @ South Dakota L 78-80 16%     3 - 13 0 - 3 -1.9 +2.9 -4.8
  Jan 08, 2020 131   South Dakota St. L 68-80 18%     3 - 14 0 - 4 -12.8 -10.3 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2020 330   @ Western Illinois L 80-86 40%     3 - 15 0 - 5 -13.8 -6.4 -6.9
  Jan 18, 2020 196   Nebraska Omaha L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 23, 2020 234   @ North Dakota L 69-78 19%    
  Jan 25, 2020 156   @ North Dakota St. L 62-76 9%    
  Jan 30, 2020 203   South Dakota L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 139   @ Oral Roberts L 68-83 8%    
  Feb 08, 2020 242   Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 14, 2020 131   @ South Dakota St. L 65-81 7%    
  Feb 16, 2020 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 20, 2020 139   Oral Roberts L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 26, 2020 242   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 66-75 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 330   Western Illinois W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 1.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 3.0 1.2 0.1 6.2 7th
8th 2.6 10.0 9.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 26.1 8th
9th 5.4 18.0 23.3 14.6 3.8 0.3 0.0 65.3 9th
Total 5.4 18.0 25.9 24.7 15.4 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.1% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
7-9 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
6-10 2.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-11 7.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.1
4-12 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
3-13 24.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.7
2-14 25.9% 25.9
1-15 18.0% 18.0
0-16 5.4% 5.4
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.4%