UCLA
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#78
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#58
Pace70.4#159
Improvement+1.4#38

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#65
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#14
Layup/Dunks-2.7#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#242
Freethrows+4.2#20
Improvement+0.5#86

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#101
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#216
Layups/Dunks+4.6#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#235
Freethrows+2.0#81
Improvement+0.9#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 3.3% 3.6% 1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 24.1% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.2% 22.0% 8.2%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.4
.500 or above 72.1% 75.5% 49.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.3% 42.2% 27.8%
Conference Champion 1.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.5% 16.3%
First Four5.8% 6.2% 3.1%
First Round18.9% 20.6% 8.1%
Second Round8.8% 9.6% 3.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 3.0% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 86.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 110 - 13
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 252   Long Beach St. W 69-65 91%     1 - 0 -3.8 -5.9 +2.3
  Nov 10, 2019 171   UC Santa Barbara W 77-61 84%     2 - 0 +12.4 +7.5 +6.5
  Nov 15, 2019 146   UNLV W 71-54 79%     3 - 0 +15.2 +1.9 +14.6
  Nov 18, 2019 191   Southern Utah W 76-61 86%     4 - 0 +10.3 -2.8 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2019 192   Hofstra W 82-70 87%    
  Nov 25, 2019 71   BYU L 76-77 47%    
  Dec 01, 2019 323   San Jose St. W 83-63 97%    
  Dec 08, 2019 293   Denver W 81-64 95%    
  Dec 14, 2019 50   @ Notre Dame L 65-71 30%    
  Dec 21, 2019 6   North Carolina L 75-86 16%    
  Dec 28, 2019 214   Cal St. Fullerton W 78-65 87%    
  Jan 02, 2020 60   @ Washington L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 04, 2020 143   @ Washington St. W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 59   USC W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 15, 2020 83   Stanford W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 19, 2020 137   California W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 23, 2020 66   @ Oregon St. L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 26, 2020 12   @ Oregon L 63-75 14%    
  Jan 30, 2020 27   Colorado L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 02, 2020 79   Utah W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 06, 2020 52   @ Arizona St. L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 08, 2020 13   @ Arizona L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 13, 2020 143   Washington St. W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 60   Washington W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 20, 2020 79   @ Utah L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 27   @ Colorado L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 27, 2020 52   Arizona St. W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 13   Arizona L 70-76 31%    
  Mar 07, 2020 59   @ USC L 73-78 32%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.4 1.4 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.0 2.9 0.4 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.7 4.0 0.6 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 3.3 0.7 0.1 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.5 6.2 8.9 11.1 13.7 14.0 12.7 10.3 7.3 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 76.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.7% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 30.2% 69.8% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 99.7% 19.4% 80.3% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-4 1.5% 99.8% 18.6% 81.2% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-5 2.8% 95.9% 13.1% 82.8% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.3%
12-6 4.8% 81.8% 9.4% 72.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.9 79.9%
11-7 7.3% 65.2% 6.4% 58.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.5 62.8%
10-8 10.3% 46.1% 3.7% 42.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.6 44.1%
9-9 12.7% 20.8% 1.2% 19.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 19.8%
8-10 14.0% 6.0% 0.6% 5.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 13.2 5.4%
7-11 13.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.5%
6-12 11.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.2%
5-13 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
3-15 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 22.2% 2.5% 19.7% 9.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.5 4.1 5.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.8 20.2%