Wyoming
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#279
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#308
Pace62.1#333
Improvement+0.5#162

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#318
First Shot-0.7#203
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#353
Layup/Dunks-4.7#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows+1.2#90
Improvement+3.4#27

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#191
First Shot-1.2#201
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#136
Layups/Dunks+4.3#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#291
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement-3.0#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 92.6% 79.6% 94.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Home) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 70 - 11
Quad 31 - 91 - 20
Quad 44 - 46 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 310   Idaho St. W 54-40 69%     1 - 0 +2.2 -13.8 +19.1
  Nov 10, 2019 91   @ South Carolina L 32-66 8%     1 - 1 -25.3 -31.6 +1.9
  Nov 13, 2019 265   Cal St. Fullerton L 53-60 58%     1 - 2 -15.7 -16.7 +0.3
  Nov 16, 2019 84   Oregon St. L 63-83 17%     1 - 3 -16.3 -13.6 -1.9
  Nov 19, 2019 267   Detroit Mercy W 76-49 58%     2 - 3 +18.3 -5.0 +22.6
  Nov 21, 2019 263   Louisiana W 69-61 OT 58%     3 - 3 -0.6 -14.6 +13.3
  Nov 24, 2019 23   Colorado L 41-56 4%     3 - 4 -2.0 -21.4 +18.6
  Nov 26, 2019 57   TCU L 47-64 9%     3 - 5 -8.4 -14.1 +3.6
  Dec 04, 2019 164   Air Force L 77-86 35%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -11.8 +2.9 -15.2
  Dec 07, 2019 118   New Mexico L 65-79 25%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -13.6 -14.7 +2.2
  Dec 14, 2019 135   Northern Colorado L 53-74 29%     3 - 8 -22.0 -9.6 -16.5
  Dec 18, 2019 268   Utah Valley L 67-69 59%     3 - 9 -11.0 -0.3 -10.9
  Dec 21, 2019 317   @ Denver W 72-66 OT 49%     4 - 9 -0.4 -8.5 +7.6
  Jan 01, 2020 108   @ Boise St. L 54-65 10%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -3.6 -14.8 +10.8
  Jan 04, 2020 101   @ Colorado St. L 61-72 9%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -3.1 -8.7 +5.6
  Jan 08, 2020 12   San Diego St. L 52-72 5%     4 - 12 0 - 5 -8.2 -6.7 -4.1
  Jan 11, 2020 131   UNLV L 69-78 OT 28%     4 - 13 0 - 6 -9.5 -7.8 -1.5
  Jan 14, 2020 97   @ Nevada L 67-68 9%     4 - 14 0 - 7 +7.1 -0.3 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2020 137   Fresno St. L 50-65 30%     4 - 15 0 - 8 -16.2 -12.8 -6.8
  Jan 21, 2020 12   @ San Diego St. L 55-72 2%     4 - 16 0 - 9 +0.7 +3.4 -6.1
  Jan 28, 2020 56   Utah St. L 57-70 12%    
  Feb 01, 2020 294   @ San Jose St. L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 04, 2020 108   Boise St. L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 08, 2020 118   @ New Mexico L 63-76 11%    
  Feb 15, 2020 101   Colorado St. L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 19, 2020 56   @ Utah St. L 54-73 4%    
  Feb 22, 2020 164   @ Air Force L 62-72 18%    
  Feb 25, 2020 97   Nevada L 61-70 21%    
  Feb 29, 2020 137   @ Fresno St. L 55-66 15%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 2 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 3.9 7.1 4.4 1.1 0.0 16.6 10th
11th 17.3 31.7 23.6 8.3 1.1 0.0 82.1 11th
Total 17.3 31.7 27.5 15.5 5.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 5.9% 5.9
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 27.5% 27.5
1-17 31.7% 31.7
0-18 17.3% 17.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 15.2%