Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-21.1#352
Expected Predictive Rating-21.7#352
Pace88.5#1
Improvement+4.5#19

Offense
Total Offense-9.9#348
First Shot-8.8#349
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#266
Layup/Dunks-8.6#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#137
Freethrows-4.8#352
Improvement+1.7#87

Defense
Total Defense-11.2#351
First Shot-8.0#348
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#351
Layups/Dunks-7.1#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#295
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement+2.8#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 86.4% 67.0% 87.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 43 - 153 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 54   @ Iowa St. L 74-110 1%     0 - 1 -23.9 -9.7 -7.1
  Nov 08, 2019 109   @ Utah L 49-143 1%     0 - 2 -87.0 -35.1 -28.7
  Nov 10, 2019 189   @ Central Michigan L 78-134 3%     0 - 3 -54.4 -16.7 -22.9
  Nov 12, 2019 233   @ Western Michigan L 81-91 4%     0 - 4 -11.2 +3.0 -13.8
  Nov 19, 2019 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 43-76 1%     0 - 5 -23.9 -31.1 +11.5
  Nov 24, 2019 142   @ South Dakota St. L 54-84 2%     0 - 6 -25.6 -16.2 -11.8
  Nov 27, 2019 280   @ North Alabama L 50-73 6%     0 - 7 -26.8 -24.5 -1.1
  Dec 06, 2019 144   @ Missouri St. L 62-86 2%     0 - 8 -19.7 -14.3 -2.7
  Dec 15, 2019 204   @ Miami (OH) L 67-79 3%     0 - 9 -11.8 -8.2 -3.6
  Dec 17, 2019 106   @ Wright St. L 50-92 1%     0 - 10 -34.5 -26.8 -1.8
  Dec 20, 2019 145   @ Santa Clara L 71-100 2%     0 - 11 -24.9 -10.1 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2019 175   @ California Baptist L 66-103 2%     0 - 12 -34.6 -16.5 -13.2
  Jan 04, 2020 347   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 76-80 44%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -23.6 -14.4 -8.5
  Jan 11, 2020 342   @ Alabama St. L 75-81 15%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -16.0 -8.1 -7.4
  Jan 13, 2020 343   @ Alabama A&M W 72-66 17%     1 - 14 1 - 2 -4.8 -2.8 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2020 298   Alcorn St. L 73-105 17%     1 - 15 1 - 3 -42.9 -15.4 -23.3
  Jan 20, 2020 329   Southern L 70-74 24%     1 - 16 1 - 4 -17.8 -9.5 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2020 244   @ Texas Southern L 77-96 3%    
  Jan 27, 2020 199   @ Prairie View L 69-91 2%    
  Feb 01, 2020 337   Jackson St. L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 03, 2020 304   Grambling St. L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 08, 2020 342   Alabama St. L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 10, 2020 343   Alabama A&M L 76-80 34%    
  Feb 15, 2020 298   @ Alcorn St. L 74-90 7%    
  Feb 17, 2020 329   @ Southern L 69-82 11%    
  Feb 22, 2020 244   Texas Southern L 80-94 10%    
  Feb 24, 2020 199   Prairie View L 72-88 8%    
  Feb 29, 2020 337   @ Jackson St. L 71-84 12%    
  Mar 02, 2020 304   @ Grambling St. L 70-86 7%    
  Mar 07, 2020 347   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-76 25%    
Projected Record 3 - 27 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.4 0.1 6.2 8th
9th 0.5 4.7 7.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 14.8 26.9 22.0 8.7 1.1 0.0 73.4 10th
Total 14.8 27.4 26.9 18.0 8.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 1.0% 1.0
6-12 3.2% 3.2
5-13 8.5% 8.5
4-14 18.0% 18.0
3-15 26.9% 26.9
2-16 27.4% 27.4
1-17 14.8% 14.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 14.8%