Utah
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#114
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#70
Pace69.0#189
Improvement-5.2#337

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#52
First Shot+4.5#51
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#169
Layup/Dunks+4.0#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#142
Freethrows+2.6#22
Improvement-1.9#268

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#182
First Shot-1.4#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-2.8#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#209
Freethrows+3.4#19
Improvement-3.3#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.3% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 4.6% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.0
.500 or above 52.4% 70.1% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 13.2% 23.7% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 12.2% 28.4%
First Four1.4% 2.6% 0.7%
First Round2.0% 3.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Home) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 25 - 47 - 12
Quad 34 - 311 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 99   @ Nevada W 79-74 36%     1 - 0 +12.6 +4.5 +7.8
  Nov 08, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 143-49 99%     2 - 0 +69.7 +22.1 +24.3
  Nov 15, 2019 35   Minnesota W 73-69 31%     3 - 0 +12.9 +4.6 +8.3
  Nov 21, 2019 165   @ Coastal Carolina L 57-79 54%     3 - 1 -19.1 -14.7 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2019 200   Ohio W 80-66 73%     4 - 1 +11.4 +9.0 +3.0
  Nov 24, 2019 169   Tulane L 61-65 65%     4 - 2 -4.1 -7.2 +2.8
  Nov 29, 2019 250   UC Davis W 77-73 86%     5 - 2 -3.8 +6.7 -10.1
  Dec 04, 2019 37   BYU W 102-95 OT 32%     6 - 2 +15.6 +12.6 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2019 306   Central Arkansas W 98-67 92%     7 - 2 +19.4 +4.6 +10.8
  Dec 14, 2019 276   Weber St. W 60-49 83%     8 - 2 +4.6 -8.1 +14.1
  Dec 18, 2019 13   Kentucky W 69-66 15%     9 - 2 +17.7 +6.7 +11.1
  Dec 21, 2019 12   San Diego St. L 52-80 15%     9 - 3 -13.1 -9.3 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2020 75   Oregon St. W 81-69 48%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +16.4 +6.7 +9.7
  Jan 04, 2020 21   Oregon L 64-69 25%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +5.9 +1.1 +4.3
  Jan 12, 2020 25   @ Colorado L 52-91 14%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -23.5 -6.3 -21.1
  Jan 16, 2020 10   @ Arizona L 77-93 10%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +2.0 +8.6 -5.9
  Jan 18, 2020 70   @ Arizona St. L 64-83 27%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -8.7 -2.4 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2020 47   Washington L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 25, 2020 122   Washington St. W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 30, 2020 59   @ USC L 70-77 24%    
  Feb 02, 2020 128   @ UCLA L 72-73 43%    
  Feb 06, 2020 44   Stanford L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 177   California W 73-66 75%    
  Feb 13, 2020 75   @ Oregon St. L 71-77 27%    
  Feb 16, 2020 21   @ Oregon L 64-77 11%    
  Feb 20, 2020 128   UCLA W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 23, 2020 59   USC L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 26, 2020 44   @ Stanford L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 29, 2020 177   @ California W 70-68 55%    
  Mar 07, 2020 25   Colorado L 68-74 29%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.7 0.2 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.7 2.0 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 7.6 4.4 0.3 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 8.0 7.0 0.8 0.0 17.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 7.3 7.6 1.5 0.0 17.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 5.8 7.1 1.6 0.0 15.3 11th
12th 0.3 1.5 4.4 4.4 1.3 0.1 12.0 12th
Total 0.3 1.6 5.2 11.2 17.1 19.3 18.5 13.6 7.8 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 12.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 11.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 91.5% 12.8% 78.7% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.2%
12-6 0.3% 72.4% 4.7% 67.7% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 71.1%
11-7 1.4% 50.7% 3.7% 47.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.7 48.8%
10-8 3.7% 23.5% 2.3% 21.2% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.8 21.7%
9-9 7.8% 8.6% 1.0% 7.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7.1 7.7%
8-10 13.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.4 0.8%
7-11 18.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.4 0.1%
6-12 19.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.2
5-13 17.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.1
4-14 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 5.2
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 0.5% 2.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1 2.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%