Utah
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#79
Expected Predictive Rating+15.8#20
Pace74.1#80
Improvement-0.2#209

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#41
First Shot+6.1#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#184
Layup/Dunks+6.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.8#65

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#145
First Shot-0.6#184
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#104
Layups/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#327
Freethrows+4.5#12
Improvement-1.1#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 3.9% 5.1% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.2% 28.5% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.6% 26.6% 12.3%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 63.4% 72.5% 46.4%
.500 or above in Conference 38.2% 43.1% 28.9%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 7.9% 14.1%
First Four6.1% 7.4% 3.7%
First Round19.6% 24.2% 11.2%
Second Round8.9% 11.0% 4.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 65.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 24 - 47 - 12
Quad 35 - 211 - 13
Quad 45 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 126   @ Nevada W 79-74 54%     1 - 0 +10.3 +2.9 +7.0
  Nov 08, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 143-49 99%     2 - 0 +70.8 +22.8 +24.7
  Nov 15, 2019 73   Minnesota W 73-69 59%     3 - 0 +8.1 +5.0 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2019 168   @ Coastal Carolina W 82-78 65%    
  Nov 29, 2019 310   UC Davis W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 04, 2019 71   BYU W 81-79 56%    
  Dec 07, 2019 309   Central Arkansas W 90-71 96%    
  Dec 14, 2019 276   Weber St. W 84-72 87%    
  Dec 18, 2019 9   Kentucky L 70-81 17%    
  Dec 21, 2019 47   San Diego St. L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 66   Oregon St. W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 04, 2020 12   Oregon L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 12, 2020 27   @ Colorado L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 16, 2020 13   @ Arizona L 70-83 13%    
  Jan 18, 2020 52   @ Arizona St. L 80-86 30%    
  Jan 23, 2020 60   Washington W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 25, 2020 143   Washington St. W 83-75 75%    
  Jan 30, 2020 59   @ USC L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 02, 2020 78   @ UCLA L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 06, 2020 83   Stanford W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 137   California W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 13, 2020 66   @ Oregon St. L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 16, 2020 12   @ Oregon L 66-79 14%    
  Feb 20, 2020 78   UCLA W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 23, 2020 59   USC W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 83   @ Stanford L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 29, 2020 137   @ California W 74-72 56%    
  Mar 07, 2020 27   Colorado L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.1 1.9 0.1 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.9 2.7 0.2 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 3.4 0.4 12.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 5.0 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.7 2.4 0.7 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.8 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.9 7.0 8.9 11.9 13.7 13.3 11.9 9.3 6.9 4.8 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 70.6% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
13-5 13.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 63.6% 36.4% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 99.8% 12.9% 86.9% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 2.7% 95.8% 11.7% 84.1% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.2%
12-6 4.8% 87.9% 7.3% 80.6% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 86.9%
11-7 6.9% 71.3% 5.8% 65.5% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.3 2.0 69.6%
10-8 9.3% 51.9% 3.9% 48.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.5 50.0%
9-9 11.9% 24.6% 0.8% 23.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.0 24.0%
8-10 13.3% 6.8% 0.6% 6.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 6.2%
7-11 13.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.5 0.9%
6-12 11.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.2%
5-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 23.2% 2.1% 21.1% 8.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.4 3.3 4.0 5.7 1.8 0.0 0.0 76.8 21.6%