Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#335
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#328
Pace63.6#315
Improvement+0.4#168

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#319
First Shot-5.4#316
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks-5.5#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#304
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement-1.9#276

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#323
First Shot-4.1#307
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#302
Layups/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#96
Freethrows-4.0#339
Improvement+2.3#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 2.3% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 44.2% 59.1% 31.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 2.6% 8.7%
First Four4.1% 5.1% 3.3%
First Round1.6% 1.9% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 410 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 124   @ Murray St. L 49-69 6%     0 - 1 -14.4 -23.2 +9.6
  Nov 14, 2019 93   @ New Mexico St. L 63-79 4%     0 - 2 -7.9 -1.6 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2019 121   @ Nebraska L 86-93 OT 6%     0 - 3 -1.0 +8.0 -8.4
  Nov 25, 2019 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 51-78 13%     0 - 4 -26.4 -22.2 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2019 309   IUPUI W 83-77 41%     1 - 4 -3.2 +5.3 -8.4
  Dec 01, 2019 160   @ Tulane L 65-82 9%     1 - 5 -13.6 -10.1 -2.8
  Dec 08, 2019 72   @ Akron L 57-72 3%     1 - 6 -4.8 -4.2 -2.0
  Dec 12, 2019 114   @ Wright St. L 62-85 5%     1 - 7 -16.3 -10.2 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2019 12   @ Butler L 41-66 1%     1 - 8 -7.0 -19.0 +10.1
  Dec 18, 2019 181   @ California Baptist L 61-78 10%     1 - 9 -14.8 -5.8 -10.9
  Dec 20, 2019 162   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-77 9%     1 - 10 -5.7 +7.1 -14.3
  Jan 04, 2020 263   @ Texas Southern L 68-77 20%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -11.8 -8.2 -3.5
  Jan 06, 2020 223   @ Prairie View L 54-64 16%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -10.7 -12.7 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2020 293   Grambling St. L 56-61 47%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -15.6 -15.2 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2020 327   Jackson St. W 56-50 57%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -7.3 -13.1 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2020 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 60-61 47%    
  Jan 20, 2020 351   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-72 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 343   Alabama St. W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 27, 2020 338   Alabama A&M W 68-64 65%    
  Feb 01, 2020 332   Alcorn St. W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 293   @ Grambling St. L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 10, 2020 327   @ Jackson St. L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 63-58 68%    
  Feb 17, 2020 351   Mississippi Valley W 80-69 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 343   @ Alabama St. L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 24, 2020 338   @ Alabama A&M L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 29, 2020 332   @ Alcorn St. L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 05, 2020 263   Texas Southern L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 07, 2020 223   Prairie View L 65-70 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.2 1.8 0.2 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 6.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.9 7.8 3.6 0.4 16.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 8.9 4.5 0.4 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.3 4.8 0.5 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.6 4.4 0.7 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 3.1 0.5 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.3 11.5 15.5 18.6 16.4 13.1 8.6 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 69.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 35.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.4% 20.0% 20.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-5 1.4% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.2 1.1
12-6 4.3% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.4 3.9
11-7 8.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.7 7.9
10-8 13.1% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.8 12.2
9-9 16.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.8 15.6
8-10 18.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.6 18.0
7-11 15.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 15.1
6-12 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-13 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-14 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1 95.9 0.0%