Montana St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#239
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#202
Pace67.5#224
Improvement-1.2#229

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#281
First Shot-0.5#200
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#350
Layup/Dunks-0.6#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#256
Freethrows+2.8#16
Improvement-0.9#229

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#181
First Shot-1.6#234
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#46
Layups/Dunks+0.6#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#292
Freethrows+0.3#165
Improvement-0.3#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 42   @ Utah St. L 73-81 6%     0 - 1 +5.3 +3.0 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2019 182   Appalachian St. W 59-56 37%     1 - 1 +2.2 -13.3 +15.5
  Nov 16, 2019 96   @ UNC Greensboro W 67-66 12%     2 - 1 +9.3 +0.8 +8.4
  Nov 17, 2019 325   Tennessee Tech W 52-39 74%     3 - 1 +2.1 -18.9 +22.6
  Nov 19, 2019 250   @ Grand Canyon L 56-69 42%     3 - 2 -15.3 -15.8 -0.8
  Nov 30, 2019 218   Green Bay L 72-98 57%     3 - 3 -32.0 -11.1 -19.6
  Dec 05, 2019 129   South Dakota St. W 77-70 35%     4 - 3 +6.7 +1.5 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2019 121   @ North Dakota St. L 65-79 16%     4 - 4 -7.7 -3.2 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2019 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-74 45%     4 - 5 -4.9 +3.4 -8.4
  Dec 28, 2019 199   Sacramento St. W 66-51 53%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +10.0 -1.2 +12.4
  Dec 30, 2019 229   Northern Arizona W 63-61 60%     6 - 5 2 - 0 -4.9 -10.5 +5.8
  Jan 02, 2020 99   @ Northern Colorado L 59-68 13%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -0.9 -5.0 +3.2
  Jan 04, 2020 177   @ Southern Utah L 53-59 26%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -3.5 -15.6 +12.0
  Jan 09, 2020 324   @ Idaho W 71-68 62%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -4.4 -2.1 -2.3
  Jan 11, 2020 185   Portland St. L 76-77 49%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -5.0 -0.6 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2020 133   Eastern Washington L 58-71 36%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -13.7 -20.8 +8.2
  Jan 23, 2020 275   @ Weber St. W 62-61 46%     8 - 9 4 - 4 -2.3 -16.5 +14.1
  Jan 25, 2020 307   @ Idaho St. W 75-64 53%     9 - 9 5 - 4 +5.9 -0.4 +6.7
  Feb 01, 2020 153   @ Montana L 64-78 22%     9 - 10 5 - 5 -10.1 -0.6 -10.7
  Feb 06, 2020 324   Idaho W 72-50 81%     10 - 10 6 - 5 +8.5 +7.0 +5.6
  Feb 08, 2020 133   @ Eastern Washington L 49-74 18%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -19.6 -25.8 +8.1
  Feb 13, 2020 307   Idaho St. W 73-69 74%     11 - 11 7 - 6 -7.1 -10.7 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2020 275   Weber St. W 77-63 69%     12 - 11 8 - 6 +4.6 +8.4 -2.0
  Feb 20, 2020 185   @ Portland St. L 77-87 27%     12 - 12 8 - 7 -7.9 -2.2 -5.4
  Feb 22, 2020 153   Montana L 54-59 42%     12 - 13 8 - 8 -7.1 -13.7 +6.1
  Feb 27, 2020 199   @ Sacramento St. L 52-81 30%     12 - 14 8 - 9 -27.9 -15.6 -13.2
  Feb 29, 2020 229   @ Northern Arizona W 63-57 37%     13 - 14 9 - 9 +5.2 -7.3 +12.9
  Mar 05, 2020 177   Southern Utah W 73-65 47%     14 - 14 10 - 9 +4.5 +4.2 +0.7
  Mar 07, 2020 99   Northern Colorado L 61-75 27%     14 - 15 10 - 10 -11.9 -6.3 -7.0
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%