Montana St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#197
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#37
Pace73.0#96
Improvement-1.1#309

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#223
First Shot+2.9#85
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#340
Layup/Dunks+3.6#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#202
Freethrows+1.3#100
Improvement-1.8#346

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#175
First Shot-3.9#283
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#32
Layups/Dunks+4.0#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#247
Freethrows-4.0#326
Improvement+0.7#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 18.4% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 79.0% 88.9% 74.0%
.500 or above in Conference 78.4% 85.1% 75.0%
Conference Champion 19.3% 25.6% 16.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.4% 2.0%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round14.6% 18.2% 12.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 55 - 7
Quad 414 - 519 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 20   @ Utah St. L 73-81 6%     0 - 1 +8.2 +3.3 +5.3
  Nov 15, 2019 178   Appalachian St. W 59-56 47%     1 - 1 +1.9 -14.5 +16.4
  Nov 15, 2019 92   @ UNC Greensboro W 67-66 17%     2 - 1 +9.2 +1.1 +8.1
  Nov 17, 2019 319   Tennessee Tech W 52-39 79%     3 - 1 +2.5 -16.1 +20.2
  Nov 19, 2019 170   @ Grand Canyon L 71-75 34%    
  Nov 30, 2019 181   Green Bay W 81-79 56%    
  Dec 05, 2019 223   South Dakota St. W 78-74 65%    
  Dec 16, 2019 163   @ North Dakota St. L 67-72 35%    
  Dec 19, 2019 221   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 28, 2019 265   Sacramento St. W 74-67 72%    
  Dec 30, 2019 289   Northern Arizona W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 02, 2020 199   @ Northern Colorado L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 04, 2020 183   @ Southern Utah L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 09, 2020 336   @ Idaho W 73-66 75%    
  Jan 11, 2020 271   Portland St. W 79-72 71%    
  Jan 18, 2020 202   Eastern Washington W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 23, 2020 276   @ Weber St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 25, 2020 310   @ Idaho St. W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 01, 2020 204   @ Montana L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 06, 2020 336   Idaho W 76-63 88%    
  Feb 08, 2020 202   @ Eastern Washington L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 13, 2020 310   Idaho St. W 78-67 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 276   Weber St. W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 20, 2020 271   @ Portland St. W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 204   Montana W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 27, 2020 265   @ Sacramento St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 29, 2020 289   @ Northern Arizona W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 05, 2020 183   Southern Utah W 74-72 59%    
  Mar 07, 2020 199   Northern Colorado W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.5 3.6 5.6 4.5 3.1 0.7 0.1 19.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.9 5.5 4.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.9 3.6 5.2 3.5 0.9 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.0 4.8 2.4 0.3 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.8 1.9 0.3 9.8 5th
6th 0.5 2.4 4.3 1.6 0.2 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.5 1.1 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 2.7 4.3 5.6 7.0 9.5 10.3 11.3 11.0 10.7 9.1 7.4 5.2 3.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 98.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
17-3 86.5% 4.5    3.7 0.7 0.1
16-4 76.4% 5.6    3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 39.6% 3.6    1.9 1.2 0.5 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 13.6 4.4 1.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1
19-1 0.7% 29.3% 29.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5
18-2 3.2% 38.7% 36.6% 2.0% 13.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 2.0 3.2%
17-3 5.2% 36.2% 36.2% 13.3 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 3.3
16-4 7.4% 29.7% 29.7% 13.6 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 5.2
15-5 9.1% 27.9% 27.9% 14.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.0 6.6
14-6 10.7% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 8.3
13-7 11.0% 13.1% 13.1% 14.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.2 9.5
12-8 11.3% 15.1% 15.1% 15.1 0.3 1.1 0.4 9.6
11-9 10.3% 4.9% 4.9% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 9.8
10-10 9.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.1
9-11 7.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.0
8-12 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.6
7-13 4.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.3
6-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 2.7
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 14.8% 14.7% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.6 5.3 4.1 1.2 85.2 0.1%