Idaho
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#338
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#328
Pace64.1#313
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 6.0% 11.0% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 16.8% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 42.5% 33.9% 47.0%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Neutral) - 34.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 81 - 9
Quad 47 - 138 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 247   @ UC Riverside L 51-58 16%     0 - 1 -8.6 -12.1 +2.4
  Nov 14, 2019 297   UC Davis L 62-66 34%    
  Nov 15, 2019 319   VMI L 69-71 43%    
  Nov 17, 2019 284   @ Arkansas St. L 65-73 23%    
  Nov 26, 2019 161   North Dakota St. L 63-72 22%    
  Nov 30, 2019 236   @ Seattle L 61-72 16%    
  Dec 05, 2019 131   Washington St. L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 14, 2019 212   Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-68 30%    
  Dec 21, 2019 202   @ South Dakota St. L 65-78 13%    
  Dec 28, 2019 314   @ Idaho St. L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 30, 2019 248   @ Weber St. L 67-77 19%    
  Jan 02, 2020 271   Portland St. L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 09, 2020 258   Montana St. L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 16, 2020 174   Eastern Washington L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 18, 2020 205   @ Montana L 61-74 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 211   Northern Colorado L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 27, 2020 206   Southern Utah L 66-73 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 290   @ Northern Arizona L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 03, 2020 286   @ Sacramento St. L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 06, 2020 258   @ Montana St. L 68-78 19%    
  Feb 08, 2020 205   Montana L 64-71 30%    
  Feb 13, 2020 174   @ Eastern Washington L 62-76 12%    
  Feb 17, 2020 271   @ Portland St. L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 20, 2020 290   Northern Arizona L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 286   Sacramento St. L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 27, 2020 211   @ Northern Colorado L 60-72 16%    
  Feb 29, 2020 206   @ Southern Utah L 63-76 15%    
  Mar 05, 2020 248   Weber St. L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 07, 2020 314   Idaho St. W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.4 0.6 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 3.2 0.9 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.1 3.8 1.0 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.8 6.2 6.1 3.7 1.0 0.0 20.5 10th
11th 2.0 5.0 7.8 8.3 6.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 32.6 11th
Total 2.0 5.0 8.6 11.1 13.2 12.4 11.5 10.0 8.2 6.1 4.4 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 38.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.4% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 0.7% 13.0% 13.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-7 1.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.1 1.0
12-8 2.0% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.9
11-9 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 3.0
10-10 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.3
9-11 6.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.1
8-12 8.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-13 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-14 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-15 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
4-16 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-17 11.1% 11.1
2-18 8.6% 8.6
1-19 5.0% 5.0
0-20 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%