Montana
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#205
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#247
Pace67.4#250
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#204
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#203
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 28.6% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.7 14.8
.500 or above 60.9% 87.6% 59.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 92.8% 77.8%
Conference Champion 20.6% 36.2% 19.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.3% 2.4%
First Four2.3% 0.3% 2.4%
First Round15.4% 28.3% 14.8%
Second Round1.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 4.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 94   @ Stanford L 62-73 16%     0 - 1 -2.6 -4.9 +2.3
  Nov 16, 2019 31   @ Arkansas L 64-82 5%    
  Nov 22, 2019 47   @ Washington L 57-73 7%    
  Nov 25, 2019 267   Texas Southern W 80-74 71%    
  Nov 29, 2019 337   Coppin St. W 82-70 87%    
  Dec 01, 2019 82   @ New Mexico L 72-84 14%    
  Dec 06, 2019 273   North Dakota W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 18, 2019 12   @ Oregon L 59-80 3%    
  Dec 21, 2019 198   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 28, 2019 289   Northern Arizona W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 30, 2019 284   Sacramento St. W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 02, 2020 187   @ Southern Utah L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 04, 2020 211   @ Northern Colorado L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 09, 2020 199   @ Eastern Washington L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 13, 2020 272   Portland St. W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 18, 2020 335   Idaho W 73-61 86%    
  Jan 23, 2020 314   @ Idaho St. W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 280   @ Weber St. W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 30, 2020 272   @ Portland St. W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 261   Montana St. W 79-73 68%    
  Feb 06, 2020 199   Eastern Washington W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 335   @ Idaho W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 13, 2020 280   Weber St. W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 15, 2020 314   Idaho St. W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 22, 2020 261   @ Montana St. L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 27, 2020 289   @ Northern Arizona W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 284   @ Sacramento St. W 70-69 54%    
  Mar 05, 2020 211   Northern Colorado W 70-67 61%    
  Mar 07, 2020 187   Southern Utah W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.7 5.7 4.5 2.7 1.3 0.5 20.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 3.1 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.6 5.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.5 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.1 1.8 0.3 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.3 1.5 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.2 1.0 0.1 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.9 5.2 7.1 8.5 10.1 10.9 11.4 10.2 9.6 8.2 5.1 2.7 1.3 0.5 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
18-2 99.5% 2.7    2.5 0.2
17-3 88.9% 4.5    3.6 0.8 0.0
16-4 69.4% 5.7    3.8 1.8 0.2
15-5 38.8% 3.7    1.7 1.6 0.5
14-6 16.7% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.6% 20.6 13.8 5.4 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 78.2% 78.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
19-1 1.3% 49.5% 49.5% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6
18-2 2.7% 49.0% 49.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4
17-3 5.1% 38.0% 38.0% 14.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 3.1
16-4 8.2% 33.2% 33.2% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.3 5.5
15-5 9.6% 27.1% 27.1% 14.8 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.4 7.0
14-6 10.2% 21.2% 21.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 8.0
13-7 11.4% 16.8% 16.8% 15.5 0.1 0.7 1.1 9.5
12-8 10.9% 10.5% 10.5% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.7
11-9 10.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 9.3
10-10 8.5% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.0
9-11 7.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 6.8
8-12 5.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.1
7-13 3.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.8
6-14 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-15 1.5% 1.5
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.6 5.3 5.1 83.4 0.0%