Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
73 Buffalo 0.0%   15 - 8 12 - 5 15 - 8 12 - 5 +8.0      +3.3 97 +4.7 61 80.5 12 +4.6 110 +5.3 4
75 Toledo 0.7%   21 - 8 15 - 4 21 - 8 15 - 4 +7.8      +8.1 21 -0.3 186 70.7 139 +7.0 83 +7.8 1
83 Ohio 100.0%   12   15 - 7 9 - 5 15 - 7 9 - 5 +7.3      +7.1 31 +0.2 164 70.8 132 +6.7 87 +3.9 5
111 Akron 0.0%   13 - 8 12 - 6 13 - 8 12 - 6 +4.4      +4.2 79 +0.2 163 68.9 181 +5.2 104 +5.5 3
116 Kent St. 0.0%   14 - 8 12 - 6 14 - 8 12 - 6 +3.4      +2.2 115 +1.3 134 71.9 104 +5.6 99 +5.6 2
132 Bowling Green 0.0%   13 - 11 10 - 8 13 - 11 10 - 8 +2.3      +2.5 107 -0.2 182 73.5 82 +2.4 134 +2.8 6
154 Ball St. 0.0%   10 - 13 8 - 9 10 - 13 8 - 9 +0.7      +0.6 158 +0.1 165 74.2 70 -0.5 171 +0.4 8
167 Miami (OH) 0.0%   10 - 11 8 - 8 10 - 11 8 - 8 0.0      +2.5 109 -2.5 242 64.0 299 0.0 164 +0.8 7
276 Western Michigan 0.0%   4 - 16 4 - 12 4 - 16 4 - 12 -7.6      -5.5 293 -2.2 228 65.7 261 -8.7 293 -6.9 9
289 Central Michigan 0.0%   5 - 15 3 - 13 5 - 15 3 - 13 -8.4      -1.8 224 -6.6 323 78.1 23 -8.8 295 -10.6 12
294 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   3 - 11 3 - 10 3 - 11 3 - 10 -8.6      -3.5 261 -5.1 301 67.6 213 -7.6 277 -7.5 10
323 Northern Illinois 0.0%   3 - 16 2 - 12 3 - 16 2 - 12 -12.0      -5.5 294 -6.5 322 64.3 291 -13.7 330 -10.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Buffalo 2.0 100.0
Toledo 1.0 100.0
Ohio 6.0 100.0
Akron 2.0 100.0
Kent St. 2.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 7.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 7.0 100.0
Western Michigan 9.0 100.0
Central Michigan 10.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 10.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Buffalo 12 - 8 100.0
Toledo 15 - 5 100.0
Ohio 9 - 11 100.0
Akron 12 - 8 100.0
Kent St. 12 - 8 100.0
Bowling Green 10 - 10 100.0
Ball St. 8 - 12 100.0
Miami (OH) 8 - 12 100.0
Western Michigan 4 - 16 100.0
Central Michigan 3 - 17 100.0
Eastern Michigan 3 - 17 100.0
Northern Illinois 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Buffalo
Toledo 100.0% 100.0
Ohio
Akron
Kent St.
Bowling Green
Ball St.
Miami (OH)
Western Michigan
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0 0.5 0.1 99.3 0.7%
Ohio 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.9 56.7 42.0 0.4
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 23.0% 6.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.3 0.7
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
2nd Round 23.0% 0.2 77.0 23.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 6.8% 0.1 93.2 6.8
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0