Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#154
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#171
Pace74.2#70
Improvement+2.6#64

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#158
First Shot+0.5#156
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#163
Layup/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#78
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement+1.7#82

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot+0.7#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#232
Layups/Dunks+0.7#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#87
Freethrows-1.4#280
Improvement+0.9#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 32 - 53 - 13
Quad 47 - 010 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 200   @ Northern Kentucky L 73-74 56%     0 - 1 -1.9 +1.3 -3.3
  Dec 02, 2020 4   @ Michigan L 65-84 4%     0 - 2 +2.7 -1.2 +4.8
  Dec 05, 2020 290   Illinois-Chicago W 68-66 85%     1 - 2 -8.3 -8.0 -0.3
  Dec 08, 2020 323   @ Northern Illinois W 79-70 OT 84%     2 - 2 1 - 0 -1.1 +1.5 -2.5
  Dec 12, 2020 202   Illinois St. W 82-66 70%     3 - 2 +11.2 +0.6 +9.1
  Dec 19, 2020 118   @ Indiana St. L 57-67 33%     3 - 3 -4.7 -17.0 +13.2
  Dec 22, 2020 276   @ Western Michigan W 76-68 73%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +2.2 +4.4 -1.9
  Jan 02, 2021 83   Ohio L 68-78 32%     4 - 4 2 - 1 -4.6 +0.0 -5.4
  Jan 09, 2021 73   @ Buffalo L 69-86 19%     4 - 5 2 - 2 -7.1 -7.0 +2.0
  Jan 12, 2021 132   @ Bowling Green W 88-64 36%     5 - 5 3 - 2 +28.2 +11.0 +15.9
  Jan 16, 2021 323   Northern Illinois W 78-58 91%     6 - 5 4 - 2 +6.1 +1.2 +5.8
  Jan 19, 2021 167   @ Miami (OH) L 71-81 45%     6 - 6 4 - 3 -8.1 -2.3 -5.9
  Jan 23, 2021 83   @ Ohio L 77-85 21%     6 - 7 4 - 4 +1.2 -0.6 +2.4
  Jan 30, 2021 111   @ Akron L 42-74 29%     6 - 8 4 - 5 -25.7 -28.9 +2.5
  Feb 02, 2021 73   Buffalo L 58-78 30%     6 - 9 4 - 6 -13.9 -14.0 +1.1
  Feb 06, 2021 75   Toledo W 81-67 31%     7 - 9 5 - 6 +19.9 +0.2 +18.5
  Feb 16, 2021 132   Bowling Green L 62-75 51%     7 - 10 5 - 7 -12.6 -13.3 +1.0
  Feb 19, 2021 111   Akron L 79-88 43%     7 - 11 5 - 8 -6.5 +0.1 -6.0
  Feb 24, 2021 116   Kent St. W 90-71 47%     8 - 11 6 - 8 +20.5 +15.1 +4.9
  Feb 27, 2021 289   Central Michigan W 97-91 85%     9 - 11 7 - 8 -4.3 +8.3 -13.1
  Mar 02, 2021 294   Eastern Michigan W 100-65 85%     10 - 11 8 - 8 +24.5 +18.0 +5.4
  Mar 05, 2021 75   @ Toledo L 70-89 20%     10 - 12 8 - 9 -9.3 -7.6 -0.2
  Mar 11, 2021 75   Toledo L 89-91 OT 25%     10 - 13 +5.8 +4.9 +1.2
Projected Record 10 - 13 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9 100.0% 100.0
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%