Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#73
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#110
Pace80.5#12
Improvement+3.3#43

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#97
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#14
Layup/Dunks+6.4#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#289
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement+0.3#164

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#61
First Shot+5.0#40
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks-2.4#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#1
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+3.1#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 47 - 8
Quad 48 - 015 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 273   Towson W 74-65 92%     1 - 0 +1.5 -7.9 +9.0
  Nov 28, 2020 181   Army L 74-78 80%     1 - 1 -4.8 -5.4 +1.1
  Dec 06, 2020 132   @ Bowling Green L 78-86 64%     1 - 2 0 - 1 -3.8 -0.6 -2.5
  Dec 15, 2020 167   @ Miami (OH) W 90-62 72%     2 - 2 1 - 1 +29.9 +10.5 +17.8
  Dec 19, 2020 40   @ Syracuse L 96-107 OT 31%     2 - 3 +2.1 +8.4 -4.1
  Jan 09, 2021 154   Ball St. W 86-69 81%     3 - 3 2 - 1 +15.8 +1.3 +12.3
  Jan 12, 2021 276   @ Western Michigan W 85-69 89%     4 - 3 3 - 1 +10.2 +7.0 +2.5
  Jan 15, 2021 132   Bowling Green L 69-76 77%     4 - 4 3 - 2 -6.6 -9.5 +3.4
  Jan 19, 2021 116   @ Kent St. L 81-84 60%     4 - 5 3 - 3 +2.3 +2.4 +0.3
  Jan 21, 2021 294   Eastern Michigan W 92-77 95%     5 - 5 4 - 3 +4.5 +6.2 -2.8
  Jan 29, 2021 83   Ohio L 75-76 60%     5 - 6 4 - 4 +4.4 -2.3 +6.7
  Feb 02, 2021 154   @ Ball St. W 78-58 70%     6 - 6 5 - 4 +22.5 +2.2 +19.3
  Feb 06, 2021 167   Miami (OH) W 88-64 82%     7 - 6 6 - 4 +22.1 +13.1 +9.4
  Feb 12, 2021 276   Western Michigan W 86-54 94%     8 - 6 7 - 4 +22.5 +3.1 +16.8
  Feb 19, 2021 75   Toledo L 70-80 58%     8 - 7 7 - 5 -4.1 -4.6 +0.5
  Feb 23, 2021 323   @ Northern Illinois W 102-74 94%     9 - 7 8 - 5 +17.9 +12.0 +2.7
  Feb 25, 2021 289   Central Michigan W 85-73 95%     10 - 7 9 - 5 +1.7 -2.4 +3.1
  Feb 27, 2021 83   @ Ohio W 86-66 45%     11 - 7 10 - 5 +29.2 +6.8 +20.6
  Mar 02, 2021 111   Akron W 80-78 70%     12 - 7 11 - 5 +4.5 -2.0 +6.3
  Mar 05, 2021 116   Kent St. W 81-67 73%     13 - 7 12 - 5 +15.5 +4.8 +10.1
  Mar 11, 2021 167   Miami (OH) W 74-63 78%     14 - 7 +11.0 +2.8 +8.8
  Mar 12, 2021 111   Akron W 81-74 OT 64%     15 - 7 +11.4 +2.3 +8.5
  Mar 13, 2021 83   Ohio L 69-84 53%     15 - 8 -7.7 -5.0 -2.5
Projected Record 15 - 8 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5 0.0%
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%