Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 Furman 0.0%   13 - 9 10 - 5 13 - 9 10 - 5 +5.6      +4.7 64 +0.9 147 68.6 188 +3.2 125 +4.7 3
97 UNC Greensboro 100.0%   13   21 - 8 13 - 5 21 - 8 13 - 5 +5.3      +1.4 131 +3.9 71 69.5 168 +5.1 108 +5.7 2
127 Wofford 0.0%   13 - 9 12 - 5 13 - 9 12 - 5 +2.7      +2.7 104 0.0 173 64.5 288 +3.3 124 +5.8 1
131 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   11 - 12 8 - 7 11 - 12 8 - 7 +2.4      +0.8 152 +1.6 123 64.6 285 +0.3 157 +1.6 5
136 Mercer 0.0%   15 - 11 8 - 9 15 - 11 8 - 9 +2.0      +2.5 108 -0.6 190 68.4 193 +2.1 136 -0.9 7
160 VMI 0.0%   10 - 12 7 - 7 10 - 12 7 - 7 +0.4      +3.7 88 -3.3 261 72.7 92 -0.7 173 -0.4 6
164 Chattanooga 0.0%   16 - 8 9 - 7 16 - 8 9 - 7 +0.2      +0.4 163 -0.2 178 66.3 246 +3.5 118 +1.6 4
220 The Citadel 0.0%   9 - 12 5 - 11 9 - 12 5 - 11 -4.1      +0.8 150 -4.9 299 81.0 8 -1.6 189 -3.0 8
238 Western Carolina 0.0%   9 - 16 4 - 13 9 - 16 4 - 13 -5.0      -1.6 221 -3.4 263 73.9 75 -3.8 220 -5.5 9
269 Samford 0.0%   4 - 13 2 - 9 4 - 13 2 - 9 -7.3      -5.0 287 -2.3 235 78.9 20 -7.6 278 -7.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Furman 3.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 1.0 100.0
Wofford 2.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
Mercer 5.0 100.0
VMI 7.0 100.0
Chattanooga 4.0 100.0
The Citadel 8.0 100.0
Western Carolina 9.0 100.0
Samford 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Furman 10 - 8 100.0
UNC Greensboro 13 - 5 100.0
Wofford 12 - 6 100.0
East Tennessee St. 8 - 10 100.0
Mercer 8 - 10 100.0
VMI 7 - 11 100.0
Chattanooga 9 - 9 100.0
The Citadel 5 - 13 100.0
Western Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
Samford 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Furman
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 100.0
Wofford
East Tennessee St.
Mercer
VMI
Chattanooga
The Citadel
Western Carolina
Samford


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 5.6 75.1 19.2 0.0
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.2% 3.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.2% 0.2 82.8 17.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0