Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#136
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Pace68.4#193
Improvement-0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#108
First Shot+4.0#72
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#275
Layup/Dunks+3.0#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#73
Freethrows-2.3#314
Improvement-2.9#310

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#123
Layups/Dunks-3.4#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#40
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement+2.8#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 52 - 6
Quad 36 - 58 - 11
Quad 47 - 015 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 31   @ Georgia Tech W 83-73 12%     1 - 0 +24.7 +13.2 +11.1
  Nov 30, 2020 144   Georgia St. W 86-69 61%     2 - 0 +16.2 +0.7 +13.5
  Dec 13, 2020 250   @ Georgia Southern W 77-75 71%     3 - 0 -1.9 -0.8 -1.2
  Dec 16, 2020 144   @ Georgia St. L 81-88 46%     3 - 1 -4.0 +4.7 -8.4
  Dec 22, 2020 326   @ Kennesaw St. W 81-71 87%     4 - 1 -0.3 +4.0 -4.6
  Dec 29, 2020 127   Wofford L 65-78 55%     4 - 2 0 - 1 -12.2 -7.4 -5.2
  Jan 02, 2021 94   @ Furman L 80-83 30%     4 - 3 0 - 2 +4.5 +5.5 -0.8
  Jan 13, 2021 164   @ Chattanooga L 80-83 49%     4 - 4 0 - 3 -0.9 +6.5 -7.3
  Jan 16, 2021 238   Western Carolina W 78-76 80%     5 - 4 1 - 3 -4.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2021 220   @ The Citadel W 83-63 66%     6 - 4 2 - 3 +17.8 +3.2 +13.9
  Jan 23, 2021 160   VMI W 83-80 63%     7 - 4 3 - 3 +1.5 +9.9 -8.2
  Jan 27, 2021 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-81 30%     7 - 5 3 - 4 -5.8 +2.2 -8.4
  Jan 30, 2021 127   @ Wofford L 69-72 40%     7 - 6 3 - 5 +1.6 -0.1 +1.5
  Feb 03, 2021 131   East Tennessee St. L 64-70 56%     7 - 7 3 - 6 -5.5 +2.3 -8.8
  Feb 08, 2021 269   Samford W 89-82 2OT 85%     8 - 7 4 - 6 -2.2 -9.1 +5.2
  Feb 10, 2021 269   @ Samford W 77-70 OT 76%     9 - 7 5 - 6 +1.6 -1.9 +3.1
  Feb 13, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 74-77 44%     9 - 8 5 - 7 +0.4 +4.1 -3.6
  Feb 17, 2021 131   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-64 41%     10 - 8 6 - 7 +11.3 +8.3 +3.7
  Feb 20, 2021 94   Furman L 60-70 43%     10 - 9 6 - 8 -6.3 -7.3 +0.1
  Feb 22, 2021 220   The Citadel W 88-52 78%     11 - 9 7 - 8 +30.0 +10.1 +20.2
  Feb 24, 2021 164   Chattanooga W 81-77 OT 64%     12 - 9 8 - 8 +2.3 +3.8 -1.7
  Feb 27, 2021 238   @ Western Carolina L 61-85 69%     12 - 10 8 - 9 -27.1 -14.5 -12.5
  Mar 05, 2021 269   Samford W 87-59 81%     13 - 10 +20.7 +5.5 +13.2
  Mar 06, 2021 127   Wofford W 62-61 47%     14 - 10 +3.7 -2.1 +5.9
  Mar 07, 2021 160   VMI W 73-59 56%     15 - 10 +14.4 +3.7 +12.0
  Mar 08, 2021 97   UNC Greensboro L 61-69 37%     15 - 11 -2.7 -7.2 +4.5
Projected Record 15 - 11 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southern Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9 100.0% 100.0
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%