Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#100
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#101
Pace72.3#97
Improvement-2.7#291

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#168
First Shot+0.5#159
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks+3.0#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#156
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement+2.7#40

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#53
First Shot+4.2#57
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#98
Layups/Dunks+2.6#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#21
Freethrows-2.9#329
Improvement-5.4#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round15.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Neutral) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 33 - 13 - 3
Quad 415 - 118 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 131   East Tennessee St. W 70-47 61%     1 - 0 +25.4 -2.1 +27.2
  Nov 27, 2020 208   Austin Peay W 80-72 79%     2 - 0 +4.7 -4.0 +8.0
  Nov 28, 2020 305   Nebraska Omaha W 70-58 91%     3 - 0 +2.7 -10.5 +12.5
  Dec 05, 2020 257   Tarleton St. W 69-48 89%     4 - 0 +13.1 -6.3 +19.7
  Dec 09, 2020 22   @ Texas Tech L 44-51 15%     4 - 1 +9.3 -16.2 +24.8
  Dec 22, 2020 12   @ Arkansas L 72-85 14%     4 - 2 +4.0 +6.3 -1.8
  Jan 02, 2021 306   Lamar W 83-65 93%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +6.8 +1.7 +3.9
  Jan 06, 2021 338   @ Houston Baptist W 66-63 94%     6 - 2 2 - 0 -9.5 -13.6 +4.0
  Jan 16, 2021 329   SE Louisiana W 76-42 96%     7 - 2 3 - 0 +19.2 -5.8 +24.2
  Jan 20, 2021 180   @ Sam Houston St. L 57-64 65%     7 - 3 3 - 1 -5.8 -12.3 +6.2
  Jan 23, 2021 327   Central Arkansas W 93-58 96%     8 - 3 4 - 1 +20.4 +2.8 +14.8
  Jan 27, 2021 145   Stephen F. Austin W 82-62 72%     9 - 3 5 - 1 +19.1 +2.9 +14.9
  Jan 30, 2021 336   @ Incarnate Word W 75-67 94%     10 - 3 6 - 1 -4.2 +2.3 -5.8
  Feb 06, 2021 306   @ Lamar W 77-62 88%     11 - 3 7 - 1 +7.5 +9.5 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2021 335   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-69 93%     12 - 3 8 - 1 +1.2 +7.0 -5.6
  Feb 10, 2021 338   Houston Baptist W 88-59 97%     13 - 3 9 - 1 +12.7 -3.9 +13.0
  Feb 13, 2021 335   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 83-55 96%     14 - 3 10 - 1 +12.4 -2.0 +12.2
  Feb 24, 2021 180   Sam Houston St. W 86-72 77%     15 - 3 11 - 1 +11.4 +11.5 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2021 327   @ Central Arkansas L 82-84 92%     15 - 4 11 - 2 -12.8 -4.4 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2021 145   @ Stephen F. Austin W 63-61 59%     16 - 4 12 - 2 +4.9 -10.2 +15.1
  Mar 06, 2021 336   Incarnate Word W 85-60 97%     17 - 4 13 - 2 +9.0 -0.3 +8.2
  Mar 12, 2021 306   Lamar W 93-71 91%     18 - 4 +12.6 +16.1 -3.9
  Mar 13, 2021 193   Nicholls St. W 76-69 76%    
Projected Record 19 - 4 13 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southland Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2 0.0%
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.1 0.0 5.3 80.1 14.6
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 5.3 80.1 14.6