Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#12
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#10
Pace79.1#18
Improvement+1.4#114

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#34
First Shot+4.3#66
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#31
Layup/Dunks+3.9#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement-0.5#197

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#13
First Shot+6.2#29
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#36
Layups/Dunks+2.8#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#129
Freethrows+1.9#49
Improvement+1.9#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 38.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round86.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen51.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight23.3% n/a n/a
Final Four8.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 06 - 5
Quad 25 - 111 - 6
Quad 36 - 017 - 6
Quad 45 - 022 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 347   Mississippi Valley W 142-62 99.9%    1 - 0 +47.4 +26.7 +5.2
  Nov 28, 2020 77   North Texas W 69-54 81%     2 - 0 +20.8 -0.2 +20.9
  Dec 02, 2020 235   Texas Arlington W 72-60 97%     3 - 0 +5.2 +1.2 +4.8
  Dec 05, 2020 233   Lipscomb W 86-50 97%     4 - 0 +29.4 +5.9 +22.3
  Dec 09, 2020 312   Southern W 79-44 99%     5 - 0 +23.0 -0.5 +21.8
  Dec 12, 2020 327   Central Arkansas W 100-75 99%     6 - 0 +10.4 +5.3 +2.1
  Dec 20, 2020 152   Oral Roberts W 87-76 93%     7 - 0 +9.9 -2.5 +10.9
  Dec 22, 2020 100   Abilene Christian W 85-72 86%     8 - 0 +16.4 +13.7 +2.3
  Dec 30, 2020 60   @ Auburn W 97-85 65%     9 - 0 1 - 0 +23.2 +21.4 +1.0
  Jan 02, 2021 52   Missouri L 68-81 75%     9 - 1 1 - 1 -4.7 -9.7 +6.6
  Jan 06, 2021 21   @ Tennessee L 74-79 45%     9 - 2 1 - 2 +11.4 +9.3 +2.3
  Jan 09, 2021 92   Georgia W 99-69 85%     10 - 2 2 - 2 +33.8 +12.6 +16.9
  Jan 13, 2021 29   @ LSU L 76-92 49%     10 - 3 2 - 3 -0.5 -5.8 +7.7
  Jan 16, 2021 7   @ Alabama L 59-90 33%     10 - 4 2 - 4 -11.3 -8.2 +0.2
  Jan 20, 2021 60   Auburn W 75-73 77%     11 - 4 3 - 4 +9.4 -1.2 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2021 89   @ Vanderbilt W 92-71 75%     12 - 4 4 - 4 +29.2 +17.2 +11.0
  Jan 27, 2021 48   Mississippi W 74-59 73%     13 - 4 5 - 4 +23.7 +14.0 +11.1
  Jan 30, 2021 28   @ Oklahoma St. L 77-81 48%     13 - 5 +11.5 +7.0 +4.9
  Feb 02, 2021 71   Mississippi St. W 61-45 80%     14 - 5 6 - 4 +22.2 -11.2 +32.5
  Feb 09, 2021 46   @ Kentucky W 81-80 60%     15 - 5 7 - 4 +13.6 +12.0 +1.6
  Feb 13, 2021 52   @ Missouri W 86-81 OT 62%     16 - 5 8 - 4 +17.0 +11.7 +4.9
  Feb 16, 2021 34   Florida W 75-64 67%     17 - 5 9 - 4 +21.5 +5.4 +15.8
  Feb 24, 2021 7   Alabama W 81-66 47%     18 - 5 10 - 4 +30.9 +10.7 +18.9
  Feb 27, 2021 29   LSU W 83-75 63%     19 - 5 11 - 4 +19.7 +2.5 +16.4
  Mar 02, 2021 122   @ South Carolina W 101-73 83%     20 - 5 12 - 4 +33.1 +14.8 +13.7
  Mar 06, 2021 133   Texas A&M W 87-80 91%     21 - 5 13 - 4 +7.3 +13.5 -6.3
  Mar 12, 2021 52   Missouri W 70-64 69%     22 - 5 +16.1 -4.9 +20.5
  Mar 13, 2021 29   LSU L 71-78 56%     22 - 6 +6.6 -4.2 +11.2
Projected Record 22 - 6 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 0.0%
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.8 2.2 36.7 43.0 16.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8 2.2 36.7 43.0 16.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%