Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#103
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#97
Pace79.4#16
Improvement-1.7#249

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#96
First Shot+5.5#47
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#306
Layup/Dunks+3.3#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows+1.9#49
Improvement-1.2#249

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot-0.5#183
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#27
Layups/Dunks-0.8#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-0.4#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 21 - 51 - 13
Quad 36 - 07 - 13
Quad 44 - 111 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 106   Rhode Island W 94-88 51%     1 - 0 +10.7 +12.5 -2.6
  Nov 26, 2020 9   Villanova L 74-83 16%     1 - 1 +6.8 +2.9 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2020 338   Houston Baptist W 100-77 97%     2 - 1 +6.7 +5.6 -2.0
  Dec 03, 2020 126   @ California W 70-62 52%     3 - 1 1 - 0 +12.6 -1.8 +14.2
  Dec 10, 2020 27   San Diego St. L 68-80 25%     3 - 2 -0.1 +0.1 +0.2
  Dec 13, 2020 112   @ Grand Canyon W 71-70 46%     4 - 2 +7.0 +0.3 +6.7
  Dec 16, 2020 138   UTEP L 63-76 69%     4 - 3 -13.1 -14.5 +2.4
  Jan 07, 2021 43   UCLA L 75-81 OT 35%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +2.9 -4.9 +8.5
  Jan 09, 2021 15   USC L 64-73 22%     4 - 5 1 - 2 +3.9 -5.5 +9.9
  Jan 16, 2021 80   @ Oregon St. L 79-80 34%     4 - 6 1 - 3 +8.3 +16.9 -8.6
  Jan 21, 2021 42   Arizona L 82-84 35%     4 - 7 1 - 4 +7.0 +6.6 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2021 42   @ Arizona L 67-80 23%     4 - 8 1 - 5 -0.2 -6.4 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2021 126   California W 72-68 66%     5 - 8 2 - 5 +4.8 -0.4 +5.2
  Jan 30, 2021 82   Stanford W 79-75 48%     6 - 8 3 - 5 +9.4 +6.5 +2.7
  Feb 11, 2021 33   Oregon L 64-75 29%     6 - 9 3 - 6 -0.4 -8.0 +7.9
  Feb 14, 2021 80   Oregon St. W 75-73 48%     7 - 9 4 - 6 +7.6 +3.6 +4.0
  Feb 17, 2021 15   @ USC L 71-89 14%     7 - 10 4 - 7 -1.3 +9.3 -11.2
  Feb 20, 2021 43   @ UCLA L 79-80 23%     7 - 11 4 - 8 +11.6 +10.4 +1.3
  Feb 23, 2021 161   Washington W 97-64 74%     8 - 11 5 - 8 +31.4 +10.9 +16.2
  Feb 25, 2021 161   Washington W 80-72 74%     9 - 11 6 - 8 +6.4 +3.2 +2.9
  Feb 27, 2021 98   Washington St. W 77-74 OT 56%     10 - 11 7 - 8 +6.4 +6.2 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2021 23   @ Colorado L 61-75 15%     10 - 12 7 - 9 +2.3 -2.7 +4.5
  Mar 06, 2021 68   @ Utah L 59-98 31%     10 - 13 7 - 10 -28.8 -14.1 -12.5
  Mar 10, 2021 98   Washington St. W 64-59 49%     11 - 13 +10.3 -4.8 +15.0
  Mar 11, 2021 33   Oregon L 73-91 24%     11 - 14 -5.5 -0.4 -4.2
Projected Record 11 - 14 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10 100.0% 100.0
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%